CubColtPacer
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Everything posted by CubColtPacer
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WS Game 7, Bottom 9th - Cubs lead 2-1
CubColtPacer replied to Schwarber Fan's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I'd want Marmol and if Lou hadn't used him already, my guess is that it would be Marmol. That says nothing about the overall closer situation though. -
My brother told me that a win against a D1AA team doesn't count towards the necessary amount of wins (6) that you need to qualify for a bowl. I don't believe him, but is he right? It used to not count, but now you can have 1 win over a I-AA count towards your win total.
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Performance with RISP (Discussion from Game Thread)
CubColtPacer replied to Jazz's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I'll just provide some stats in this argument with little conclusion. Here are the Cub veterans and their stats in different situations. I am only including players who have had at least 3000 at-bats to try to get a good sample, and these are all career numbers: Cliff Floyd Nobody on .268/.336/.479 Runners on .291/.383/.491 RISP .289/.395/.510 Jacque Jones Nobody on .271/.313/.442 Runners on .291/.348/.470 RISP .289/.354/.487 Alfonso Soriano Nobody on .290/.330/.535 Runners on .267/.320/.478 RISP .250/.317/.445 Jason Kendall Nobody on .291/.359/.383 Runners on .308/.398/.411 RISP .290/.398/.374 Aramis Ramirez Nobody on .276/.321/.487 Runners on .292/.353/.516 RISP .294/.366/.531 Derrek Lee Nobody on .282/.357/.512 Runners on .278/.379/.482 RISP .279/.393/.488 6 players total. difference between bases empty and runners on is: 5 people with a 50-100 point difference between the two OPS's, and 1 person with less than a 50 point difference. difference between bases empty and RISP is: 1 person with over a 100 point difference, 3 people between 50 and 100 points difference, 2 people with less than 50 points difference. -
Brewers fans (some of them, anyways)
CubColtPacer replied to XZero771679666304's topic in General Baseball Talk
mark derosa should be there too. .297/.376/.423 he had a career year at 31, and is now doing even better at 32. I wouldn't call this year better than last year. His OBP is up 19 points, but his slugging is down 33 points. It's pretty close to a wash with maybe a tiny edge towards last year. I definitely agree that some regression was expected though, so he should be on the list. I disagree with Hill on that list (because most people had high expectations for him), and Theriot (because he hasn't been that good). Other then that, I'd agree with it. -
Considering that he's started 5 out of the last 8 games and Blanco hasn't even had had 1 inning behind the plate since September 3rd? I would say that it is definite that Soto will be on the playoff roster.
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How bad of a team is Louisville this year? 3 weeks in a row: Give up 42 to MTSU lose to Kentucky Now they are down 21-7 to an awful Syracuse team at halftime at home. I fully expect they'll come back and win the game, but I'm not sure Louisville is a top 25 team this year.
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I don't see why not. He got that this year. Clemens is doing the exact same thing and he got 20+. Bonds got that this year, but only after fishing around for offers from all the other clubs including showing up at the winter meetings and finding that nobody else would take him. Now, his good year this year might change that for somebody.
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In addition to his comments about Soto, Lou had this to say about Hart: This could be an interesting situation for the offseason if Hart earns a spot on the team. The first question would be if Hart would be a starter or a relief pitcher. Here are the Cubs pitchers currently locked up for next year: Starter: Z, Lilly, Hill, Marquis Relief: Dempster, Marmol, Wuertz, Howry, Eyre, Possible starting options: Marshall, Gallagher, Hart Possible Relief options: Wood (if he's re-signed), Ohman, Hart Now the question is, does Hart mean the end of Marshall or Wood on the Cubs? Or does Hart simply become the 12th pitcher next year and Ohman is traded? Or does somebody else entirely get traded? It does mean that the Cubs don't need to go into the market for pitching whatsoever this year. They have an extra pitcher to trade even if you send Gallagher to AAA.
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Kendall or Soto would pinch-hit anyway. Lou likes to use a lot of his players, and after the 6th inning or so isn't worried as much about injuries. Remember all those times earlier in the year when Lou ran out of players? He has pinch-hit with the backup catcher a decent amount this year. Of course, I think you'll see Monroe back in the starting lineup today, but I wouldn't be shocked if Lou pulled him again as soon as the Pirates go to their bullpen.
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Lou on Dempster and the closers situation before Friday's game: That is definitely one area where Lou understands the situation better than most managers. http://chicago.cubs.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20070921&content_id=2221866&vkey=news_chc&fext=.jsp&c_id=chc
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The Cubs are 5-1 with Soto in September. They lost 6-1 to the Pirates on the 7th of September.
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what are we doing with Blanco and his atrocious $2.8M (essentially $3.1M once you include the buyout) contract? I don't know, but do you have a healthy veteran player who you simply bench for all of September and then bring him back the next year? I would be surprised by that, but then again the other options are not all that likely either (cut-possible, trade-no, retire-probably most probable)
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This is the game I give Theriot his last day of rest before the playoffs. He could use another day, and a day where Cedeno has hit well against the scheduled starter and Theriot has not is the perfect opportunity.
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Lou had decided early on that Hill was going to be pushed back to the final weekend, and the final start of the season by the #5 options was going to be Thursday. Nobody knew who that starter was going to be though until now. Marshall hasn't gone above 85 pitches since July, a span of 8 starts. His arm almost has to be worn down because a couple of those starts he got taken out in strange situations. He also has been pretty terrible in August and in his limited innings in September Because of that, I don't mind them not starting Marshall. I would have started Hart over Trachsel, but it's a close enough decision that going with the veteran doesn't make me upset. Hopefully they'll keep Trachsel on a very short leash (and Marshall can come in and relieve if Trachsel struggles early).
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That was the one game the big 4 couldn't pitch for the rest of the year. Personally, I would have gone the risky route and picked Kevin Hart to start that game. Trachsel was decent, awful, and then a little lucky in his 3 starts with the Cubs, and Marshall has been awful his last couple starts as well.
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What do you mean? It's still Dempster, unless he's out with the flu again like the other night.
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He hasn't pitched since Sunday. I really wouldn't want him coming in tomorrow on 5 days rest.
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There are no good options for the Cubs against a left-hander. Ward, Floyd, and Fontenot are the best 3 hitters on the bench, and all of them are terrible against left-handers (Floyd is probably the guy who would be the best option if you had to pick 1 of them, Ward is awful against LHP).
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Horrible day for Marquis today-I kind of figured he was due for one after the run of good starts he's been having. I didn't think it would be quite this bad though. It's still plenty early though, and the Cubs still have a shot to win. I also don't think this is anywhere near the biggest start of the year for Marquis-most of the other ones in September were bigger, as was the game against Milwaukee in late June when the Cubs desperately needed to win 2 out of 3. So yes, it hurts, but I'm not panicking.
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The Cubs will almost certainly lose some national interest if they win the WS. The excitement level for them will start to decline after the year they try to defend the title. At the same time, I'm talking about people who aren't necessarily fans of the Cubs. These are fans who tune in to see if the Cubs can do it or not, or if they are going to fall on their face like usual. Some end up rooting for the underdog Cubs, some don't. A few might actually go out and buy Cubs caps. That's about the limit though of what they do that actually benefits the Cubs franchise. At the same time, winning will push some fans from being casual fans into buying more tickets and merchandise. For the people who have been embarrassed to be fans before, now they will wear all their merchandise with pride. So national interest in the Cubs would be way down (especially around playoff time if the Cubs made the playoffs again, a lot less people care about a possible Yankees/Red Sox series this year than in 2003/2004 when everybody was watching to see if the Red Sox could get past the Yankees) but the fanbase would be stronger.
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Soto's getting his 4th start out of the last 7 games, and in 1 of the other games he was put in the game in the 5th inning. I think it's safe to say that even though Lou hasn't said anything about the catchers splitting time (probably to not say bad things about Kendall), that's exactly what he's doing. I put the odds at 60/40 that Soto gets a 2nd start in the Pirates series.
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I think ND is probably mad that 1) Jones completely deserted them. It's not that he transferred, he just left without a word and held up the team before a game. 2) NIU was probably guilty of tampering. The fact that he was not known to have been transferring on Friday afternoon (even to the team or the university), and then suddenly he enrolls at NIU Friday night? They almost certainly contacted him before he declared his inent to transfer, which is against the rules. At the same time, Jones is a young kid. ND is a university and should know better than to fire back at a kid. Just be the bigger party in this ND and let him go to NIU, don't make it more messy then he already made it. Unfortunately, it doesn't look like they are going to do that.
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As awful as Ramirez was defensively in Pittsburgh in 2003, it still looks a lot better than Braun's when you stack them up. Plus, Ramirez even then had a history of making the great plays and not making the easy ones. Braun can't do either. I am glad that he wasn't taken out either, and I would take out Braun in less situations than Yost has.
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Braun didn't jam his wrist. They double switched to avoid pulling a reliever for a PH. Hunter Pence slammed the wall last night harder than anyone I've ever seen, and he didn't come out of the game. And Houston isn't playing for anything. There is no excuse for what Yost did last night, but I'm not complaining. Were they winning or was it tied? They were up 2-1 in the 7th. This wasn't a move made for double switch purposes (they substituted Jenkins in for Dillon at the same time). They take Braun every time they are leading late for defensive purposes, and that's what they did here. So he did what he always does. Have Brewer fans or most importantly the team complained about this before? Is this guy a terrible fielder? It certainly doesn't sound like taking out Lee to me if he isn't a good defensive player. Even though Lee's defense has been rather Durhamish of late! Yeah, Brewers fans have definitely complained about this. Braun has committed 22 errors at third base even though he's only been in the majors since late May and also regularly only plays 7 innings. Even though I hate fielding percentage because the high numbers are so skewed, anybody with a fielding percentage below .900 is most likely an absolutely awful fielder.
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Braun didn't jam his wrist. They double switched to avoid pulling a reliever for a PH. Hunter Pence slammed the wall last night harder than anyone I've ever seen, and he didn't come out of the game. And Houston isn't playing for anything. There is no excuse for what Yost did last night, but I'm not complaining. Were they winning or was it tied? They were up 2-1 in the 7th. This wasn't a move made for double switch purposes (they substituted Jenkins in for Dillon at the same time). They take Braun every time they are leading late for defensive purposes, and that's what they did here. With the Crew's BP, I think it's safe to say it's a bit presumptuous to think a 2-1 lead in the 7th is going to hold up just because you took Braun out for a better defender. I definitely would agree with that, but Yost obviously doesn't. I'm just saying this Braun thing is no new thing-Yost has been doing it for at least a month a possibly longer.