Sammy Sofa
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Everything posted by Sammy Sofa
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Another shitty bit of analysis that hinges on the "trade guys just to trade them" mentality. -
What record?
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Between this and the politics thread you're on a roll tonight.
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I figured everyone knew that since it was brought every single time the Cubs played the Pirates when they had Ward.
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Oh, look, there it is again.
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Leave it to our Cubs to wrap their first two winning streaks of the year with a 5 game losing streak. Your Cubs, maybe. MY Cubs are about win 14 in a row.
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Well this is pretty damn great.
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CASTRO WALKED. *HEARTHEARTHEART*
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RARRRGH!!!
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I actually stared open-mouthed at the TV when Colvin hit that shot.
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It's incorrect because it's obviously incorrect. There's no metric to gauge the specific level of scrutiny prospects get, but there's basically this: Jackie Robinson Everyone else I mean, Bryce Harper is hardly the first highly touted prospect to come along. And what scrutiny are people even talking about? Calling him a douchebag because of his stupid truck? Making fun of his shitty tattoos that he showed off to everyone? Everything else is what prospects with these type of expectations get.
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But the difference is astronomical. It's like saying that Uranus is the biggest planet since Saturn. That's great, but Saturn is [expletive]-all huge compared to Uranus. It's a loaded, needless comparison that comes across sounding dumb. How about, "I've never seen a prospect get this kind of scrutiny?"
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That's stupid. The scrutiny that Bryce Harper, highly touted offensive prospect, is not even in the same universe as Jackie Robinson, THE (ACKNOWLEDGED) FIRST BLACK PLAYER IN MLB HISTORY. If you want to say that Harper is getting more scrutiny than the usual top prospect, sure I'm on board with that. But that's still nothing like what Robinson went through. It's a horrible, horrible, moronic comparison.
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And yes, before anyone thinks they're being brilliant, I know who Tony Torasco is.
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It's just a complete lack of perspective.
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He's not being racist so much as just being clueless and dumb. No, the scrutiny over Harper ISN'T even remotely close to what Robinson faced. It was just a stupid, stupid thing to say.
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HIS NAME IS "BRYCE," YOU STUPID JACKOFF. THAT SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST CLUE RIGHT THERE THAT THAT WAS A BAD IDEA.
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Furcal to Cardinals
Sammy Sofa replied to erik316wttn's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
It doesn't seem like anyone wants to give Pujols the 30m/ 10 year deal he's looking for, especially considering how the usual suspects don't "need" him since they are already paying big contracts to good players at his position. Pujols would probably make sense for a team like the Orioles who could probably pay him what he wants but would Pujols take less money to stay with the Cards? If the money is pretty close, he just might. The thing is that their reported offer wasn't close in money or years. And unless almost all of their recent moves are smoke and mirrors and they're going to let of ton of players go after this season then they're going to have to drastically raise their payroll to keep him. There's taking a hometown discount...and then there's him taking anything like what the Cardinals have offered so far AKA delusional insanity. -
Yup. Was going to bring that up, too. He's not walking because he's swinging at a ton more crap. Maybe he's pressing to get a big contract, but the dude is swinging at more junk than ever before. "A ton" in this case = 0.7% more than last year. that's a bit of a dishonest way of framing it yes, he's swung at 28.2% of pitches outside the zone this year compared to 27.5% last year, which isn't a big deal until you realize his previous worst rate was just 22.9% (the year before) and that his career average is 20.8% PleasewinCubs' statement about Pujols swinging at more crap is very defensible, and makes his low BABIP look like less of a fluke; still, it's pretty rash to discount him altogether based solely on this Good stuff. I'll admit, I respect people here based on all the numbers people come up with to frame discussions. I'd be more like the old-school scouts people hate. I just watch players and feel like you can tell when they just aren't the same anymore. I'll leave the numbers stuff to smarter guys on this board, but when I watch Albert this year as opposed to years past, I just know he's swinging at more junk because it stands out so much. One of those, 'Wow, I've never seen him chase that pitch before' type thing. See TT's post below yours.
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I'd be stunned if he actually gets that money from the Cardinals. And I understand the "peak years" argument, but again, we're talking about a very, very exceptional player here. What do you think the contract will end up being? More like 10 years, $250? And do you have him returning to the Cardinals like I do? I really don't know. I'm inclined to think the Cardinals are the clear favorite, but their reported offer to him before the season was so absurdly far off from his reported demands that it doesn't seem likely. Couple that with the potentially expensive moves they've set themselves up to make with all the players they have with options and expiring contracts and what have you and I really don't see him re-signing with them. Sure, the guy could take a huge hometown discount, but I have to imagine there's a lot of pressure on him from the union to set a precedent. The Cardinals could also suddenly up their payroll, which they'd have to do to keep their team from effectively being Holliday, Pujols, Wainwright and crap for a while.
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I'd be stunned if he actually gets that money from the Cardinals. And I understand the "peak years" argument, but again, we're talking about a very, very exceptional player here.
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Every superstar player is overpaid when they come to a point like Pujols is (Fielder, too). There's no "likely" about it. You have to overpay for those guys to get them on your team unless your team has developed them through the farm system (and then you can at least get some years of amazing production at "discount" levels).
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You're just going to have to trust him. At least give me this: Albert Pujols is not as a good of a baseball player this year as he has been throughout his career and it's not impossible to imagine that he is starting to decline. And that in four years, he isn't going to be worth anywhere near the money the Cardinals (hopefully) pay him. Pretty much nobody here who is in favor of signing him has ignored the fact that he will be declining during a good chunk of that contract. Maybe even technically most of it. The key though is that the greatest hitter of all time can afford to start declining and still be either better than everyone else or in the very top tier of players. Unless he topples of a cliff a "typical" decline from a player of Pujols' caliber is more than acceptable. And quite honestly, even if he falls off of a cliff after 4-5 years of an 8-year contract, it'll be almost certainly worth it. He's THAT good.
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Anywhere between $25 and $30 million. Ideally not for more than 8 years. Look, if he has another regression and starts looking more like he did the first two months there's definitely more reason for concern. But if he's OPS-ing around 1.000 the rest of the way I'm not too worried about at least the first half of such a deal.
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You're pretty confident about this. I keep waiting for some kind of ace up your sleeve.
