I understand being in that position, but to expect any of those options to work out is ludicrous. The fact that Womack or Tavarez did has no bearing on whether Bigbie or Spivey or Tub-o-Ponson will. Back to my gambling analogy. If I go to the slots every week and after blowing 50-100 bucks, I hit a jackpot that pays...it doesn't mean that I'm going to hit that every time. In fact, that becomes the gambler's fallacy. That the odds will pan out in the end. In fact, the casinos are hoping I buy into it, because sooner rather than later, I'm going to get burned. The odds are that the Cardinals will have a decent pitching staff in Carpeneter, Mulder, Marquis, Suppan, and Reyes...that Ponson will bust and that outside of Pujols, Rolen, and Edmonds the offense will be average to pretty craptastic. I don't expect all these moves to work out however given the Walts track record I'd be willing to bet at least one of them does. Again, this isn't gambling, it's calculated risks based on scouting and cost.