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davell

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Everything posted by davell

  1. davell
    Or they may have quite a large one, since plenty of teams are still looking for good SP. The Orioles, Blue Jays, Angels, Mariners, and Diamondbacks are all actively looking, with the Yankees, Indians, and Dodgers in the market too, for the right guy. With just 2 guys that cost a draft pick and Bronson Arroyo on the market, as far as guys that can be considered mid rotation types.
  2. davell
    Honestly, if we have 20 mill left to spend, I'd rather spread it around. Spend another 2 on IFA that have yet to be signed, maybe 10 per year combined on Hammel(1 yr plus option) and Yoon(3-12ish) and get Iglesias.
  3. davell
    We got one top-100 pitching prospect, a guy who can't see and two AAAA guys. I like the return, but it's nothing like we were talking about getting for him back in 2012. 2 AAAA guys? Come on man. Grimm has a very good chance to contribute here for a long time, Ramirez has a relatively decent shot as well. That said, the rumor was it was a 7 player deal at the deadline with Texas. One rumor had Russell going with Garza. My guess at the deal was Garza and Russell for Olt, Martin Perez, Grimm, Ramirez and a legit upside guy, like CJ, Sardinas, Odor, or Alfaro having been included. Bottom line, waiting cost us Perez, in my opinion, while we'd have still gotten the rest of the return as well.
  4. davell
    He'll be 21 in June. I did forget he got a late start at KC last year. At his age, it's possible he could skip Boise, I guess. If so, he'd have to be lights out to get moved up again, but as Tangled said, go big or go home. It may be more likely than my "Paniagua will be a beast" pick. In which I think he finishes the year in AA, with a few token starts.
  5. davell
    Pretty close to what I had. The more I think about it though, is if they started Pierce at KC, it's not likely we'll see Zastryzny or Skulina skip. Paniagua, based on age, would appear to me, to be the better option, IF he proves he's able to handle it. There will be lots of piggybacking going on in KC, I think Frazier, Masek, Underwood, maybe Sam Wilson, all make that roster.
  6. davell
    Now THAT is the boldest prediction in this thread. That's a whole lot of great pitching and leapfrogging others, for that to happen. I expect them to both be in Boise most of the year. Not a knock, I've got both in or around my top 30.
  7. davell
    I kind of wrote Watkins off when we signed Ryan Roberts. My guess are our reserves at the major league level will be Kottaras, Roberts, Valbuena(if Olt makes the team anyway), Ruggiano, and Murphy. If Olt misses, I guess Watkins or McDonald(do we still have him?) makes it. My guess is IF Watkins made the ML roster, then Silva takes a utility role in Iowa.
  8. davell
    We're going to be making a few small trades, I see no way around it. Look at Iowa's situation from a position player standpoint. C Lopez Baker 1B Lars Anderson or Rohan 2B Alcantara Watkins SS Javy 3B Villanueva LF Vitters, Ha CF Brett Jackson, Szczur RF Kalish, Silva or Andreoli DH Olt(if not in bigs) I guess you can keep Andreoli and/or Silva down at Tennessee, but that still leaves a logjam, not to mention they're older and deserve a promotion. My guess is they'll try and garner some interest in Brett during ST, maybe he'd bring back a Tony Campana type return from someone who thinks he's fixable? He definitely would get claimed anyway, even Keith Law said that and he hates him. Vitters is likely in the same boat, all the way down to he'd get claimed by someone. Not as sure someone could be enticed to TRADE for him though. If Olt makes the big league club, it opens up a bit, but it's something to pay attention to, there's too many guys here for the AB's that they all need.
  9. davell
    And major league lines for our current minor leaguers.... Javy in 75 games goes .278/.312/.575 with 18 HR KB in 48 games goes .246/.329/.498 with 9 HR Olt in 134 games goes .233/.323/.451 with 17 HR Hendricks starts 13 games, goes 4-5 with a 3.60 ERA/1.20WHIP with6.8K/9 Rosscup gets 47 appearances, goes 0-3 with a 4.25 ERA/1.48WHIP with 9.9K/9 Stroman(combined TOR and CHC) starts 19 games, goes 5-9 with a 4.44 ERA/1.30 WHIP and 8.6 K/9
  10. davell
    Paniagua becomes the beast we thought we were getting last year and Jimenez shows why he got such a big bonus. Javy, KB, Hendricks, Rosscup, and Olt graduate. Cabrera, Vitters, and Brett Jackson are out of the system. Biggest positive movement for a hitting prospect will be Willson Contreras.(outside of Jimenez) Biggest positive movement for a pitching prospect will be Corey Black. Two other big jumps in the lower levels- Marck Malave and Daury Torrez. Cubs rankings in BA's top 100 for NEXT year Almora-7 Soler-24 Tyler Beede-28 Edwards-29 Alberto Tirado-61(acquired with Marcus Stroman, who graduates, in Shark deal) Candelario-77 Alcantara-80 Vogelbach-84 Will be a top 3 system, with Javy, KB, and Marcus Stroman(other main part of Shark deal) graduating.
  11. davell
    Yeah, Tennessee's rotation is going to be fun. Edwards/Johnson/Black/Pineyro/Wells should all make the move up. Daytona is a wild card, but my guess is they'll have Scott/Maples/Peralta/Heesch/????? Zastryzny or Paniagua, if he has the spring training expected out of him could be the 5th. Kane County could have Blackburn/Underwood/Skulina/one or both of Zastryzny or Paniagua/Frazier/Masek/Pugliese/Hoffner/Wagner, with Michael Jensen coming back to do something. Obviously, there will be lots of piggybacking in Kane County, I never remember about Daytona, but I don't think there is much of that there. Iowa's rotation(forgot them) will likely include one or both of Rusin and Grimm/Hendricks/Ramirez/maybe Rivero if they try and stretch him out(saw that as a possibility somewhere)Jokisch/Loux/Beeler. Too many there, unless Grimm and Rusin make the big league club and Rivero stays in the pen.
  12. davell
    If I remember correctly, Blackburn had an oblique injury or something like that. Maybe it was his back. But I think it was explained that it affected him once he came back from it for a while.
  13. davell
    I posted a puff piece on Pierce yesterday in one of these threads that quoted Madison saying that CJ, PJ, and Black all were likely to start in AA.
  14. davell
    That'd be nice, but I just don't want them TRYING to win and it taking a couple of years longer, to even begin the renovations. Continuances and whatever else, would it be possible to just become a nuisance to where they aren't spending THAT much money, while holding out for a large enough payoff that gets them more than they were originally going to get, based on public pressure to get this [expletive] over with?
  15. davell
    I don't see an issue with giving opt outs. If the player DOES opt out, you've given yourself an X amount of high profile years from the player. It makes sense to be in or at least NEAR contention, I guess, but even if you have a guy opt out at the beginning of your run.....You have the ability to re-sign him or to sign someone else with the money. The key is that he helped get you into contention.
  16. davell
    Blackburn will be in my top 15. I'll probably be the first to try and make a case for Jimenez though. But not inside my top 15.
  17. davell
    Went Candelario, Olt, and Vizcaino, in that order. Hendricks is on deck for me.
  18. davell
    Towers has been adamant about not trading Bradley. I think they'd have to get a 3rd team involved. Delgado, Owings flipped to a 3rd team for pitching prospects, and Jose Martinez wouldn't be awful. But I still think the Cubs would hold on to Shark, as that type of deal should be available down the line as well.
  19. davell
    http://www.csnchicago.com/cubs/prospect-watch-pierce-johnson-making-cubs-take-notice Puff piece on Johnson, with a quote from Madison saying he expects, PJ, CJ, and Black to be in the Tennessee rotation to begin the year.
  20. davell
    With pitching being the strength of this draft, it may have helped them to decide on Bryant over Gray, if it was really close. A Jonathan Gray type talent at 4 this year would fit us phenomenally.
  21. davell
    I am one of those guys, but I don't want us to finish last this year. If we do, it means guys we expect to be on the future winning teams have been piss poor. Which no one wants to see.
  22. davell
    http://news.gnom.es/news/new-cubs-hitting-coach-out-to-keep-things-simple Nothing of note from Gonzalez.
  23. davell
    I just keep trying to imagine in my head how much WAR you get in the modern, low-offense MLB with a plus-defensive 3b (or average defensive SS) who hits .300 with 40 HRs and average walks. I'm guesstimating it at roughly a billion. 700 PA worth of his '13 stats (.341 OBP, .578 SLG) with average SS D is good for about an even 7 WAR Is that the same, if calculated at both SS and 3B? I hate saying this, but I have no idea if positions are weighted differently. Although I think they are, since 1B usually seems to produce low WAR numbers. Although I guess THAT could be because it's just a better offensive position and it's harder to put up truly differentiating numbers from there.
  24. davell
    http://claydavenport.com/?p=207 Not sure who Clay Davenport is, but 67-95. Daz Cameron? HELLO!
  25. davell
    He just needs to acknowledge that the math isn't on his side. 30 organizations, he can't possibly follow each better than the hard coreiest of their fans. Parks is easily my favorite of the prospect guys, but I agree with Kyle here. Parks certainly has more info at his fingertips than we do, but there's no way he can remember it all, for all 30 teams, unless he's a legit genius. Does he know more than we do, off the top of his head about the elite guys though? Yeah, I'd think so. He's a better scout than we are, so he should. The offseason catch up thing is something he's going to go down swinging on though. And it shouldn't be, because there's no shame in it at all.
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