Aaron_Kennelly

horsefeathers yes!

Praise the lord!

lol

Not ideal.

One last time: The Cubs have the best record in the NL.

Yeah, if they win 95 games and it just so happens that the only other team in the NL to win 95 is also in their division, there's not much you can do... ... except those two horsefeathering series. Just win one more of those games and this thing is already over. That's going to stick with me.

What a miserable end to the season. horsefeathering win one more and make it less miserable.

Go Tigers.

horsefeathering score a damn run.

Fly it!

He's walked 14 in 13.1 IP since then btw.

Do it, Tommy...

Kyle's going 9 every start the rest of the way.

Trust Kyle.

From the Zaidman talk... the guy treats DePaul non-conference basketball games like they are the Final Four. Him yelling at sac flies doesn't surprise me much.

Hell yes. horsefeathers you, Wainwright.

Kyle is shutting them down. No worries there. Go Tigers.

Aroldis Chapman, as a Cub, in 2016: 1.01 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, 1.3 RA9-WAR, 0.6 WPA Jesse Chavez, as a Cub, in 2018: 1.25 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 1.8 RA9-WAR, 1.2 WPA

Fly it! Just keep winning. Somehow.

2 more here, please.

There's no question I put more effort into my posts here than I did on any schoolwork -- or work of any kind -- ever.

I agree. I've looked into the "Schwarber keeps getting screwed" thing, and I don't think that's really happening. Looking at Baseball Savant, of 216 batters that have seen 1,500 pitches, Schwarber has had the 33rd highest % of pitches go for called strikes on pitches outside the zone. Quite high, but it's not like he is lapping the league or anything. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&hfAB=&hfBBT=&hfPR=called%5C.%5C.strike%7C&hfZ=11%7C12%7C13%7C14%7C&stadium=&hfBBL=&hfNewZones=&hfGT=R%7C&hfC=&hfSea=2018%7C&hfSit=&player_type=batter&hfOuts=&opponent=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&hfSA=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&hfInfield=&team=&position=&hfOutfield=&hfRO=&home_road=&hfFlag=&hfPull=&metric_1=&hfInn=&min_pitches=1500&min_results=0&group_by=name&sort_col=pitch_percent&player_event_sort=h_launch_speed&sort_order=desc&min_pas=0#results In 2-strike counts, he ranks 3rd. This could be because he keeps getting screwed in the worst spots, or maybe it has something to do with him being more patient than he should with 2 strikes. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&hfAB=&hfBBT=&hfPR=called%5C.%5C.strike%7C&hfZ=11%7C12%7C13%7C14%7C&stadium=&hfBBL=&hfNewZones=&hfGT=R%7C&hfC=2strikes%7C&hfSea=2018%7C&hfSit=&player_type=batter&hfOuts=&opponent=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&hfSA=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&hfInfield=&team=&position=&hfOutfield=&hfRO=&home_road=&hfFlag=&hfPull=&metric_1=&hfInn=&min_pitches=1500&min_results=0&group_by=name&sort_col=pitch_percent&player_event_sort=h_launch_speed&sort_order=desc&min_pas=0#results Regardless, it's definitely hurt him this year. But we should expect that. Looking at those same 216 players, Schwarber ranks 5th in % of pitches that are on the "edges" -- in and out of the zone. A lot of this depends on how you define the zone. But pitchers don't want to serve him meatballs and they know he won't chase, so they nibble. And he doesn't bite. He's going to have a ton of PAs that are left up to umpires (who suck). He might just need to tweak his approach with 2 strikes, or with guys on base, or late in games.

Yeah, this doesn't mean much to me at all. Granted, I do think there is something there. TT covered that. Schwarber might just need to be shielded from lefties in those situations. He might be more of a platoon guy, though on the strong side. But... it's 45 ABs. This is the main reason I never really care about this horsefeathers. Looking at Ryan Zimmerman, for instance, he's also had seasons with high-leverage wRC+ of 191, 145, 134, 134, 130, 129. Also, beyond it being bad, Schwarber's had a really weird season in high-leverage. His BB% is 17.9% and his K% is 33.9%. I don't know if that's because he's being more patient -- to a detriment -- or what. It could just be that he's had some weird PAs and is constantly finding himself in deep counts that he can't control as much. Regardless, over half the time the ball isn't being put in play. When it is, he has a .074 BABIP. There's no doubt he's been really bad. And he most likely is going to continue to struggle some in those situations. But, it's 45 ABs. That's why it's always stupid when this horsefeathers is brought up. I see why the article was written. It's interesting. It's interesting in the same way that it was when David Bote was like 5th in the NL in WPA after like 50 PA. But it doesn't mean much. His numbers going up in medium leverage also show why this is kinda silly. The high-leverage stuff is split into bins and the parameters are a little arbitrary. Everything between 0.85 and 2 on the LI is "medium." 2 and higher is "high." So 1.95 and 2.05 aren't that different but 1.95 counts the same as .086 and not 2.05. Now factor in that it's only 45 AB's... For instance, looking at all PA from the 7th inning on with the go-ahead or tying run on base or at the plate, Schwarber ranks 310 of 360 in wOBA of all hitters with 20 such PA: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&hfAB=&hfBBT=&hfPR=&hfZ=&stadium=&hfBBL=&hfNewZones=&hfGT=R%7C&hfC=&hfSea=2018%7C&hfSit=Go%5C.%5C.Ahead%5C.run%5C.at%5C.plate%7CGo%5C.%5C.Ahead%5C.run%5C.on%5C.base%7CTying%5C.run%5C.at%5C.plate%7CTying%5C.run%5C.on%5C.base%7C&player_type=batter&hfOuts=&opponent=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&hfSA=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&hfInfield=&team=&position=&hfOutfield=&hfRO=&home_road=&hfFlag=&hfPull=&metric_1=&hfInn=7%7C8%7C9%7C10%7C&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&group_by=name&sort_col=woba&player_event_sort=h_launch_speed&sort_order=desc&min_pas=20#results Now, the same thing, but with the tying run on deck, Schwarber ranks 30th: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&hfAB=&hfBBT=&hfPR=&hfZ=&stadium=&hfBBL=&hfNewZones=&hfGT=R%7C&hfC=&hfSea=2018%7C&hfSit=Tying%5C.run%5C.on%5C.deck%7C&player_type=batter&hfOuts=&opponent=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&hfSA=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&hfInfield=&team=&position=&hfOutfield=&hfRO=&home_road=&hfFlag=&hfPull=&metric_1=&hfInn=7%7C8%7C9%7C10%7C&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&group_by=name&sort_col=woba&player_event_sort=h_launch_speed&sort_order=desc&min_pas=10#results So is he really clutch when he can cut it to 1, but horribly un-clutch when he can tie it? Or is it just some SSS noise?