Bryants Disco Ball
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Everything posted by Bryants Disco Ball
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that's very optimistic. That's my new thing.
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I know you are talking offense, but we've been amazing in part because of him too. no, i'm talking overall..he's on pace for a sub-2 win season. horsefeathers that. Dude has been a beast on defense and that horsefeathers has helped make us awesome.
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I'm saying its a strained oblique.
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I know you are talking offense, but we've been amazing in part because of him too.
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I miss J-Hey so much already.
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I can't figure out what it would be.
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horsefeathers me.
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If he does, it will be 4 am.
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I think that answers the question. Thanks, sir.
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I suck with math and percentages and probabilities. Today, I learned that if a team has a seven-game winning streak, the chances of them losing a game in the next three is no bigger than at any other time. The Cubs have a nice lead in the NL Central. I've read a few times from one of the better posters on here, my boy David, that he thinks the Cubs have already won the division. What I'm wondering is, how often will a team with this lead win the division? Is it like 80 percent of the time? Higher? I realize any team CAN blow a division lead, but how common is it?
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So when the Cubs were like 21-6 or whatever, it was a fallacy to bet that the rate they were winning at would not continue? Honest question. What you are describing is more of 'regression to the mean' (i think), in that the Cubs probably aren't an .800 winning % baseball team (because no team has ever been one in MLB history). So eventually they will play to their true talent level, which is maybe something like .625-.650. Gambler's fallacy would be saying "the Cubs are a .650 team that has been playing .800 ball, thus they are more likely go on a losing streak right now' That's fair. You're right that I'm talking more regression to the mean. Guess I learned something here. I also didn't mean to imply that a team that is on a seven game winning streak would then be prone to go on a losing streak, but more just actually lose a game............which sounds like it's bad logic even though to me it seems right. I will not be gambling any time soon with my knowledge of this horsefeathers.
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Well, I feel like most teams don't play 1.000 ball. So if a team is playing 1.000 percent over the course of seven games, the odds would suggest that they would then lose some to balance that. Now, even though the odds are against them continuing to win every game, it can happen for a lot longer. But I feel like the odds are not in their favor for that to continue. I might be wrong, though. I'm not good at math. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy So when the Cubs were like 21-6 or whatever, it was a fallacy to bet that the rate they were winning at would not continue? Honest question.
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Percentages actually say that a team that has won seven straight will lose a few, so we might be looking good. Please explain in detail. Well, I feel like most teams don't play 1.000 ball. So if a team is playing 1.000 percent over the course of seven games, the odds would suggest that they would then lose some to balance that. Now, even though the odds are against them continuing to win every game, it can happen for a lot longer. But I feel like the odds are not in their favor for that to continue. I might be wrong, though. I'm not good at math.
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Percentages actually say that a team that has won seven straight will lose a few, so we might be looking good.
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We've already failed to score runs against pitchers just as [expletive]. But we've already scored a ton against pitchers that are really awesome.
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I have to give the Brewers credit. A classic forfeit lineup scored five runs. That's always impressive.
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More than Fiderowocihchshhs?
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Now you're just playing with people. Admit it.
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I wanted a hit so bad there because it might have led to a win, and it would have been hilarious to re-read all the depressing banter on this board during a series they won.
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The Cubs might lead the league in runs watched in. Let's go for two!
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If the Cubs continue to play shitty baseball, it will happen. You are right. But why you do think they will play shitty baseball for so long that it does happen? Break it down for me, if you get a chance.
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This seems like the perfect inning for the offense to go off. Am I right? AM I RIGHT?
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You don't expect this offense to go into a slump against this type of team in this type of hitter's park, but here we are. Just have to battle through it and get the win and know that when the offense wakes up again it will be glorious.
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Just a heads up for many of you, this game is 12:40 central time.
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It was impressive that the Cubs took it to extras by getting to Jeffress. He's been dominant in save situations this season.