Houston has only played 6 games this year within 10 points, and they're 3-3 in those games. They've been bulldozing the American conference this year (actually finished a full game up on Wichita State in the conference standings by games played, but lost out on winning percentage due to Wichita playing 5 fewer games). They're a good team with a less good profile, which is why on strength of record and wins above bubble metrics they're closer to a 5-6 seed, while in NET and KP they're closer to a 2 seed. I suspect they'll fall somewhere in the middle, but they're good enough for a 3 seed to me.