Rob
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Everything posted by Rob
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Who is the #14 prospect (Run-Off)?
Rob replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I went with Szczur, but I've been voting for him since around 8. Sure, he struggled at the end of last season. And you have to balance age-relative-to-league with his lack of experience compared to most his age. But he's shown an ability to keep his K rate around 10%. He's shown a good walk rate. He's shown plus defense and speed. And he's supposedly got a touch of BP power he might be able to tap into. The plus-plus makeup also has to count for something. Right now, he looks like a very good 4th OF. If he either brings his K rate down or shows some power he's an average regular. If he does both he's a borderline all-star. Underwood is a nice prospect. But I think he's getting bonus points just because our system is so light on quality pitching prospects. -
Guys have to be in a system for a year before they can technically be traded as anything other than a PTBNL. The only recent notable guy to be traded that way was Drew Pomeranz, I believe.
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The only issue I have with giving something like 5/$75m is that it looks like it wont take nearly that much.
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Bourn's baserunning value has averaged about 9 runs per 650 plate appearances over the last five years. Essentially, it's worth 1 WAR in and of itself. For lack of a better number, we can assign it the standard "market value" of about $5 mil per WAR. His career UZR/150 is about 11 runs -- which is worth about the same. His bat is just about average given the position. All in all, it adds up to a pretty safe bet for a 4 WAR player. It's not crazy at all to suggest he'd be worth even $15 mil per season despite the Cubs current roster.
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I feel like the "vote 3" system may be resulting in people feeling compelled to put a pitcher in their group of three. I think that's moving the quality arms a few spots higher than they actually deserve.
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So amidst all the legitimate celebration, the question has to be asked: Why didn't we make any of these signings last offseason? I'm starting to think they really were trying to tank year 1 for draft picks. Either that, or the Dominican facility came from payroll.
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Dear lord. I may not count, but can I at least "not count" for the things I actually say and not the exact opposite? In my mind, you exist solely as a straw man for all the things I'm against. ETA: I should probably mention both of those are jokes.
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I have stated on multiple occasions that things are heading in the right direction but there was no reason to be so absurdly conservative with the timeframe for trying to make the major league team better. They did a crap job with the major league team last year and are doing better this year. I never insinuated, let alone stated, that the farm system was getting worse or the ship was heading in the wrong direction. Fair enough. And I agree that there were things that should have been done last offseason. Darvish and Cespedes both would have made sense (though they may be excusable mistakes if certain reports are true. If not, less so). Weirdly enough, one guy I really wanted the Cubs to sign last offseason was Edwin Jackson.
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This is idiotic. Okay. Which part do you disagree with? Do you think like they've managed to accomplish more than make this team look moderately respectable, or do you think that is an accomplishment? Signing Jackson is the type of thing this team had to do. They didn't pull off some miracle by doing that. They have money and needed to spend it. The major league squad is better than the 2011 version. The farm system is much improved. And there are reasons to suspect the player development side is much improved as well. Everything is headed the right direction. It takes a while to turn a big ship around.
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You are still holding to the ridiculous "we are awful and the front office isn't oing to sign anybody until 2015" mantra? I've never held that mantra, just picked apart the notion that many people have spewed that we should wait to sign people until we're ready to be good. Regardless, nothing has been accomplished. It looks on paper like they have managed to make this team moderately respectable next season. That isn't an accomplishment. Who exactly was supporting that notion around here? lots and lots of people have been gung ho in support of not signing people until the internally developed core is good. I've seen some writers say that. Maybe Kyle (but does he really count?). Most other people just want the guys we sign to still be young-ish and effective when the core starts showing up.
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Well, this is idiotic. Rob has decreed it's ok I sure did. What's the point of being right if there's no gloating? What do you think you were right about? That the front office would find reasonable ways to spend the money. That it wasn't the ridiculous "they won't spend until the team is good and even then we'll get outbid by everybody" situation that had developed into a mantra around here.
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You are still holding to the ridiculous "we are awful and the front office isn't oing to sign anybody until 2015" mantra? I've never held that mantra, just picked apart the notion that many people have spewed that we should wait to sign people until we're ready to be good. Regardless, nothing has been accomplished. It looks on paper like they have managed to make this team moderately respectable next season. That isn't an accomplishment. Who exactly was supporting that notion around here?
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Well, this is idiotic. Rob has decreed it's ok I sure did. What's the point of being right if there's no gloating?
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You are still holding to the ridiculous "we are awful and the front office isn't oing to sign anybody until 2015" mantra?
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I thought GRB was like similar to NSBB in terms of smartness... wtf? Yeah, it looks like its dipped somewhat since my last peek over there. It could just be a byproduct of a very slow offseason though. Kinda like how it's just WSR posting crap in every thread when it's slow around here.
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It's fun having smart guys doing things. They might not do the dumber stuff we all secretly (or not so secretly) wish they would That's some passive aggressive horse [expletive] He's entitled to rub some noses in it. He was patient and showed some faith in the front office.
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Volstad, Germano, Rusin, Raley, Wells, Berken, and Coleman made a combined 54 starts last year. That's a full 1/3 of our starts. Just for perspective.
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Personally, I think both would've been super duper awesome. If that was ever really an option, sure.
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Very excited about this. And I'm much happier to have E-Jax at this deal than I would have been outspending the Tigers for Anibal.
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It's not a great value, but it's not an overpay either. It's a market value deal that fills a hole in the rotation with a solid performer. I've got no gripes.
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Prosportsdaily forum contributor. I believe he used to work for the Cubs in a non-baseball position (security or something). So he got a bit of water cooler inside info. Now he's a writer covering the Royals, I believe. But it's not crazy to think he has a few connections in the Cubs org still.
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13.) Szczur 14.) Candelario 15.) Torreyes I'm a bit worried about K rates for Alcantara, Amaya, Hernandez. They all feel a bit risky for this high up the list.
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DeJesus?
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The 2012 Offseason Thread
Rob replied to ctcf's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Paaaaaaaasssssssssss -
This. Depending on where you are on the win spectrum, it's actually beneficial to have the less consistent team. There is more potential upside variance. A team projected to win 92 games wants less variance, but a team projected to win 85 loves the variance. It's not as simple as "consistent = better" because that's just not true. It's not a bad idea to build your team to have a mix of each type of player. People. Pay attention to this post. Masterfully said.
