I see Rick Ankiel. I see myself in this thread. Great objective analysis. It would make Al Yellon weep. Well, if you want to know why I see similarities in Colvin and Francouer, I could provide those. Colvin through 75 games this year and 180 PA has posted a 121 OPS+. Not bad at all. Francouer in his first 70 games albeit 274 PA, had a 124 OPS+. Francouer's line was 300/336/549/884 (ba/obp/slg/ops) with an 11/58 bb/k ratio. Colvin's current line 271/313/554/867 with 11/49 bb/k ratio is similar to me. A key difference was that Francoeur put up those numbers at age 21, while Colvin is 24. Also, Francouer maintained that line over a greater number of plate appearances. On the other hand, when we look at what Francouer did over the next few seasons, we see that he was still able to provide some homeruns, but eventually his inability to consistently make contact while not walking provided increasing diminishing returns on his value. I think that unless Colvin makes adjustments that I'm not sure we have any reasonable evidence to think he can make, he's going to have more liabilities than value in the very near future. Just as he appears a bright spot on the horizon, so did Francoer to Brave fans in 2005, but we shouldn't ignore the fact that striking out a ton while walking little is usually an omen of bad things to come. Frenchy is a good comparison. I thought of the Ankiel one also. Both are decent. And yes, it looks like Colvin will be capable of a similar career as Francoeur. Because of his lack of ability to take a walk and propensity to K, he'll likely have some seasons of mid .800s OPS's if he is lucky that year and some seasons where he can't break .700. I stil don't think that means he's likely to do anything good or bad. He's most likely to be unpredictable.