In 2011 we have $96 million committed and in 2012 we have $54 million committed. Assuming payroll doesn't plummet between now and then we will have in the area of $40-$80 million to spend in those two seasons as of right now - minus, of course, arbitration guys. I see no reason why we can't be a contender those two years. 2010 will be a tough salary year, but after that we'll have some flexibility again. By 2012, here's the ages of your key players: Soto 29 Lee 36 Soriano 36 Fukudome 35 Ramirez 34 Lilly 36 Dempster 35 Zambrano 31 I'd be surprised if more than about 2 of those guys are still above-average players at that point. Even $80 million won't go very far if they have that many needs. That's not to say they can't remain contenders. But they will need to make very few mistakes and have a lot of things go right between now and then. Without looking it up, I don't think Lee, Fukudome, Lilly, or Dempster will be under contract in 2012 with the Cubs