Jump to content
If free agency is too rich for your blood, click here for the 35 players most likely to be traded this offseason. ×
North Side Baseball

CubColtPacer

Community Moderator
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    13,879

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Trade & Free Agent Rumors

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospect Rankings

Chicago Cubs News, Rumors & Analysis

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Chicago Cubs Fan Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by CubColtPacer

  1. CubColtPacer
    And that's where I think timing makes it interesting. If Clemson jumps Indiana (which I think is less than 50% even with a Clemson win, but is still very possible), it would be this week. If Miami/SMU also win, that would make it Miami/SMU/Clemson/Indiana. If Miami or SMU then lost a close game in the championship game, how does the committee handle that? Do they drop them below both Clemson and Indiana, or do they reward them for playing in that game in the first place? So my question is I guess if there's a way that the ACC gets 3 teams in. I still think Indiana gets in, but it's not nearly as much of a slam dunk as it was. And the oddsmakers agree. It was 18 to 1 yesterday afternoon for them to miss the playoffs, and now it's down to 11 to 1. Which is still incredibly likely, but I think they still need one more result to feel secure. My guess is that the Miami/SMU loser doesn't drop any further than behind Indiana. So I think the teams behind that are going to need further carnage to be able to make it. Of course, A&M could still steal a bid and make it even tighter.
  2. CubColtPacer
    We went from wondering what the committee was going to do with the SEC to wondering what they do with the ACC. How far does a Miami/SMU title game loser (if they both win this weekend) drop? Does Clemson leapfrog Indiana with a win over South Carolina? Those seem to be the key questions other than does South Carolina jump Alabama/Ole Miss with a win over Clemson which would only matter based on the results of the first question.
  3. CubColtPacer
    5, 7, 9, 14, 15, 16, and 19 lose today. And projecting the last at-large team is kind of crazy right now. If SMU beats Miami in the ACC title game and the ACC becomes a 2 bid league, that's a solution. If that doesn't happen, it feels like there are 8 schools who all have a claim to the last spot.
  4. CubColtPacer
    I've never seen a 9-0 team only be a 2.5 point favorite at home to a 3-6 team in their own conference. But BYU was last night, and they got beat outright. That finishes any chance of the BIg XII getting 2 bids. So it's down to the SEC, Big 10, and Notre Dame basically for those at large bids. It still comes down to what the committee is going to do with all these 2 loss SEC teams. An interesting wrinkle is that whichever 2 loss team makes the SEC championship game, it's going to be a risk/reward situation. It's probably safer to not make it to make the playoff because a loss could knock that team out, but the team could also win a bye with a win.
  5. CubColtPacer
    The SEC feels like the key to all the playoff permutations right now. The Big 10 feels fairly set, with Indiana being a fringe team in some scenarios but likely getting in. The ACC got closer to being a 1 bid league with Miami's loss today. The Big 12 feels like they need to beat an undefeated BYU in the championship game in order to get a second team in. Notre Dame is in if they run the table, and not if they don't. But I have no idea who or how many will make it from the SEC right now. 6 teams with reasonable cases and one more fringe team. Their head to head games will either muddy the waters even further or clinch it for a couple teams and knock a couple others out.
  6. CubColtPacer
    There's going to be 5 undefeated teams left at the end of the night. Going back to the preseason poll, 42 teams received votes. 3 of the 5 undefeated teams did not receive any votes in that poll (the other 2 were #3 and #19). That's pretty crazy.
  7. CubColtPacer
    The rankings are really, really close though when you look at the raw point totals. It wouldn't take much for them to jump those 4 spots. I looked at the old BCS computers. One of them has a site that averages out basically every college football computer ranking known to man (some I'm sure that are more geared towards resume, and some that are geared towards who is projected to be the best going forward). Here's the top 10 of that composite ranking 1. Oregon, 2. Ohio State, 3. Penn State, 4. Miami, 5. Texas, 6. Georgia, 7. Notre Dame, 8. Alabama. 9. Indiana, 10. BYU
  8. CubColtPacer
    Why would Deshaun do that though? His contract is completely guaranteed.
  9. CubColtPacer
    From watching the game, he definitely wasn't spectacular. But he was very good, and made some excellent throws. He kept his eyes downfield even more than I had ever seen before. There were still some weird are they Justin Fields fault but they keep happening to his team sort of moments though like the snap that went off his face that basically ended the game.
  10. CubColtPacer
    This is actually all about the cap. Towns is being paid like a top 10 player but isn't quite that. The rest of the Knicks cap situation looks better than the Timberwolves. So they had the luxury to add KAT's salary, while the Timberwolves badly needed some salary relief and flexibility.
  11. CubColtPacer
    They don't have to be designated that way, but in this case he was and so yup needed to be dressed in case that happened.
  12. CubColtPacer
    The play in has been an amazing idea for the league. It has less to do with the play in games itself than the impact on the regular season. Now there is a race for the 6 seed that was never there before. There is a difference between 7 and 8. And then there are teams at 9/10 who haven't packed it in and sometimes a 11th seed that is chasing a play in spot. With all those extra teams playing for something, there is a huge difference in the competition level the last couple weeks of the season.
  13. CubColtPacer
    I'm starting the process of buying tickets for a group of 8-9 people. The ticket site will only allow you to look at tickets in groups of 6. The 8-9 of us would like to sit as close as possible to each other. Are there any tips or tricks on how to get 8-9 tickets for a single game in close proximity to each other? Do I just have to split them into two groups, keep adding to cart in different sections, and hope I get lucky that they are close to each other?
  14. CubColtPacer
    That's not really the point of the math though. It's not because the 2 point play is a higher percentage play in isolation. It's more that you have 3 opportunities to basically flip a coin. You can go for 2 after the first TD. You can go for 2 after the second TD. Or you can flip the OT coin. You have to flip one of those three coins to win the gmae If you lose the OT coin flip, you lose, If you lose the second TD coin flip, you almost certainly lose. If you lose the first coin flip, you have options. That's why it's so much better to do it then. And expanding it to these situations isn't going to change the percentages that much. It makes sense for a normal team to go for 2 maybe 5-6 times during an entire season. It doesn't need to be 55 percent, if it's more like 47-50 percent the math still makes sense to go for it.
  15. CubColtPacer
    The Bears had 6 drives in this game. 6 is ridiculous. To illustrate that, the average team runs 5.87 plays per drive this season. The Bears ran 7.67 plays per drive today. And that means they ran the 9th fewest number of plays in the NFL this season. I can't find anywhere that will give me # drive stats for a single game, but it's quite possible 6 is the lowest in the league all season.
  16. CubColtPacer
    There are 22 drives on average for both teams in an NFL game this year. We are on drive number #10 at the end of 3 quarters.
  17. CubColtPacer
    The Packers are averaging 68.5 yards per drive and haven't turned it over. That's not exactly ordinary defense.
  18. CubColtPacer
    From an outsider who's watching Fields carefully: I feel like the first two sacks were plays he didn't have much of a chance whatsoever. The last one he could have gotten rid of but was still a pretty standard sack that QB's around the league take regularly.
  19. CubColtPacer
    It's the same concept. If you get the 2, a field goal wins the game. If you don't make it, you know you need a TD to win. If you believe that your chances of making the 2 and your chances of winning in OT if you make it there are roughly equivalent, then you should go for 2. Because if you lose in OT you just lose. While if you miss the 2 you can adjust your strategy and potentially still win. That's why the math favors going for 2 in that scenario.
  20. CubColtPacer
    Those were replays from last week.
  21. CubColtPacer
    This could be 2000 all over again. Florida State finished #2 with 1 loss to #3 Miami, and Miami finished #3 with 1 loss to #4 Washington who had 1 loss.
  22. CubColtPacer
    People have mentioned others, but the TD pass to Hockenson was another play that make this stat wrong.
  23. CubColtPacer
    Unless they ruled that he was giving himself up, which they are more likely to do for a QB dive, but it's not an automatic call either.
  24. CubColtPacer
    The Cardinals are expected to get Kyler back next week. Who knows what he will look like coming off the torn ACL, but that should help them win a game or two. Early indications are that Stafford will be back after the bye.
  25. CubColtPacer
    I think that was more legit, but I think there are two main reasons that it was a bad call. 1) Cooper puts his hands on him arguably first which usually increases the amount of contact allowed. 2) Even though it appears like the defender was trying to commit a foul as he was falling down, he doesn't make nearly as much contact as he wants to. Cooper stiff arming the defender caused more impediment of the route than the actual contact by the defender,
×
×
  • Create New...