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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. sneakypower
    you'll have to explain this one to me. or is your premise that because the two were both top-3 picks that they're remotely similar in terms of tools? that's a little embarrassing to suggest "Can you imagine someone so good at so much that he could be a lefthander throwing 96 miles per hour -- and not be wanted as a pitcher?"
  2. sneakypower
    That paints Hamilton as an everyday failed uberprospect that comes along year after year. He hadn't played professional baseball in years. Years! And there was the whole devolution into hard drug and alcohol abuse as well. He was extremely likely to not make any type of contribution to a MLB roster at the time of the draft. put it this way: if Bryce Harper goes on a 4-year or whatever sabbatical and gets left unprotected for the Rule V draft, i'll still be advocating like hell we take a chance on him you can keep rationalizing reasons to pass up on guys with star potential and then you're left wondering why you don't have but one star player in the entire organization
  3. sneakypower
    correct, but it's a semantical quibble, my main point remains: Guyer or Flaherty is the likely most valuable MLB contributor we'll have produced from three years of drafts, which is abysmal
  4. sneakypower
    (re: Cashner) Flaherty playing all over the diamond suggests that he's not in the team's plans to be an everyday player; the difference between him and Guyer is uncertainty in roles, so Guyer's a better bet to get the AB to compile average WAR seasons
  5. sneakypower
    I would call Cashner, Flaherty, and Russell solid bets to be league average for their positions. There's a couple others who still have reasonable chances to be that good. i meant more "league average" as a 2-win guy Cashner's bound for the pen, it seems like we're priming Flaherty for utility duty, with how he's been slotted (2B, 3B, LF, SS, RF, 1B), and Russell is replacement level
  6. sneakypower
    the 06-08 drafts are just utterly woeful; i can't find a guy in there who's a good bet to be a league average player, besides perhaps Guyer and Barney
  7. sneakypower
    the arguments some people make to defend our handling of the Hamilton thing are even worse than people bemoaning it he was the former #1 pick with tangible all-world talent. everybody knows the kind of arm he had, and the kind of raw power he had. this isn't a Pujols situation, and the comparison is so ludicrous. i was a little miffed at the time, thinking his defense and power stroke alone would well warrant him being rostered as a 25th man for a year just for the hell of it; not any worse at all than a Freddy Bynum type the only really valid defense of the move is that we wouldn't have had a support system in place, like the Reds had with Jerry Narron's brother
  8. sneakypower
    a trade the really pissed me off at the time was coveting old, useless Steve Trachsel everybody mentions Baker ruining the young arms, but on top of that he made us markedly worse from all the playing time he gave to awful bench veterans he requested, and probably ruined Corey Patterson by trying to shoehorn him into a leadoff role
  9. sneakypower
    damn, i picked the wrong day to go to Fort Wayne; i was there yesterday to see a game fwiw, a few stray observations i had (it was Las Vegas 51s vs. Tucson Padres): -James Darnell looked like Ronny Cedeno, physically, doesn't seem too promising in terms of power -Kyle Blanks and Adam Loewen both hit majestic 370+ foot foul balls -Brad Mills took a no-hitter into the 8th. i don't think he ever hit 90, but his changeup is deadly. guys looked completely foolish against it. -for whatever reason, there were tons of IF popouts for both teams (former Cubs great Jon Leicester pitched for Tucson) probably the hottest i've ever been in my life, too; we moved back from our seats a few rows behind the plate to the top of the section, in the shade
  10. sneakypower
    no, and i don't think the Garza trade was a bad move, just not one i'd go out of my way to champion he's had a lot of spectacularly wrong moves (read: completely indefensible), like the great majority of everything he's ever done with the bullpen and bench, but i agree not much that's catastrophically damaging, in a vacuum
  11. sneakypower
    oh come on, betting on a top-50 prospect isn't a 'smart investment'; everybody wants these guys
  12. sneakypower
    the trade would be you're acting like trading $1000 for $1000 would be a great practice, because "i got a thousand bucks out of it"
  13. sneakypower
    can you really make that determination before knowing what Hak-Ju Lee becomes? or if it's best 'moves that seemed good at the time', Hawkins for Jerome Williams and Aardsma warrants consideration i can't wait for the 10 worst moves topic
  14. sneakypower
    i thought this one was supposed to be the worst
  15. sneakypower
    old, but so great
  16. sneakypower
    At 66% success rate? you have to figure that's attainable with a little commitment (bunting practice!), but more practically, he's 56% career on his bunts - still a .402 wOBA - quite a vast improvement upon his .358 line when just swinging away.
  17. sneakypower
    if Pena is good enough at it to drop down bunt base hits in half his ABs, he'd post a .360 wOBA, just marginally better than his current .347 pace change that to 2/3 success rate and it shoots up to .480, or in other words, he becomes Jose Bautista in terms of creating runs; the huge potential upside to doing so really makes it something worth strongly considering
  18. sneakypower
    7th? is this accepting the premise that counting on the grotesque Silva to be a useful performer was all fine and dandy?
  19. sneakypower
    i loved the mspaint somebody at GRB created http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v345/Rogue1469/src.jpg
  20. sneakypower
    to me, this is a meaningless strawman looking at it now, no single move would have saved this season, but a GM should be taken to task (or complained about on a message board, whatever) for actions that lessen the talent of the team. needlessly casting aside Gorzellany made the team more ill-equipped to withstand injuries and consequently worse, and that's where these valid complaints stem from that he blundered so frequently when building the rest of the team essentially renders it a moot point, yeah, but it doesn't mean it bears no attention
  21. sneakypower
    i unequivocally failed in my quest to get people to stop talking about [expletive] bunting :(
  22. sneakypower
    i'm not really sure what you're arguing, mojo the OP is slamming Hendry for not having a viable backup plan, and you're saying having a backup plan was pointless because the team would be shitty regardless because Hendry compiled such an awful team? seems weird to belabor such a pitiful distinction
  23. sneakypower
    soooo, how do the two managers compare in terms of ordering the lineup? using this age-old tool, here is how many runs each manager cost their teams with lineup mismanagement (you can see i've got too much free time at work today): Brenly 2001 5.089 vs. 5.323 (-38 runs) 2002 5.011 vs. 5.165 (-25 runs) 2003 4.649 vs. 4.794 (-24 runs) 2004 partial season Quade 2010 partial season 2011 4.274 vs. 4.484 (-34 runs - extrapolating for a full season) and for good measure... Dusty 2003 4.538 vs. 4.642 (-17 runs) 2004 5.012 vs. 5.206 (-31 runs) 2005 4.752 vs. 4.946 (-31 runs) 2006 4.497 vs. 4.685 (-30 runs) Brenly cost his teams only 29 runs/season on average, whereas in an admittedly smaller sample Quade costs the team 34 runs, and amazingly enough Dusty cost his teams only 27 runs/season fwiw, the most optimal lineup for us shows as: fuku pena soto byrd ramirez castro soriano P barney *exclaimer: i do realize the possible flaws in using this as an absolute; it's meant for entertainment purposes only
  24. sneakypower
    fwiw, Brenly's teams underperformed their Pythag. by one game, just as Quade's Cubs have this year unless you assume Brenly motivated them to score more runs and allow fewer runs (which wouldn't have been done with bunts) then the difference between these two guys is likely too negligible to care about my biggest problem with Quade is that he talks like Hawk Harrelson
  25. sneakypower
    Darryl Dobbs was puzzled by the signing:
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