Sammy Sofa
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Everything posted by Sammy Sofa
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He's not being racist so much as just being clueless and dumb. No, the scrutiny over Harper ISN'T even remotely close to what Robinson faced. It was just a stupid, stupid thing to say.
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HIS NAME IS "BRYCE," YOU STUPID JACKOFF. THAT SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST CLUE RIGHT THERE THAT THAT WAS A BAD IDEA.
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Furcal to Cardinals
Sammy Sofa replied to erik316wttn's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
It doesn't seem like anyone wants to give Pujols the 30m/ 10 year deal he's looking for, especially considering how the usual suspects don't "need" him since they are already paying big contracts to good players at his position. Pujols would probably make sense for a team like the Orioles who could probably pay him what he wants but would Pujols take less money to stay with the Cards? If the money is pretty close, he just might. The thing is that their reported offer wasn't close in money or years. And unless almost all of their recent moves are smoke and mirrors and they're going to let of ton of players go after this season then they're going to have to drastically raise their payroll to keep him. There's taking a hometown discount...and then there's him taking anything like what the Cardinals have offered so far AKA delusional insanity. -
Yup. Was going to bring that up, too. He's not walking because he's swinging at a ton more crap. Maybe he's pressing to get a big contract, but the dude is swinging at more junk than ever before. "A ton" in this case = 0.7% more than last year. that's a bit of a dishonest way of framing it yes, he's swung at 28.2% of pitches outside the zone this year compared to 27.5% last year, which isn't a big deal until you realize his previous worst rate was just 22.9% (the year before) and that his career average is 20.8% PleasewinCubs' statement about Pujols swinging at more crap is very defensible, and makes his low BABIP look like less of a fluke; still, it's pretty rash to discount him altogether based solely on this Good stuff. I'll admit, I respect people here based on all the numbers people come up with to frame discussions. I'd be more like the old-school scouts people hate. I just watch players and feel like you can tell when they just aren't the same anymore. I'll leave the numbers stuff to smarter guys on this board, but when I watch Albert this year as opposed to years past, I just know he's swinging at more junk because it stands out so much. One of those, 'Wow, I've never seen him chase that pitch before' type thing. See TT's post below yours.
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I'd be stunned if he actually gets that money from the Cardinals. And I understand the "peak years" argument, but again, we're talking about a very, very exceptional player here. What do you think the contract will end up being? More like 10 years, $250? And do you have him returning to the Cardinals like I do? I really don't know. I'm inclined to think the Cardinals are the clear favorite, but their reported offer to him before the season was so absurdly far off from his reported demands that it doesn't seem likely. Couple that with the potentially expensive moves they've set themselves up to make with all the players they have with options and expiring contracts and what have you and I really don't see him re-signing with them. Sure, the guy could take a huge hometown discount, but I have to imagine there's a lot of pressure on him from the union to set a precedent. The Cardinals could also suddenly up their payroll, which they'd have to do to keep their team from effectively being Holliday, Pujols, Wainwright and crap for a while.
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I'd be stunned if he actually gets that money from the Cardinals. And I understand the "peak years" argument, but again, we're talking about a very, very exceptional player here.
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Every superstar player is overpaid when they come to a point like Pujols is (Fielder, too). There's no "likely" about it. You have to overpay for those guys to get them on your team unless your team has developed them through the farm system (and then you can at least get some years of amazing production at "discount" levels).
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You're just going to have to trust him. At least give me this: Albert Pujols is not as a good of a baseball player this year as he has been throughout his career and it's not impossible to imagine that he is starting to decline. And that in four years, he isn't going to be worth anywhere near the money the Cardinals (hopefully) pay him. Pretty much nobody here who is in favor of signing him has ignored the fact that he will be declining during a good chunk of that contract. Maybe even technically most of it. The key though is that the greatest hitter of all time can afford to start declining and still be either better than everyone else or in the very top tier of players. Unless he topples of a cliff a "typical" decline from a player of Pujols' caliber is more than acceptable. And quite honestly, even if he falls off of a cliff after 4-5 years of an 8-year contract, it'll be almost certainly worth it. He's THAT good.
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Anywhere between $25 and $30 million. Ideally not for more than 8 years. Look, if he has another regression and starts looking more like he did the first two months there's definitely more reason for concern. But if he's OPS-ing around 1.000 the rest of the way I'm not too worried about at least the first half of such a deal.
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You're pretty confident about this. I keep waiting for some kind of ace up your sleeve.
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Please tell me you have more to back this up than "I saw a few 'bad' swings."
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So what? There's this underlying tone of "playoffs or bust" when talking about 2012. The key is showing significant improvement from this year. If they end up only being .500, great. They'll have money to build with for 2013, too. It's not like the 2012 team will be some kind of explicit barometer as to how the team will play for the next few years.
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No, not if they also want to sign an impact bat.
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Pujols career OPS: 1.040. Pujols bouncing back in June from his bad start: .317 .419 .778 1.197 Again, July: .295 .330 .625 .955 The nice thing about a player like Pujols is that even when he does start to decline he's still going to be better than everyone else or among the very best.
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Pujols over the last week: .385 .407 .808 1.215 Last two weeks: .309 .333 .655 .988 Last month: .295 .330 .625 .955
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General 2011 Other Games Thread
Sammy Sofa replied to soccer10k's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
He proved his point..then he opened his mouth. THAT'S WEAK. When you start an argument with the man who throws the ball..you lose. This won't be the end of it because teams remember. Guillen better have his head on a swivel, because somewhere down the line it's coming. It's juvenile more than it's weak. What's weak is being such a hothead that someone acting like an arrogant punk can provoke such a reaction. I'm not saying Guillen doesn't deserve to get it sometime down the road, but I'm not sure how you're measuring win and lose in this argument. Guillen hit the HR, didn't break any rules, and provoked Weaver to get himself tossed one pitch later. Yup. Doing what Guillen did when he can count on paying for it down the line isn't "weak" at all. It's pitchers like Weaver that come across bad because they get all pissy and throw tantrums when anyone dares show them up, nevermind if he was doing something like pumping his fist and yelling "[expletive] yeah!" after getting a big strikeout nobody would do anything. -
General 2011 Other Games Thread
Sammy Sofa replied to soccer10k's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
The hell he was "weak." Guy talks [expletive] to you and then you crush a ball off of him (nevermind that hitting a home run off of a MLB pitcher is one of the hardest things you can do in professional sports) you SHOULD stare him down. Hop out of the box, strut down the line, moonwalk to 1B, whatever. I've never been shy about how much I can't stand the subjective "you can't show emotion HERE, but you can show emotion HERE"-fake rules in baseball. If you give someone the ultimate "[expletive] you" like Guillen did after Weaver got in his face, well, I can't help but be impressed. I love [expletive] like that. -
POWER RANKINGS
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General 2011 Other Games Thread
Sammy Sofa replied to soccer10k's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
I don't see why what Guillen did was "weak." Weaver was talking [expletive] to him earlier in the game and he made him pay. If anyone was "weak" is was Weaver, for giving up the HR and then throwing at the next guy's head. -
Adams' numbers are still phenomenal away from Petco, and he's been doing it for four years now. Don't get me wrong, I love what Marshall has become, but man, I hope he has a run like Adams'. You keep saying soft tossing LH as if that's a huge strike against him. I thought LH pitchers were at least if not more valuable than their RH counterparts. Am I reading something into your posts that isn't intended? It is a strike against him in terms of the idea that the Cubs missed out on an opportunity to trade him for a big return, so yes, you're reading into it incorrectly. I think Marshall is very, very valuable to the Cubs and very, very good...but he's not going to bring enough back to justify trading him. I wholly agree with your last sentence. I just don't see why the soft tossing lefty thing is relevant go that. He's a strikeout machine that doesn't give up walks or HRs. The fact that he's also LH makes him a god (not the God, I don't think). You generally don't see teams going hard after soft-tossing LH relievers at the trade deadline. It seems most of the relievers that net good returns are closers or are RH guys that throw harder.
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Yeah, I'm still trying to wrap my head around that.
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Well, it's not like Adams suffers from drastic home/away splits.
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Adams' numbers are still phenomenal away from Petco, and he's been doing it for four years now. Don't get me wrong, I love what Marshall has become, but man, I hope he has a run like Adams'. Yeah I would say Marshall is better as well. At least two out of the last three years. Plus younger and cheaper. Marmol as expected is up and down but that 2010 season looks ridiculous. WAR/Relieving (Runs above replacement as a reliever based on FIP) _____ Adams ___ Marshall ___ Marmol 2009_ 1.3/12.1 ___ 1/4.4 ___ .6/6 2010_ 1.6/16.5 ___ 2.2/21.1 ___ 3.1/28.9 2011_ 1.4/12.3 ___ 1.8/15.9 ___ .7/6.4 This is where I have to plead ignorance in certain stat areas, because glancing at their numbers on BR I have no [expletive] clue how that works out. How is Marshall rated higher than Adams this year when they've pitched the same number of innings and Adams is better in practically every major category?
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Adams' numbers are still phenomenal away from Petco, and he's been doing it for four years now. Don't get me wrong, I love what Marshall has become, but man, I hope he has a run like Adams'. You keep saying soft tossing LH as if that's a huge strike against him. I thought LH pitchers were at least if not more valuable than their RH counterparts. Am I reading something into your posts that isn't intended? It is a strike against him in terms of the idea that the Cubs missed out on an opportunity to trade him for a big return, so yes, you're reading into it incorrectly. I think Marshall is very, very valuable to the Cubs and very, very good...but he's not going to bring enough back to justify trading him.
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I don't get it.
