What makes you confident? I was confident he would be back this year and was wrong. I'm done being confident... Because this is the only year where he's had problems like this, and given what we know about what kind of pitcher it is it's highly unlikely he'll be plagued with the same type of year so soon short of another fluke injury. If he gets hit by another ball or player again, hey, there's not much you can do to avoid that. You subtract those two injuries, his extended DL time is pretty minimal outside of this year and whenever he has been back, again, outside of this year, he's been really good to excellent.