Mike_Mun
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Cards Sign Beltran
Mike_Mun replied to XZero771679666304's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Pujols was a thrill to watch. St Louis got his best years. Of that there is no doubt. The outcome wasn't gonna be good no matter what. It may be better that he took the money and ran then saddling the team with a nine or ten year contract...entering his decline. It's a good thing for you guys that Hendry wasn't still here. That's his kinda buy. -
Cards Sign Beltran
Mike_Mun replied to XZero771679666304's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Hey, I don't blame you guys for the personal attacks. I'd be frustrated too, if I were you. You certainly can't win any arguments on your knowledge of the facts as this thread proves. You can't explain why the Cardinals have such a solid program and the Cubs don't. You counted on the farm system and it tanked. You counted on the FA acquisitions and watched them pay 137 M for 8 years of Soriano and didn't even get a year out of that in which the deal might have looked palatable.... Different amount but same story for Zambrano. You made a fine deal for Milton Bradley. Then traded him for Silva? Fukudome... Sure, put all the Cardinal success on Pujols. He singlehandedly carried the Cardinals to 3 WS, winning 2. Didn't have a thing to do with solid financials, albeit less resources than the Cubs. Nothing to do with excellent rotations, consistent bullpens and players like Holliday, Furcal, Berkman, Freese, Molina, Eckstein etc. Pujols can wear whatever hat Cooperstown decides. That's hardly a given. What he did in his first 11 years is what got him to the HOF. If his career began in March, his stats wouldn't support the Hall. He's an Angel now so who really cares which hat he wears. From what I read, he's PNG in St Louis, particularly after signing the 10 year personal service contract. What happens 20 years from now is too far away to speculate. Nobody said Holliday is now better than Pujols. Someone needs reading comprehension skills badly. But, a 5 year contract for $85M with a 32 year old Holliday is better than a ten year contract for $254M with a 32 year old Pujols. Do the math. No kidding. That's why the Cards trashed their system under Manno and brought in Luhnow. 24 players drafted from '05 to '08 reached the majors. The Reds who had to go to San Diego for a starter are supplying the Cubs with their sixth starter to round out your rotation. Then you have a 28 page thread getting excited about a 140 pound Torreyes throw in. Heck yes, I'd be frustrated too. -
Cards Sign Beltran
Mike_Mun replied to XZero771679666304's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Freese got a broken hand from a out of control pitch. His only 2011 injury. The ankle injury has healed and was not an issue in 2011. Craig banged his knee into a wall in right field. I suppose a Cub fan could hope that happens every year. But, I think it's unlikely. Most Cardinal fans know just how good these two guys are and have been counting on their success in the majors. It was no surprise they had the success they did in 2011. Wainwright just turned 30. I don't think anybody's worried about his getting old any time soon. He has Carp's work ethic and could be around for 6-8 years. Holliday is 31 and has been and should continue to give us our money's worth for the remainder of his excellent 5 year contract. Cardinal fans think their farm will continue to provide them with players for the foreseeable future. Some, like M Carpenter 3B, Lynn RHP, Sanchez RHP, Chambers CF, are ready right now. Many of those players like: Miller RHP, Swagerty RHP, Jackson SS, Gast LHP, Cox 3b/2B and Adams 1B are just a year away. Rosenthal RHP, Carlos Martinez RHP, Wong 2B, Taveras OF are 2 years. Jenkins RHP, and a huge corps of players a little more time. The Cardinals use FA market judiciously. It's also a great time to have a rich farm as they tend to being overvalued in the trade market. If the Cubs are going to be relevant beyond 2013, it won't likely be due to the Cards weakness but because the Cubs do a good job of rebuilding. That's not been their strong suit. Maybe Theo will have an impact. Only time will tell. For all of Theo's success, he left Boston with some gargantuan FA contracts...some of which aren't performing well. -
Cards Sign Beltran
Mike_Mun replied to XZero771679666304's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Right. Winning the WS in 2011 was a completely unrelated event. Good to learn from a team that paid $227M for Soriano and Zambrano. #-o The Cards have only 5 years left with Holliday. My guess is 3-4 of those will be productive. That's pretty much what the Angels should get with AP as they are exactly the same age. But, with a ten year contract. You get that doncha? Sorry, just not sure how much needs to be explained to a guy who elect his governors for terms of ten to life. Yes, The Cardinals still have a good but old team, but you need to stop acting as though the loss of best player of this generation isnt going to phase them. If it were 2005, having Beltran, Holliday, and Berkman through the heart of the order would be outworldly, but I really dont like the chances of the killer B's stayng healthy for the majority of the season and at this point, those guys are key to the team and you can't just dig into AAA and replace them with some version of Jake LaHoffpauir. I don't think it's lost on any Cardinal fan that the loss of Pujols is huge. They began the mourning process last year when Albert came out of the gates sluggish. He hit into 3 DP's the first game and led the league the rest of the year in that stat. He finally began to heat up in June and finished strong. The point being you could sign him for ten years (no, Holliday's signing didn't preclude offering Pujols a 210 M contract) and suffer thru the last 6 years of that contract or try to replace Pujols(-). It's not like there were good options regarding Albert. Warriors really do fade away. Pujols could have signed with the Cards and still been the 2d best paid player of all time. He chose more money but still is only the 2d best paid. Pujols and the team did what made the best business sense for each. Frankly, I think Pujols will regret it more than the Cardinals do...a few years from now. Re: Berkman and Beltran. Anything's possible. Berkman has an extensive conditioning program during the offseason. Worked pretty well for him last year. Beltran will get plenty of rest after Craig returns. It's a dog fight between the Cards, Brewers and Reds. Who stays healthy likely to dictate. The Cardinals are not an old team but they do have old players. They are much more balanced than say the Phillies who actually are old. They have a plan in place to replace obsolescence. Whether it works or not is anybody's guess. Cubs not relevant in 2012. Gonna have to hurry if they want to be in 2013. The rotation, even adding Wood, is a disgrace for a team with that payroll. -
Cards Sign Beltran
Mike_Mun replied to XZero771679666304's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Right. Winning the WS in 2011 was a completely unrelated event. Good to learn from a team that paid $227M for Soriano and Zambrano. #-o The Cards have only 5 years left with Holliday. My guess is 3-4 of those will be productive. That's pretty much what the Angels should get with AP as they are exactly the same age. But, with a ten year contract. You get that doncha? Sorry, just not sure how much needs to be explained to a guy who elects his governors for terms of ten to life. -
Cards Sign Beltran
Mike_Mun replied to XZero771679666304's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
The Cardinals play baseball don't they? I am definitely a Cardinals fan. When/if the Cubs play baseball, I'll be a Cubs fan too. Why don't you show me where I "fooled you" into thinking I was pretending to be a Cubs fan? I haven't been on this forum long enough to be one. -
Cards Sign Beltran
Mike_Mun replied to XZero771679666304's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I think every Cardinal fan knew exactly how spoiled they were. They also knew it wasn't going to last forever. You're right. There's a lot less margin for error. With a bigger budget and a new FO team in place, the Cubs have a window opening. It's about time to lose a few contracts and bring some quality pitching on board. Cubdom focus shouldn't be on the demise of the Cardinals, but the rise of the Cubs. -
Cards Sign Beltran
Mike_Mun replied to XZero771679666304's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
It's all true. That's what they were saying about Edmonds, McGwire, Renteria and Walker.... Going to hell without 'em. They don't have a Pujols now making small amounts of money while being one of the best players ever, tell me you get why that is important to their success the past 10 years. Yeah, I think all Cardinal fans get that Albert was a force in the middle of that order. That's why the FO went out and got Holliday so he could protect Pujols' at bat. They also get that he was a real bargain. But, they were also smart enough to figure out that Pujols wasn't going to be young Pujols forever. Old Pujols wasn't going to be the beast that young Pujols was and he was going to cost a ton more money and for a lot longer than they might want to sign him. That's why Pujols isn't going to be a St Louis icon. Pujols has been in decline for 3 years. Last year he led the league in gidp's and his OPS was the lowest in his 11 years. In fact Beltran's OPS was higher last year. So, I wouldn't put all my eggs in the basket that says "Albert doesn't live there any more." It was bound to happen...kinda like some day the Cubs will get out from under Soriano's contract.... :banghead: Only different. Losing Albert wasn't a happy ocassion, but it's probably a good business decision. Tell me you get that. -
Cards Sign Beltran
Mike_Mun replied to XZero771679666304's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
It's all true. That's what they were saying about Edmonds, McGwire, Renteria and Walker.... Going to hell without 'em. -
Cards Sign Beltran
Mike_Mun replied to XZero771679666304's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
He's right tho. Sosa is only early 30s. Woods gonna bounce back from TJS. In the minors they have Prior, Zambrano, Guzman, Cruz. Plus hitting prospect Corey Patterson who BA has as the number three guy in all of baseball. And Bobby Hill who has a great OBP. This window isn't closing anytime soon.... That might work if we can keep Bartman out of the stands. Still, Prior's gonna have shoulder problems and Zambrano... he might be a head case. Oh, that damned billy goat. Where's the pixie dust when you need it? -
Cards Sign Beltran
Mike_Mun replied to XZero771679666304's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Beltran will be 35 in April and Furcal is 34. So? Beltran is coming off of a .910 OPS and they don't even need him to play everyday. They'll still have Jay and Craig in the outfield if Beltran is on the bench. Both were productive players hitting over .300 last year. Both Beltran and Furcal are on 2 year contracts so the Cards aren't planning a huge future for either. 28 with an extensive injury history, one season's worth of MLB PA spread out over 3 and 116 OPS+ (boosted by an absurd BABIP). He's a nice player, but if his BABIP drops you're looking at a league average hitter who can't stay healthy. And the NLCS/WS MVP doesn't mean [expletive]. I expect him to drop off to a 90-100 OPS+ guy this season if teams realize that he can't pull the ball with much power and pound him inside. Yep. He injured an ankle and required extensive surgery. He played all of last year on that ankle without a problem. He was out for seven weeks when his hand was broken by an inside pitch. He still managed to hit close to .300 as he's done all his professional career. If you don't think he has any power inside, you're in for a rude awakening. One of the nice problems the Cards have is Matt Carpenter and his .400 OBP in Memphis is looking for an opening. Zach Cox in AA is waiting behind him. Holliday is awesome. Wainwright is a bit of an unknown after TJS and only under contract for 2 more years. Molina is a catcher about to 30 which is 65 in MLB years and only under contract for 1 year. Craig has a half season's worth of MLB PA and is coming off of knee surgery. Garcia is good and signed to nice contract. I think Craig is legit, but would classify Jay and Freese as roleplayers. TJ surgery is about as guaranteed an outcome as they get in baseball. Pitchers often return with a livelier fastball because the tendon is stronger than the ligament it replaces. You really aren't counting on Wainwright to struggle are you? Molina just came off his best hitting year ever. He could slow down in his fielding every year for the next four and still be an above average catcher. Young Cruz coming up behind him had a nice ML debut last year and may eventually take some playing time from him. I agree that Jay may never be more than a roleplayer but all he's done is hit .300 since he's been in the majors. I think you're dead wrong about Freese. Carpenter? He's a work horse like Halladay. His physical conditioning left him stronger not weaker as the year wore on. You can will him wearing down all you want but he's been just like the energizer bunny. When he does wear out they'll just bring Miller up. That's not necessarily going to be a good thing for the NL Central. Cleto? I'll take that bet. He was floundering in the Seattle system but worked his way thru A, AA and AAA to a walk on in the majors last year. His stuff was high 90's in the 7th inning last year. He's got nasty movement and 3 solid pitches. His control was significantly better last year and if he makes even a modicum improvement from last year you'll eat your words on that prediction. They don't need him but there's enough pixie dust... Actually the position player situation isn't that bad. Ryan Jackson is an excellent fielding SS who'll play in Memphis this year. His bat has been solid the last 2 years with a solid OPS+ (34 doubles in Springfield). He hit .342 in AFL. Taveras and Wong are obvious, but Cox is a solid hitter who worked hard on his fielding last year. This year will tell a lot on what his future looks like. Matt Carpenter is a very good fielding 3rd baseman. Not only the .400 OBP but sprays the ball to all fields with an .880 OPS last year. There aren't any Pujols sitting around in their farm but the arms are scary good and you can figure they'll make some trades if they need bolstering. -
Cards Sign Beltran
Mike_Mun replied to XZero771679666304's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Curious as to what their future plans hold though. They may have a better farm system than we do but they might not be too far away from looking worse than we do now. What does this even mean? I'm not sure he could tell you. I think what he's saying is that while the Cards have a decent farm system, they're not particularly well set up for the long term. And there is some truth to that, I think. Basically their current team has a lot of 35 an older guys and the younger guys seem more like role players than anything else with the possible exception of Garcia. I really dont see Freese, Craig, and Jay as guys that are going to take the team into the future. They have a good farm system but it's far from the type you look at and say who cares how old our current roster there are a lot of guys that will be gone by the time we hope to compete again. Then again, like the Twins, you can never count them out long term no matter how many top players they lose so who knows. Who's 35 besides Berkman and Carpenter? Even Beltran's only 34. Younger guys role players? Like David Freese,MVP NLCS and WS, 28? Holliday is 31. Wainwright is 30. Molina is 29. Allen Craig is 27. Garcia is 25. Carpenter is 36 but likely lasts well with his remaining 2 year contract. Waiting in the wings to replace Carp is Shelby Miller regarded as one of the top 2 or 3 prospects in BA. Carlos Martinez a year behind Shelby...considered to have better stuff than Miller. A handful of very talented arms like Jenkins, Rosenthal, Cleto etc coming up right behind. Taveras, Adams, Wong and Cox all position players due to the majors in one to three years. If there's any saving grace it's that the architect of this farm revival, Luhnow, just got hired as the GM of the 'Stros. -
Kinda like the hiring of Sveum.
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Albert loves Matheny. The two are going to Santo Domingo later. Albert has said he considers Matheny his "mentor in Christ". I think, however, that the Benjamins will have more to do with Albert re-signing in St Louis than who is managing. Suffice it to say Matheny doesn't hurt...especially since the Cards will have a couple extra million to throw at Pujols. Eckstein's suggestion that Albert would sign if Oquendo were manager is from out in left field. So, does this make Francona more or less likely to become a Cub?
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LaRussa retires!
Mike_Mun replied to mul21's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Nope. Feel free to languish in your paranoia NKA free.

