CubColtPacer
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Everything posted by CubColtPacer
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By the way, here are Dave Dombrowski's comments about Neifi according to one Detroit message board. "Perez move helps for next year b/c he is a utility guy. Switch hitter etc. Real good fit for us. -Tigers didn't consider a move for Mark Loretta b/c pitching has got us(Tigers) here."
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Hmm..that's hard to tell Outshined. I think many people go against what is prevailing if it is not exactly what they believe. For example, most people would probably say that I hate OBP-I don't-in fact, I think that along with SLG are still the two most important stats one can use. I think OBP is overvalued generally on this board, just as I think it is undervalued in general in the baseball community. If I were talking to Dusty, I would be reminding him of the importance of OBP. When I discuss baseball with people here, I tend to need to stress the importance of other things in the game also. It is a balance in between all the different factors that makes a great team. Great OBP teams, great power teams, and great pitching and defense teams have all won the WS, along with combinations of all of the above. It is true that some people discount OBP completely, just as there are some people who say a bad OBP makes someone automatically a bad player. Neither of those are completely true-but for people like me, I see no need to defend that Dusty is not using OBP correctly whatsoever-because we already have that opinion in spades. Instead, I usually defend the traditional side of baseball-not because I think it's nearly completely right, but because I think too much of it has been lost-some of it should come back (I'm a firm believer in up the middle defense as well, and I've actually heard about new studies that there are certain positions that a great defender can save a great deal of runs with-I should be able to provide a link in a couple of weeks, a friend who I respect greatly has read them), but I certainly want to keep a great deal of the new research as well.
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I realize Dusty is probably making decisions based on batter/pitcher matchups. But to make a decision based on 8 ABs is completely friggin stupid. I agree-and I'm not sure I would advocate making decisions off of Blanco's numbers-Barrett's numbers are a much better sample size, and might be enough to give him the day off-if you hadn't given him the day off yesterday against a pitcher who he has consistently hit hard.
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Just one frustrated Cubs fan opinion.
CubColtPacer replied to Big Fergie J's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I agree with all your other points, but how has Jones been a big disappointment? He has done pretty well for a right fielder in this league-he's an average right fielder making average money for a right fielder. The frustrating part is not getting a platoon partner with him, because his numbers against right handers are just great this year. -
Are the Cubs REALLY out of it??
CubColtPacer replied to don_kessinger_was_good's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
My prediction is that we'd have to go 30-10 to win the wildcard-the number of teams don't concern me very much since nobody can seem to break .500-4 or 5 over will probably win the wildcard, and we'd have to go 30-10 to get there. Is that possible? Yes-is it going to take a great deal of luck with this team? Absolutely. It would be interesting though if those 6 games against Cincy in September matter at all. -
If Blanco is starting, that's why I didn't understand Barrett's off day yesterday-he kills Suppan, and Blanco didn't. Today, Barrett has hit 2 HR's off of Carpenter, but is overall 6 for 29. Blanco is 3 for 8, so I guess that is why Dusty is starting him today-but if he was going to start Blanco today, he should have started Barrett yesterday. Hopefully the batter-pitcher matchups don't hold true. Usually there is 3-4 people who have hit the pitcher hard-today, Blanco is the only one who is even decent against Carpenter.
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Which site? GatewayRedbirds? And if so, where is there game thread located? Hah, it's on Gateway Redbirds. I just read that thread. I guess the real problem is that Tony La Russa made a move that, in the end, didn't work out. They're getting on Tony for not being able to predict the future. Actually, they should get on Tony. Statistically, a DP occurs a little over 10% of the time. Walking a hitter in order to set up a DP is almost always a bad move. Vance, I think they were referencing Tony's decision to take Duncan out in the 9th and pinch hit Encarnacion-that got those Cardinal fans up and yelling at Tony apparently. Also, I think that the walk to set up the DP would be a little different statistically if a team only needs 1 run to win-which makes the walk meaningless if you can trust the pitcher to not walk anyone else. Personally, I don't think they made the right move-because Nevin hits a lot of fly balls-but at the same time, for one thing if he does hit in on the ground he is a prime DP candidate, and even more important than that is the fact that he had struck out 13 times out of 28 at bats in August. While Cedeno has struck out a decent amount, he has been better at making contact in August, and if he makes contact the game is probably over. Tony probably used those recent numbers to think he had a pretty good shot of either striking Nevin out or getting him to ground into a DP-it was a gamble, but a decent gamble. He had about a 10-12% chance it work. It was a poor gamble any way you look at it. How do you know he was looking for the DP though? It was just as likely that he thought that he had a better chance to strike Nevin out than to strike Cedeno out. If he pitches to Cedeno, Cedeno still only has a 10 to 12 percent chance of hitting into the DP (and probably less than that just like Nevin (because of Nevin's lack of ground balls) because of Cedeno's speed)-what does putting him on and pitching to Nevin really change? It's a gamble to pitch to Cedeno-and it's a gamble to pitch to Nevin, and the run is likely to score either way.
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Which site? GatewayRedbirds? And if so, where is there game thread located? Hah, it's on Gateway Redbirds. I just read that thread. I guess the real problem is that Tony La Russa made a move that, in the end, didn't work out. They're getting on Tony for not being able to predict the future. Actually, they should get on Tony. Statistically, a DP occurs a little over 10% of the time. Walking a hitter in order to set up a DP is almost always a bad move. Vance, I think they were referencing Tony's decision to take Duncan out in the 9th and pinch hit Encarnacion-that got those Cardinal fans up and yelling at Tony apparently. Also, I think that the walk to set up the DP would be a little different statistically if a team only needs 1 run to win-which makes the walk meaningless if you can trust the pitcher to not walk anyone else. Personally, I don't think they made the right move-because Nevin hits a lot of fly balls-but at the same time, for one thing if he does hit in on the ground he is a prime DP candidate, and even more important than that is the fact that he had struck out 13 times out of 28 at bats in August. While Cedeno has struck out a decent amount, he has been better at making contact in August, and if he makes contact the game is probably over. Tony probably used those recent numbers to think he had a pretty good shot of either striking Nevin out or getting him to ground into a DP-it was a gamble, but a decent gamble.
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The Top 3 Cubs Web Gems of all time...
CubColtPacer replied to Schwarber Fan's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Lol..well, that video clip won't be on there, but it wouldn't completely be a bad thing if he was on the clips at all-that catch with the Cubs where he was running in hard from center and then slid and hit the ball up in the air and then reached back with his bare hand while he was sliding and caught it stretching all the way back was an awesome catch. -
Do the games back count if it is the middle of the day? Right now-6 oclock 08/19/06, we are 9 games out exactly-of course, Cincy hasn't played yet. :D
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Eckstein is almost certainly out today..Izturis sounds like he might be unavailable as well-so that makes Bennett the only player left on the Cards bench, and the Cubs have Barrett and Pagan left.
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Pierre leaped up into the IVy in dead center to grap the 3rd out with the bases loaded I would also add that you should check out the replay on SportsCenter, but then again they'll be too busy showing REd Sox/Yankee highlights and skip the rest of MLB. Without seeing it, it reminds me of Orlando Palmeiro? jumping up into the ivy in left with the bases loaded in the 9th to rob a Cub in 03-it was the game during the 5 game series, the 1st game of that doubleheader where Sosa ended up winning it in the 15th-was it like that?
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It is Wuertz coming in to face Pujols here.
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Can somebody tell me who the right handed pitcher is in the bullpen? Obviously Ohman will just be in for Duncan-who is going to face Pujols?
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He didn't. Dempster started by walking Edmonds.
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With Theriot pinch running, it appears they will pinch-hit Nevin for Howry. One has to wonder if Izturis is even available to pinch-hit today-if he's not that would just leave us only 2 other pinch-hitters today.
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Z's done today.
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There you go Murton! That makes up for the first 2 times when you couldn't get the guy in-way to go!
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It was more of that Abreu wasn't interested in the Cubs than anything-the Yankees got a special deal because Abreu wanted to play for them, and so was willing to waive his no-trade clause without restriction. The Cubs might have still been able to get him, but it would have cost a lot more, and it still wouldn't have been completely guaranteed that he would waive it.
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By the way, I don't know if Fox has been diligent enough to report this, but the reason Izturis is out is to rest his hamstring pull according to Pat and Ron.
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It's up against the Cubs/Cardinals and the West Coast game. Yankees and Red Sox is the closest game unfortunately, and also the biggest national interest game (same with me-I'm in TN right now). I don't like it, but it is the correct decision for them.
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If you're in a spot where you can have the sound of the radio playing, you really should listen to the radio over the Internet. If you need to know where to find it, I can get you the link. It is so much more enjoyable, at least to me. I thought all radio internet feeds were blacked out permanently so you would be forced to buy mlb audio. Typically, the main feed for the team (for this one, the one out of Chicago) is blacked out, but the stations that don't necessarily play every game are not usually blacked out.
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If you're in a spot where you can have the sound of the radio playing, you really should listen to the radio over the Internet. If you need to know where to find it, I can get you the link. It is so much more enjoyable, at least to me.
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Hopefully Mabry and Cedeno can keep producing like they have against Suppan-Mabry is 6 for 9 with 3 doubles against him, and Cedeno is 2 for 4 with a double and a triple. Jones has also killed him, 11-33 with 4 Home runs. BTW, this is one of those pitchers that Neifi hits well against-he's 5 of 15 with a BB against him.
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Who is the catcher then in your scenario? Let's say you can have either D. Lee/Aramis/Barrett/Soriano/Murton to fill 1B, 3B, C, 2B, and LF-as I am suggesting, or you can have D. Lee/Barrett/Blanco?/Soriano/Carlos Lee as you are suggesting. You'd have to find a catcher that had more offense than Murton to make the offense better, and any catcher with even that much offense is going to cost a pretty penny and is probably not available.