CubColtPacer
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Everything posted by CubColtPacer
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I don't either. The only thing I can think of is that earlier in the season when Izturis was struggling DeRosa and Theriot both got some work in practice at SS. After that work, they decided to put Theriot there, and they haven't played DeRosa there once. Now they decide to put Fontenot there-they must have seen something about DeRosa at SS that they didn't like.
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I'm hoping that by the All-Star Break, the Cubs will be either 5.5 or 6.5 back in the division (after this Cubs-Brewers series, both teams play Pittsburgh and Washington for 7 games before the break). Hopefully the Cubs can beat up on the Pirates and Nationals though and that they will be in 3rd or 4th in the WC at that point around 4 games out. Both of these are realistic goals IMO, and they would set the Cubs up to make a run in the second half.
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Dave Bush, in addition to throwing 2 innings in this Brewers-Astros game, has been named the Brewers starter for Sunday against the Cubs.
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Dempster to the DL
CubColtPacer replied to 98navigator's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
It's hard to tell. Lou has brought Howry in 3 times and Marmol twice. He might continue to alternate them and try to go with the fresher arm. -
I don't think there's any doubt. Dempster hasn't done anything to lose the job this year, so he's still the closer.
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I think they are planning to have Fontenot at SS instead like they did last night.
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Dempster to the DL
CubColtPacer replied to 98navigator's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Will Ohman, are you kidding? I'm sure Ohman will simply be used to close in situations like last night. They are just saying they'll play the matchups-if a couple of left-handers are up, they will use Ohman just like it was any other inning. -
The Cubs saw 30 pitches that inning. They swung at 4 of them.
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I agree that DeRosa is not a lock to keep putting up starter-like numbers, but I'm not sure why Cedeno and Fontenot should both be trusted to put up better numbers than DeRosa. How is Cedeno's 100 AAA at-bats worth more than DeRosa's last 800 ML at-bats? The same goes for Fontenot on a lesser scale. If one of DeRosa or Fontneot start sliding majorly, then replace that one with Cedeno. Otherwise, there isn't really a good reason to make a change.
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For the Cubs to win the wildcard, they would have no choice but to play very well for an extended time. For the Cubs to win the division, they would be able to back into it by playing averagely if the rest of the division plays poorly. Given the Cubs' play this year, the second scenario seems to be more likely. I agree with all of this. All I'm doing is not dismissing the WC as an option. I know the division is the best chance, but plenty of people are tracking the division race, so I thought I would also track the WC race. It is certainly possible that it will take less wins to win the WC than it will the division. I also believe the Cubs have the capability of playing to the level of what the WC would need, and there have been so many changes in the team that I'm not sure what the team did earlier in the season applies as much anymore to what they will do in the future.
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That's sad to hear, but probably for the best. 2 straight days off for Ramirez will mean that there's a great chance that he's feeling fine for the Brewers series. I'm sure Fontenot will start at second now-I'm not sure if it will be Theriot or Izturis at SS.
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That's true. They did move another 1/2 game closer to the WC last night. Also, if the Cubs can beat Colorado today, they will move past them 5th in the WC chase, and are only 2-3 games behind Atlanta and Philadelphia for 3rd and 4th. Much more difficult to jump a bunch of teams in the Wild Card than it is to chase 1 team in the division. Did I ever say anything to the contrary? The Brewers and Cubs both have an easy schedule coming up though after they face each other-this is just another option if the Cubs and Brewers both keep winning games. Believe me, I'm watching the division race really closely as well, but if the Brewers keep winning I certainly do not think the Cubs are out of the WC chase yet.
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Dempster to the DL
CubColtPacer replied to 98navigator's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
This certainly sounds like it was needed. Hopefully the club doesn't have to pitch Dempster the last day before the break (the day he is scheduled to come back) and he can come back after the All Star Break completely healthy. http://chicago.cubs.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20070626&content_id=2050601&vkey=news_chc&fext=.jsp&c_id=chc -
That's true. They did move another 1/2 game closer to the WC last night. Also, if the Cubs can beat Colorado today, they will move past them 5th in the WC chase, and are only 2-3 games behind Atlanta and Philadelphia for 3rd and 4th.
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A little bit of a strange thing-Fontenot didn't get a single chance at a ground ball yesterday, or a single chance to turn a double play. Unless Lou wants to give one of them a day off, my guess is that Fontenot-DeRosa will be the double play combination once again.
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Well it better not take place during July 7-8 when I see the Cubs in Pittsburgh. That would be an ideal time. The Cubs should have no problem smacking down the Pirates with Ward at 1B. I don't know. I'd rather face a bad team with a bunch of right-handers during Lee's suspension rather than face the Pirates and their 3 left-handers. The Cubs already have enough trouble hitting left-handers, they don't need Ward in for Lee on those days. My vote is for right after the all-Star Break, and have the 5 games the 3 against the Astros and 2 against the Giants. My guess is that the way they order their rotations after the All-Star Break the Cubs will only see one left-hander during those games, and it's even possible they don't see any, plus again those are bad teams that hopefully the Cubs can win even without Lee. One last note-Dempster will be back by then, and everybody else should be healthy as well because of the break, which will make it easier to deal with the suspension.
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Who are the Brewers scheduled to face when the Cubs are facing Pitt and Wash? Unfortunately, they also face the Pirates and the Nationals. All the Cubs can do is beat up on those two teams though, and if the Brewers do the same at least the Cubs should be quite a bit closer in the WC race at that point. i don't know...i really think the only way that the cubs make the playoffs is by taking the division...they would have to start playing like a team possessed to win the wild card IMO everyone who has been paying attention to the standings has known that the Cubs only shot at the playoffs was a division win since late April. it's never more realistic to assume that 5 other teams will all play worse than you than one will. There's a reason our odds of winning the WC are what, 1/20 our odds of winning the division? 1/20 as likely to win the WC as win the division? Not according to PECOTA, it's not. The Cubs have a 23.2% chance of winning the division, and a 14.0% chance to win the WC. The division is more likely, but the Cubs still have a shot in the WC race-their WC chances certainly did not end in "late April". http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/ps_oddspec.php
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BTW Fred, I believe this was credited as a single and an error, although Gameday lists it as a single and Hill scoring on obstruction with no error.
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Eh, either way, it takes a basehit to score him. Yeah, but a wild pitch doesn't score him now.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 6-26-2007
CubColtPacer replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
It's nice to see Colvin have his first good game with Tennessee. 2 for 3 so far with 1 BB and 1 2B. -
Dempster to the DL
CubColtPacer replied to 98navigator's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Jacque would never agree to go on the DL, and there's no injury to allow him to go on the DL. If the Cubs tried to make one up and Jacque contested it, it could become a really ugly situation. -
I remember in Milwaukee last year there was a ball in foul territory in right field that Jacque picked up and threw a perfect strike to the plate to nail the runner. It was an amazing throw-the next day, he had 2 throws home in the first inning-one was a 5 bouncer and the other one went over the catcher's head.
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They already did that part hours ago. Petrick is probably already in Chicago ready to pitch. If the Jones trade hadn't gone through, they would have sent somebody down instead. It sounded earlier like Dempster was going on the DL to make room for Petrick. I don't think the organization has decided if they should DL Dempster or not. Otherwise, they would have done it, and the story would be up already.
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They already did that part hours ago. Petrick is probably already in Chicago ready to pitch. If the Jones trade hadn't gone through, they would have sent somebody down instead.
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Because they got two players AND money and we got an A ball player. In all honesty, we probably did get the worst end of the deal, but Its really worth it in the end. but Rotoworld's details are sketchy. They don't say 2 for 1 or how much money is moving. Still, it amounts to getting nothing for nothing. It's not like playing in the vast Dolphin Stadium will help Jock's power outage The Marlins are short on outfielders unlike the Cubs. They really have nothing to lose by playing him and plenty to gain. It's like if a SS who had recent success but had fallen off the table this year got traded to the Cubs-at worst it's an even trade for them. This is a great example of a win-win deal for both squads.