I assume you're laughing at the last sentence? Indiana took a team that was picked to be 9th in the Big 10 and a fringe NCAA tournament and instead is likely a top 4 NCAA seed. And that's with one 5 star and only two 4 stars playing, so they weren't drowning in talent. Beilein's close, but they have similar overall resumes and Indiana overacheived much more than Michigan did this year. (UM's starting five was/is entirely composed of 3-star players) also, you seem to be arguing more that preseason predictions were woefully askew, rather than that Crean did any great job of coaching I'm using preseason predictions because that seems like the least flawed way. You can use record from last year to this year, but that doesn't take into account the turnover in the roster. You can take into account level of talent based off recruiting rankings, but many of those rankings are out of date for players who are juniors or seniors. I also use preseason predictions because the main two criteria for coaches of the year seem to be winning in general, and overachieving preseason expectations. Let's say this. I think Beilein should be in the race for National COY as well because I respect the recruiting rankings argument for lack of talent. But I don't think the voters put nearly as much stock in that as winning and exceeding expectations, so I think he'd clearly have to be behind Crean based off of those two categories. But I don't think Crean will win it either, nor will I be upset when he doesn't.