well wait, you can't say that dempster and a bunch of cub positioned players overproduced last year and can be expected to fall back, but assume that ludwick, skippy, the various third basemen (last year mostly glaus), wellemeyer, lohse and various bullpen pitchers will all be just as good. Truffle, this is what I mean. Skippy wasnt even that good last year. He was barely league average. In 07 he was better. Im not execting Skip to be Barry Bonds, just slightly above average like he was the last 2 seasons. The 'various' 3Bmen will be replaced by Glause, who is the model of consistency. 120 OPS+ the last 5 seasons. When he is back, I see no reason not to expect that from him. What Barden and Thurston are doing right now is a fluke, but Glaus is a blue print. Between Loshe and Wellemyer, I dont see what the big deal is. Last year they were both like 113 ERA+. That is hardly earth shattering. Dave Duncan has been making scrap heap pitchers servicable his entire career. It isnt that pitched like...i dont know, Ryan Dempster or something outrageous like that. The bullpen has to be better. I did not say great, I said better. Why do they have to be better? Because they were the worst in the league. They are going to be better on default alone. The bullpen can be worse. This "they have to be better" thing is garbage. Ranking wise they were last, but there is room for statistical regression. And guys like Pineiro, Wellemeyer (120 IP over his previous career high) and Lohse (his most IP since 2003) are important because they ate innings. A lot of them. You have a young, shaky pen. If those guys don't eat a lot again, it will put a lot of pressure and workload on that pen. It is very easy to envision a realistic scenario in which things get truly ugly. And don't forget Looper's 199 innings has to be accounted for, and Wainwright and Carpenter won't do it on their own. OK you make a legit point. Me and the wifey are going out to see Wolverine. You and I will finish this next week, and throughout the season.