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Mephistopheles

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  1. Dude, we don't want to see North Carolina drill Ball State. Go to a decent bowl where you actually have a chance of beating your opponent. I watched North Carolina play Notre Dame, and there is very little chance that they would "drill" us. UNC is improving by the minute and is a legit top fifteen team. they're better than you and by quite a bit. they may not "drill" you but theyd handedly beat you by two touchdowns or more in all likelihood. I didn't say the Ohio State offense was good as theirs. I did say Penn State was, and there's a lot of evidence to make that argument. Like scoring at a high rate in a conference that plays defense. I said that Ohio State was as good as Oklahoma, Texas and Texas Tech, overall....factoring in defense etc. if i had to sit down and rank the teams in tiers, alphabetical order Tier One: Florida Southern Cal Tier Two: Alabama Georgia Ohio State Oklahoma Penn State Texas Tier Three: Brigham Young Louisiana State Missouri North Carolina Texas Christian Texas Tech Utah Tier Four (big tier, 20 teams or so all of comparable level): Oklahoma State A lot of teams including Ole Miss and Iowa You can make a pretty good argument that some of the third tier teams belong in the fourth tier, including Missouri.
  2. We're talking about the #3, #6, #11 and #12 offense in the ACC (that averages to #8) against the #5, #6, #9 and #11 defenses in the Big XII (that also averages to #8). So we've got basically a fair sample in that respect. There's doing well in those games, and there's doing alarmingly well. In fact, those four teams had their BEST games in those four games as far as offensive efficiency goes. THEIR BEST! Sure it's only four games, but it's pretty damn alarming and that is all we got. It's just noteworthy that an average ACC offense has shown the ability to put up points at an elite level against an average Big XII defense. That's not good. In a sport where we have very few direct overlapping of elite teams, things like this become very important. Again, I'm not making the argument that the offenses are as good as the Big XII offenses. I am merely making the argument that the Big XII is a very offensive friendly environment by virtue of their bad defenses. We need to account for this. The relationship isn't linear, and I am making that point too because I am really not downgrading Texas Tech, Missouri at all.
  3. I'm not saying they put the ball in the end zone as often. I'm saying that they scored as often. Again, I can make ignore these because I'm not trying to show that the offenses in the ACC are as good as those five mentioned. I am just merely making the observation that average ACC offense score a hell of a lot of against these same defenses. In the ACC, these teams generally are scoring around a third of their drives. We're just pointing out that they play in a very high offensive environment. Basically we have this analogy. Florida is scoring 900 runs while playing at Petco Park. Oklahoma is scoring 880 runs while playing at Coors Field.
  4. Dude, we don't want to see North Carolina drill Ball State. Go to a decent bowl where you actually have a chance of beating your opponent.
  5. Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas, and Missouri scored on 73 drives of 122 (59.8%) drives against Texas A&M, Colorado, Baylor and Nebraska. Miami-Florida, Wake Forest, Florida State and Virginia Tech scored on 37 of 48 (56.3%) drives against Texas A&M, Colorado, Baylor and Nebraska. The point isn't that the ACC offenses are as good as the Big XII offenses, the point is that the Big XII defenses can't stop average ACC offenses, nor Big XII offenses....meaning there's a lot of inflation among the Big XII's offensive statistics. Really, the data points to Florida being the best offense in college football, with Texas Tech following closely. Oklahoma, Missouri and Texas are a little ways behind and comparable to the elite offenses outside the Big XII, like Penn State, Georgia and others. Oklahoma State is a little ways behind even more. Comparable to a lot of the good offenses around the country. Really, Oklahoma State and Missouri overall aren't all that much better than Mississippi or any of the ACC teams that played the Big XII. The Texas, Texas Tech and Oklahoma the teams are probably not that much better than Georgia, North Carolina, Penn State, Ohio State, etc. I think the Big XII is going to be in for a rude awakening come bowl season.
  6. Which of the following teams have scored on less than 55% of their drives this season? Oklahoma State, Missouri, Florida, Oklahoma, Texas and Texas Tech Which of the following teams have scored a touchdown on at least half their drives this season? Oklahoma State, Missouri, Florida, Oklahoma, Texas and Texas Tech For what it's worth. North Carolina, Georgia, and Alabama scored as often as the teams mentioned above in their non-conference games, but have seen their success rates nearly halved in their conferences. Only the Big XII teams haven't. For what it's worth. The ACC has played four games against the Big XII this season (winning all four and having some of their best days of the season offensively). In fact.....if you restrict the Okie State, Mizzou, Oklahoma, Texas and Texas Tech's numbers to the same opponents. You find out that the ACC teams scored on 56.3% of their drives against Big XII opponents. The five Big XII opponents scored on 56.8% of their drives against Big XII opponents. A whopping difference of 0.5%! Really, guys the Big XII offenses aren't all that.
  7. 60.9% Southern Illinois over South Dakota State, Southern Illinois favored by about four points.
  8. Harris Poll: 1. Alabama 2. Texas Tech 3. Florida 4. Texas 5. Oklahoma BCS 1. Alabama 2. Texas Tech 3. 0.8798 Texas 4. 0.8640 Florida 5. 0.8444 Oklahoma
  9. http://www.suntimes.com/sports/baseball/cubs/1267764,CST-SPT-cub08.article
  10. It doesn't hurt that Indiana has two MAC losses and just one FBS win.
  11. Oklahoma State doesn't have any other go to receivers other than Bryant. Defenses can make one WR irrelevant if the other ones aren't too good. You can't do that with TTU's talented receiving corps. I'd go Crabtree, Maclin and Bryant 1-3 in the Big XII.
  12. We're going to lose by three touchdowns. 87.8% Cal Poly over UC Davis. Cal Poly's favored by 17 points. you can really do this for i-aa? what about the holy cross game? 57.7% Lafayette over Holy Cross. Lafayette favored by a little over two points.
  13. Meph Challenge Week 3 #1 Alabama 24-10 over Mississippi State #3 Florida 42-13 over #24 South Carolina #4 Texas 45-24 over Kansas #6 USC 34-6 over Stanford #7 Penn State 37-10 over Indiana #8 Utah 42-10 over San Diego State #10 Ohio State 34-24 over Illinois #11 Oklahoma State 31-28 over Colorado #12 Missouri 45-14 over Iowa State Auburn 24-21 over #13 Georgia #14 Ball State 45-14 over Miami-Ohio Air Force 27-24 over #16 Brigham Young #17 North Carolina 35-14 over Maryland #19 Louisiana State 27-10 over Troy #20 Florida State 27-24 over Boston College #22 Cincinnati 34-20 over Louisville California 28-24 over #23 Oregon State Houston 21-20 over #25 Tulsa
  14. We're going to lose by three touchdowns. 87.8% Cal Poly over UC Davis. Cal Poly's favored by 17 points.
  15. 96.7% #1 Alabama over Mississippi State 96.0% #3 Florida over #24 South Carolina 80.0% #4 Texas over Kansas 95.5% #6 USC over Stanford 98.2% #7 Penn State over Indiana 96.2% #8 Utah over San Diego State 66.4% #10 Ohio State over Illinois 87.6% #11 Oklahoma State over Colorado 90.4% #12 Missouri over Iowa State 76.3% #13 Georgia over Auburn 94.2% #14 Ball State over Miami-Ohio 53.8% Air Force over #16 Brigham Young 80.8% #17 North Carolina over Maryland 82.6% #19 Louisiana State over Troy 58.1% #20 Florida State over Boston College 72.8% #22 Cincinnati over Louisville 57.9% #23 Oregon State over California 53.2% #25 Tulsa over Houston Upset Alert Game of the Week Accuracy Last Week: 90-100: 5-0 80-90: 3-0 70-80: 4-1 60-70: 2-2 50-60: 1-0 Year to Date: 90-100: 41-4 91% 80-90: 30-3 91% 70-80: 20-11 65% 60-70: 12-8 60% 50-60: 9-8 53%
  16. haha youre not kidding http://www.dailypress.com/sports/dp-spt_hamptonuniversitynotes_1nov09,0,333961.story
  17. Meph Challenge Week 11 Results Common games only, UF score ignored (I didn't pick it) SouthSideRyan Record: 13-4 Avg Difference: 13.25 Mephistopheles Record: 13-4 Avg Difference: 12.25 Sagarin Predictor Record: 15-2 Avg Difference: 10.54 FO Record: 15-2 Avg Difference: 12.38 Meph's biggest gaffes: Pittsburgh vs Louisville (37 diff), Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State (39 diff) SSR's biggest gaffes: West Virginia vs Cincinnati (30 diff), Ohio State vs Northwestern (22 diff) JSP's biggest gaffes: Ohio State vs Northwestern (33 diff), Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State (32 diff) FO biggest gaffes: Ohio State vs Northwestern (34 diff), Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State (26 diff) Meph's best calls: Michigan State vs Purdue (0 diff), Brigham Young vs San Diego State (1 diff) SSR's best calls: Emofornia vs Southern Emo (0 diff), Boise State vs Utah State (1 diff) JSP's best calls: Boise State vs Utah State (1 diff), Michigan State vs Purdue (1 diff) FO best calls: Florida State vs Clemson (2 diff), Boise State vs Utah State (5 diff)
  18. top left fast. top right curve or slider. the difference between the two isnt grip, its the way its thrown bottom left two seam, sinker or screw ball bottom right, change/palm
  19. I wonder if College Gameday will be heading out to Gainesville for the second time this season. There's not another top twenty-five game on the schedule. Obviously, they will be returning for that marquee matchup the next weekend vs The Citadel, as that figures to be a much better matchup than a little football game taking place in Norman. I could see them heading to Lawrence this week though.
  20. Florida lost their first place vote in the AP, and jumped ahead of OU in the Coaches AP Poll 1. Alabama (44) 2. Texas Tech (21) 3. Florida 4. Texas 5. Oklahoma 6. Southern Cal 7. Penn State 8. Utah 9. Boise State 10. Ohio State 11. Oklahoma State 12. Missouri 13. Georgia 14. Ball State 15. Texas Christian 16. BYU 17. North Carolina 18. Michigan State 19. Louisiana State 20. Florida State 21. Pittsburgh 22. Cincinnati 23. Oregon State 24. South Carolina 25. Tulsa Coaches Poll 1. Alabama (44) 2. Texas Tech (17) 3. Florida 4. Oklahoma 5. Texas 6. Southern Cal 7. Utah 8. Penn State 9. Boise State 10. Ohio State 11. Missouri 12. Georgia 13. Oklahoma State 14. Brigham Young 15. Michigan State 16. Ball State 17. North Carolina 18. Texas Christian 19. Florida State 20. Louisiana State 21. Pittsburgh 22. Cincinnati 23. South Carolina 24. Tulsa 25. Oregon State Weird. The AP and Coaches Polls have the exact same 25 teams. Different permutations, obviously. I can't remember the last time they had the exact same 25 members though.
  21. http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseball/cubs/chi-081108-sabathia-ramirez-boras-rogers,0,4164666.column
  22. thats because they play four crappy non conference games every season. Thats four automatic wins. They basically only need to win three games the rest of the season to stay .500. that's one against baylor. then one of crappy aTm, iowa state, kansas. he's gone 6-2 in conference once. he's usually 4-4 in conference. and you said ONE OF SIXTEEN! That's 1 out of 8 coaches. Im not saying he's not one of the top 16 coaches.
  23. Accuracy This Week: 90-100: 5-0 80-90: 3-0 70-80: 4-1 60-70: 2-2 50-60: 1-0 Year to Date: 90-100: 41-4 91% 80-90: 30-3 91% 70-80: 20-11 65% 60-70: 12-8 60% 50-60: 9-8 53%
  24. Rk W-L Team (Last Week) 1. 10-0 Alabama (1) 2. 10-0 Texas Tech (4) 3. 9-1 Forida (3) 4. 9-1 Texas (5) 5. 9-1 Oklahoma (6) 6. 8-1 Southern Cal (7) 7. 9-1 Penn State (2) 8. 10-0 Utah (9) 9. 8-2 Ohio State (12) 10. 8-2 Georgia (11) 11. 7-2 North Carolina (16) 12. 8-2 Oklahoma State (8) 13. 8-2 Missouri (13) 14. 8-2 Texas Christian (10) 15. 9-0 Boise State (14) 16. 6-3 Louisiana State (15) 17. 9-1 Brigham Young (17) 18. 9-2 Michigan State (20) 19. 7-2 Florida State (23) 20. 7-3 South Carolina (25) 21. 9-0 Ball State (18) 22. 7-2 Pittsburgh (UR) 23. 6-3 California (19) 24. 7-3 Georgia Tech (21) 25. 6-3 Oregon State (UR) Dropped Out: #22 West Virginia, #24 Kansas
  25. boo Cincy wins in OT. Still an amazing final minute and a half for WVU
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