Tryptamine
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Everything posted by Tryptamine
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I'd hope so. As a rookie he's going to need all the lives snaps he can get before week 1.
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I'm trying not to get too hyped since we know Caleb is going to throw like 2 passes before he's out of the game.
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I'd deal Taillon+Leiter for Teel and a lottery ticket. The only downside is you probably don't see Teel until very late 2025 or early 2026.
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The ask is apparently pretty significant given that you'd have him for 3.5 more years. I mean if you can get it done using Caissie and other lower end parts, by all means. Rooker is pretty much who we hope Caissie becomes anyway.
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Fall of the house of Busch-er
Tryptamine replied to Transmogrified Tiger's topic in General Baseball Talk
Yeah, perhaps he should be focusing on his career 73 wRC+ instead. The guys about 100 PAs from being a DFA candidate. -
I don't see it as nuking the roster when one guy, who was a top 30 prospect, is already in the big leagues putting up a 156 wRC+ and the other is a top 20 prospect in AAA putting up a 143 wRC+ and who is MLB ready right now. Yeah you lose the certainty of Steele, but you gain two potential all-star level bats, one of which comes at a position of extreme need.
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I have no issues with dangling Steele and I don't think Hoyer is going to make a move unless it's an undeniable win package. If a team like the Orioles decides to go all in on a pitcher with control, since they'll be losing Burnes this offseason, and throws a package headlined by Mayo+Kjerstad then of course you talk. I think the reality is that no one is going to offer up the kind of package that moving Steele would actually make sense.
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Seems incredibly counterintuitive to get rid of Leiter from a pen that has struggled so hard. Yes they have a lot of guys to be optimistic about, but Leiter is nails when he's not being pitched into the ground. The return would have to be something fairly significant..
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So things I'm noticing. Steele is massively underrated by other fans. Also, other fan bases think Happ is a contract the Cubs would have to eat part of to get rid of him. I found both of these things absolutely baffling. By the end of 2024 Happ will probably have put up around 10 fWAR over the last 3 yeas. In that time span amongst LFers with at least 300AB, Happ's 8.6 fWAR puts him 6th.
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1 good season and he's already holding out for a massive contract. https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/40616528/jordan-love-practice-deal-packers-optimistic
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Just to win 84 games with 61 games remaining they'd have to go 36-25. Any investment, solely for 2024 would be madness.
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Even if they ate the remaining money left for '24, a 50FV guy is probably too optimistic and, even if you got one, they'd likely be several years away. a 45 guy or a 40+ with some helium seems reasonable if you're looking for someone close to MLB ready.
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I expect tonight's game to be the nail in the coffin for the 2024 season. You can't be up to 10gb in the division and up to 4.5gb in the WC with 62 games left and think it's a good idea to further invest into this team.
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I don't think replacing him in the offseason on a similar deal is that difficult. The issue is getting something back that makes the risk worth it. If it's a 40 FV guy then I'd rather just keep him.
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So as I figure it, with just Southisene left to sign out of the top 10 picks, the Cubs have $479,600 left plus 5% overage of $490,115. That's a total of $969,715 left. So either Lovich or Southisene is getting quite a bit more than I expected.
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Nothing terribly surprising right now. Thought they might get some savings on Mathis. I've been expecting Southisene to be a slight overslot, but we'll see.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 7-19-24
Tryptamine replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
This is disappointing -
This is where you'd have to get creative and someone more experienced than me would have to figure out the way. For example, I have a group of doctors who all work together and they're collectively part of a partnership. The hospital pays their wages to the partnership. The partnership then disperses their income like normal checks biweekly to the doctors. At the end of the year they receive a K-1 from the partnership instead of a W-2. That K-1 can and does go to their individual C Corps instead of to their individual returns.
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Oh they were ghouls too for sure, though I did have fun going to them, but in comparison to Ricketts.....
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Ugh the dates of this are right in the middle of tax season. I was already planning on a 4-6 week vacation in Japan after tax season next year. This would have been a really cool thing to add onto that.
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It would take a massive haul for me to be on board with this. He's under control up to 2028, and been a top 10-15 pitcher in baseball since the 2nd half of 2023. It would take something that's not going to be offered by anyone like Holliday+Heston Kjerstad+Cade Povich.
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Remember when we were all on Rickett's side for driving those rooftop owners out because we were under the delusion there were going to be massive new revenue streams from the park renovation? Those were good optimistic times.
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He'd be smart to take it into a C Corp, with a flat tax rate of 21% federal versus the 37% he'd pay federally as an individual. He'd pay a bit more to Illinois, but the federal savings would far out weigh that and the deductions he could take on that income on a C Corp would far outweigh what he could take on his individual return. Unless I'm misunderstanding his request, I feel like it would be foolish to not do this.
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With about 99% certainty we can cross Burnes and Soto off the list. This FO has proven they don't swim in the deep end of the talent pool.
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If he opts out, he's opting out of 2/35. He's 31 right now and will be 32 very near the start of the 2025 season. If he's opting out of 2 years, he's going to want 3+. Are you prepared to give him 3+ years at around 20M for at least his age 32,33 and 34 seasons? I'm not entirely comfortable with that for a guy that brings a giant chunk of his value with the glove.
