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CubColtPacer

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Everything posted by CubColtPacer

  1. CubColtPacer
    I found myself doing that once. Don't you just feel dirty now? Let's just say that it's an experience that will be even harder to repeat than it was to do it the first time :D
  2. CubColtPacer
    Simmons has had us losing a ton of games this year-----the fact that he picks against us is a positive. Yeah, and if he picks us, I'm not going to be happy either. In fairness to Simmons though, he is picking against the spread, and the Bears and Colts both were heavy favorites in many games, which makes it tempting to pick the underdog to cover. In addition, both the Bears and Colts played the Patriots, and of course Simmons is going to pick the Patriots in that case. Ugh-I can't believe I just defended him.
  3. CubColtPacer
    But you can't forget that there's significant statistical proof of a Coors Field "hangover" effect. You can make the point that his numbers have been dropping, yes... but his away numbers certainly aren't reflective of his actual talent level right now. I wholly expect Helton's numbers will be better than his away numbers-but I do think there will be a dropoff from Colorado. Coors Field is perfect for a hitter like Helton, and I'm not sure that Boston will be as kind to him. I could see him putting up an 830-900 OPS next year (which would be significantly better than his away numbers last year) but would that be enough to justify the contract, the talent given up, and the small loss on defense that the Red Sox would give up? Considering the length of the contract, I would say probably not.
  4. CubColtPacer
    One thing that should be mentioned that hasn't is that Helton's numbers will likely seriously drop moving away from Coors field. Here are his home/road splits from the last 3 years: 2004: home-.368/.490/.693, away-.326/.446/.544 2005- home-.353/.471/.616, away-.287/.418/.453 2006- home-.338/.445/.531, away-.266/.360/.421 He's 33, his numbers have declined each of the sharply between both of the last 2 years, and his home and away splits have been around 200 points each of the last 3 years. This is most certainly not a sure-fire trade for the Red Sox. In fact-it's certainly possible that they are getting the last 5 years of a contract like Soriano's (depending on how much the Rockies pay) without getting the benefit of the first 3 years of production-and it could be even worse than that if he can't pull those away numbers back up to where they were pre-2006. I think this is an extremely risky trade for the Red Sox, and if they have to give up decent talent, I wouldn't make the deal. Helton might work for 2007, but he's not likely going to work well beyond that.
  5. CubColtPacer
    The neighbor to the South is always watching! :) Yeah-it still takes 2 more national titles for us to catch you :D. That's all right, number 2 and 3 in national titles all time isn't bad!
  6. CubColtPacer
    A-OK? Both instances drew suspensions. Get off the moral high horse, you have the dirtiest coach in the game. The dirtiest coach in the game? LOL-there's people at major programs who have both had bigger violations and more alleged violations than Sampson ever has. John Calipari just to name one-and I don't think he's on the moral high horse, he's just saying that if IU's recruits don't show class, than the players for Illinois show the exact same lack of class. They either both can make mistakes, or they both should not make any mistakes.
  7. CubColtPacer
    I'm not suprised at being laughed at a little on this (I'm a big boy I can take it). I seriously think this is one of those things that nobody will speak about, but has the potential to have an impact if one of the teams gets too lose down there. It's happened before... when did it happen before? I remember very distinctly when that Atlanta situation happened, all of a sudden the only thing that was being talked about was how he was caught with a hooker, and what would the team do to him, etc. etc. That was the only thing anyone was talking about after that---the only thing the team heard until up to game time. I think it became a HUGE distraction for the Falcons. I agree that it was an absolutely huge distraction for the Falcons that year.
  8. CubColtPacer
    An IU recruit did the same thing in high school, and got suspended for over a year for it. It will be interesting to see if something similar happens to Mayo. Just another example of the class Kelvin is bringing in. He made a mistake-can people not make one mistake? Here are some of his quotes from an e-mail sent this week to the Indiana beat writer: He sounds like a kid who's been through a lot in life-from all I've heard about him though, once they take him out of his environment it will be much easier for him. He made a mistake, but he seems to have a pretty good head on his shoulder, and has owned up to his mistake the whole time. If that's too much of quotes mod I'm sorry-it's not really a published article, but just a blog from the beat writer where he provides more quotes that he couldn't get in the paper. The link is below (believe me, there are some not intelligent IU fans on there, just a friendly warning): http://blogs.indystar.com/hoosiersinsider/
  9. CubColtPacer
    An IU recruit did the same thing in high school, and got suspended for over a year for it. It will be interesting to see if something similar happens to Mayo.
  10. CubColtPacer
    No. They don't. But their columns aren't meant to be read, so really that's your mistake. True-one of them got posted on a message board yesterday that I took a look at (my mistake) and one was in my paper this morning. I guess I'll avoid any more Chicago articles from now on, unless they are talking about the Cubs :D. Yeah, I don't recommend you read the Cubs articles either. That's actually exactly what I was thinking after I posted that.
  11. CubColtPacer
    And yet an injury ravaged U of I team with a coach that is nothing special without Bill Self's kids just beat IU. Yes they did. We'll see them again though, on their way to the NIT. Not sure I'd be on my high horse if I was an IU fan. You've got to dig pretty far back into that nostalgic past to find any glory. As for the future, I doubt there will be any IU national titles coming, maybe forever. It's hard to say that-I mean, an IU team almost basically stole a title 5 years ago (came about 7 minutes away) and they weren't really any better than this year's team, for example. Any team can win a title if they have the right pieces, and IU looks in the next year or two to have the right pieces-the problem is that it depends on getting hot at the right time, which is not really something that a team can control.
  12. CubColtPacer
    No. They don't. But their columns aren't meant to be read, so really that's your mistake. True-one of them got posted on a message board yesterday that I took a look at (my mistake) and one was in my paper this morning. I guess I'll avoid any more Chicago articles from now on, unless they are talking about the Cubs :D.
  13. CubColtPacer
    What's this with all these Chicago writers taking shots at the city and state of Indianapolis and Indiana? Not only are they not funny, but half of them aren't even true! I thought Chicago writers had a little more class than that?
  14. CubColtPacer
    How things have changed in the last 6 months. 6 months ago, I would have wanted Illinois to kill Purdue, but this IU-UI rivalry has become so intense very quickly, and I found myself rooting for freaking Purdue to win a game. HA HA HA you have beat us once in the last what, 5 years now? I wouldn't say it is too intense just yet. IU beat Illinois a couple? more times in the Big 10 tournament. IU-Illinois has had some great, last-minute finishes over the last 4-5 years. While Illinois has won most of the games during the season, it still was intense-and from the atmosphere at Illinois last week, it seemed pretty intense to me. At least, I've seen a couple other Illinois home games, and the crowd wasn't nearly as intense as they were for the IU game.
  15. CubColtPacer
    That would be a great argument if it was true. In Sept the team had a .414 winning percentage...better than their season total of .407. Who did we play other than Theriot, who was awesome? Well, it extends all the way back to the trading of Maddux and Walker-when most people talk about last years team, they talk about those two being on it-the team could have been a couple games better with those two. Lee would have come back and stayed if they were in the race. Z was held out one more start then he normally would have when he hurt his back. Aramis sat a couple more days then he normally would. There were a few more things with pitchers, but the biggest things were the trading of Maddux and Lee coming back late, and then leaving early. This is a team who had Henry Blanco playing first base for multiple games-that doesn't strike me as a team trying to win. Their winning percentage after Maddux got traded was .404. Right inline with their season total. Whether they were trying to win or not, they still ended up being just as good in Aug and Sept as they were the rest of the year. True-but the team was different by July than it had been in May and June. The team was just starting to play better in July when the pitching staff turned into Z and the 4 rookies in August (admittedly, Hill was amazing, which helped). The team had a 2 month slump where they were one of the worst teams to ever take the field-it's not like they were a consistent .404 the entire year.
  16. CubColtPacer
    That would be a great argument if it was true. In Sept the team had a .414 winning percentage...better than their season total of .407. Who did we play other than Theriot, who was awesome? Well, it extends all the way back to the trading of Maddux and Walker-when most people talk about last years team, they talk about those two being on it-the team could have been a couple games better with those two. Lee would have come back and stayed if they were in the race. Z was held out one more start then he normally would have when he hurt his back. Aramis sat a couple more days then he normally would. There were a few more things with pitchers, but the biggest things were the trading of Maddux and Lee coming back late, and then leaving early. This is a team who had Henry Blanco playing first base for multiple games-that doesn't strike me as a team trying to win.
  17. CubColtPacer
    Gene Wojciechowski wrote an article in September giving 100 predictions for the NFL season, and he's come back and graded them. Some of those were playoff predictions, and he gives himself half credit when he picks the winner, but not the loser correctly. Here is a note that Bears fans may want to pick up on: What does it mean? Gene is going to pick the Bears in whatever column he writes this week after trashing the Bears for the last 7 or 8 weeks. Congratulations on changing his mind! http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/columns/story?columnist=wojciechowski_gene&id=2744346&lpos=spotlight&lid=tab2pos1
  18. CubColtPacer
    Nice call. Won by 15 despite an insane difference in FTs. What was it like 34-18, with 10 of those coming in game lengthening time for IU? I would have been disappointed with anything other than a double digit win at home, against a weak UM team. That's now 11 in a row for the RED over the Blue. The Wisconsin game will be interesting. UW hasn't dominated recently, and they haven't dominated at all on the road this year. The game is actually on Wednesday, which is great for IU. UW plays tomorrow on the road at Iowa, has to travel back, before travelling again to Bloomington, and IU has an extra day of rest. Indiana is 11-0 at home, scoring almost 20 more points per game in Bloomington. The key is who dictates the matchups. UW is much bigger than IU. If IU gets beat up inside by the bigger Badgers, UW will win. IF IU can shoot and drive around the slower Badgers, Hoosiers will win. Not a good matchup for Lance Stemler defensively. But I think IU can take advantage and make Tucker work on D against a quick guard that will take it off the dribble like Shaw or Ratliff. I agree with those keys to the game. It's really too bad that this is the one game out of the last 6 that isn't being shown nationally-and then the next one that isn't is the next Purdue game! I just don't understand the TV coverage sometimes-I can't wait to get back up to Indiana next year.
  19. CubColtPacer
    Yeah, it's simply a mammoth game. Lose, and the best IU can really hope for this season is 3rd. Win, and they are right back in the chase for one of the top 2 spots. It will be interesting to see if IU can contain Wisconsin's size. It's just my opinion, but I think OSU and Wisconsin are on another level than Indiana (or anyone else in the B10, for that matter). Hoping for a 1 or 2 finish is being very optimistic. I don't disagree that they are better teams than IU, but IU has a distinct schedule advantage. If the Hoosiers win Wednesday (and I'll conceed that is far from a lock), they will be 1 loss behind UW and OSU, and they are done with both teams. UW and the Buckeyes still play in Columbus, so that will be a second loss for one of them, tying IU. IU has the following road games left: at Iowa, at Purdue, at Michigan, at NU, and at MSU. Other than MSU there is nothing too scary there. IU still has a long way to go, and they'll need some help, but it is quite possible they make a run at the UW-OSU loser for 2nd in the Big Ten. Exactly. IMO, after Wednesday the Hoosiers will have played their 3 hardest games of the conference season (OSU at OSU, Wisconsin at home, at Illinois). After Wednesday, IU has Illinois, Minnesota, and Penn State at home-with the only realistic loss possibility coming to Illinois, and I see IU getting up for that game. On the road, they should hopefully beat Northwestern at NU, which leaves Michigan, Purdue, Iowa, and Michigan State. Beat Wisconsin on Wednesday, and the Hoosiers have a great shot at 12-4 with a decent possibility of being 13-3 in conference. I think 13-3 in that scenario would get the Hoosiers the 2 seed in the Big 10 tourney.
  20. CubColtPacer
    Yeah, it's simply a mammoth game. Lose, and the best IU can really hope for this season is 3rd. Win, and they are right back in the chase for one of the top 2 spots. It will be interesting to see if IU can contain Wisconsin's size.
  21. CubColtPacer
    The Colts won't really be "away" and remember, this team has traditionally been incredible on the road. In fact, I'm pretty sure under Dungy, the Colts home and road record is almost identical. I don't know what happened to make us lose 4 in a row like that (and btw, you forgot the Giants game), but it certainly seems to be corrected now, and the Ravens game didn't look anything like the Jags or Texans games, which were simply embarrassing. Just pointing out that this year, they haven't been as good away from the dome as they are in it. That is a very valid point-I was just pointing out that they historically have been very good on the road, and this year they were very good on the road (winning at NYG, NYJ, Denver, and NE-all quality teams) before suddenly forgetting how to play on the road for a little while-it seems like just an aberration now though.
  22. CubColtPacer
    The Colts won't really be "away" and remember, this team has traditionally been incredible on the road. In fact, I'm pretty sure under Dungy, the Colts home and road record is almost identical. I don't know what happened to make us lose 4 in a row like that (and btw, you forgot the Giants game), but it certainly seems to be corrected now, and the Ravens game didn't look anything like the Jags or Texans games, which were simply embarrassing.
  23. CubColtPacer
    I wouldn't have a problem with worst to first, but how often does it happen? I'll go into it with an open mind because he did do some good this offseason, but something does need to happen this year for him to retain his job. I have a feeling if they are at least in contention for most of the year Hendry will keep his job. Remember that he has a contract through 2008, and if the team shows that improvement they'll let him have his last year of the deal to see if he can get the team into the playoffs.
  24. CubColtPacer
    It's also mind numbingly boring to not compete against an opponent all year. That's what I was thinking-roto more accurately displays your skill, but head to head is more fun, and for a newbie who might take a month or two to get acclimated head to head is much better, because a new person could make a comeback in a head to head league, while some roto leagues if you don't get out to a good start you're just about finished for the entire year.
  25. CubColtPacer
    I hate hate hate hate hate hate this argument. The taking their record and projecting additions? So do I-especially considering 2 things. 1) The Cubs tanked most of the end of the season in order to do their more valuable thing of figuring out who could contribute in 2007, and 2) Sometimes even one change can turn a losing team into a winning team, or vice versa. I'd rather just throw out the 2006 record almost entirely and just compare the team directly to the other teams in the league and division-if they are better, then they are better.
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