Clem Fandango
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Everything posted by Clem Fandango
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There's a $16 million club option on Ramirez (which I hope we won't take), a $14 million player option for Dempster (which he probably will take), $12 million mutual option for Silva (which we probably won't take). That's it. Otherwise, it's $4 million total to buy out Ramirez and Silva Here's the spreadsheet from Cot's: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tt7HjIernphaSrv4wMWdUYg&output=html -
Considering a lot of contracts are coming off the books after this upcoming season, this isn't a huge deal. It's $5 million more to spend this season, and $5 million less to spend next season... but Aramis, Kosuke, Silva, Samardzija, and Grabow will be off the books in 2012 with big money going to only Zambrano, Soriano, and Dempster. Sacrificing $5 million next season shouldn't be much of a burden
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Soriano can't draw walks. Pena can. The reason Pena strikes out a lot is because he's selective and knows how to take a pitch and that generally runs the count up to 2 strikes, making him more prone to striking out. Soriano strikes out a lot because he's a free swinger who swings at [expletive] pitches
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Carpenter? Dolis? McNutt? Lee?
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Pena's AVG last year was a fluke due to a BABIP that was 57 points lower than his career total. He probably won't hit above .270, but if his BABIP returns to normal he most assuredly won't hit below .200... or even .240 for that matter. Meanwhile he'll likely draw 80+ walks, hit 30+ homers, drive in 100+ runs, and provide great defense at 1B. Batting average isn't everything. In 2009 when he hit .227 he still had a 133 OPS+ which was better than the 129 OPS+ he had the year before when he hit .247. No matter which year he returns to, whether it's 09 or 08, he will be an upgrade over Lee this past season and will provide great value at $10 million dollars... but since his contract is deferred he will probably be playing for around $8 million I would imagine, which is even better.
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Figured we could use this since some of the news isn't really deserving of their own threads. I basically wanted to start this so I could point out that... Who the hell is Lorenzo Cain?
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Not if payroll keeps going up. Payroll only goes up because we keep spending more on an annual basis on players, not because of backloading contracts. The only issue comes up if a player doesn't want balloon payments. Touché. So the obvious answer is stop giving out bad contracts. We'll probably need a new GM before that happens
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Somehow what I was writing disappeared. Anyway, price difference should easily be $5m+ this season with Garza being arbitration eligible coming off a 15 win sub 4 ERA season. Also, ERA should not be only way you judge him, and I believe his ERA might not be as good as advertised. It isn't. In fact, his ERA+ was actually worse than Wells in 2010. Plus... Garza's 2010 WAR - 1.8 Wells' 2010 WAR - 3.3
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If you do it enough eventually you're going to be paying more money for players who aren't worth it during the last years of their contracts. When this happens and you need to go out and sign better players, you can't afford to give them the big money during those years, so you backload the contract to their later years and you're stuck having to do the same for the next crop of FA signings. Rinse and repeat.
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Somehow what I was writing disappeared. Anyway, price difference should easily be $5m+ this season with Garza being arbitration eligible coming off a 15 win sub 4 ERA season. Also, ERA should not be only way you judge him, and I believe his ERA might not be as good as advertised. The thing that definitely concerns me about Garza is that his BABIP was .279 last year which is below his career .293, and his FIP and xFIP were about 50-60 points higher than his ERA. That's not a good sign, but I still think it has more to do with being in a tougher division than him not being that good of a pitcher. It's not like he came out of nowhere. He's a former top prospect who definitely has the ability to succeed, but I think if you move him into a division where he gets to face the tough lineups that Houston and Pittsburgh throw at him I think he improves a bit to the point where we'd be glad to have him on the team. The question is how much does Tampa Bay value him and how much would we have to give up? Based on his numbers we shouldn't have to give up a whole lot, but based on who he is and what his history has been they'll probably ask for a decent return
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In this situation, no. It's probably not much at all, but enough to give the team some wiggle room this season. Which is nice, but deferred money on other contracts he's set up is probably part of the reason why Hendry had to defer money on this one. It's a vicious cycle, luckily this is only a one year contract so deferring money probably won't handcuff the team's salary in the future
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Mitch Williams pretty much insulted Aubrey Huff on live television by insinuating that he robbed the Giants with his new contract and then told him he could take all his money and buy rally thongs with it. Hard hitting analysis and interview skills by Mitch Williams
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I am rather intrigued by this. If this has legs I'm kind of worried what the Cubs would have to give up to make this happen, but if it's a reasonably acceptable amount I'd probably be more than happy to have Garza on the team. I think he's better than his numbers indicate, due to being in arguably the toughest offensive division in baseball, and think he would benefit and improve greatly upon moving to a weaker hitting division
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He's a NTC away from giving him the Jim Hendry Special
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Thank Christ. Not too terribly crazy about the amount of money, but he was obviously the best available option and it's nice to see the Cubs do the right thing
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Michael Young
Clem Fandango replied to shnsajax's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I know there's a new rumor about him and the Rockies, but... -
They still have Ramirez as far as I know.
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Re: Cubs looking at Loney.
Clem Fandango replied to tfarks's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
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Loney is the exact opposite of what we need at 1B.
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Sounds like if we had included Castro we probably would've nabbed him. Would that have been worth it?
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Is that really quite a haul, though?
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I win!
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HAHA this better not be true. There should be no hesitance in doing any deal involving Colvin for a much better well established player. Colvin is far far far from being someone Hendry is scared to deal. Come on Sweet. We won't trade them anyone considered good. That'll get A-GON here for sure. Maybe Jimbo's holding out for Hoyer to accept that Fukudome for A=GON swap........ Is Sam Fuld still untouchable?
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Werth to the Nationals
Clem Fandango replied to Cubs Fan Dan's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Well they're not going to regret that in the future at all. I like how Washington is stepping up their game, but that's a bit crazy. One would think however that this deal would put the kibosh on Carlos Pena to the Nats?
