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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    PCA has cleared 4.0 fWAR this season. Now at 4.1. Since 2000, the only Cubs position players with a seasonal fWAR greater than PCA's 2025 are: Sammy Sosa (peaked at 9.9 in 2001) Kris Bryant (peaked at 7.5 in 2016) Derrek Lee (peaked at 7.0 in 2005) Alfonso Soriano (peaked at 7.0 in 2007) Moises Alou (peaked at 5.9 in 2004) Javier Baez (peaked at 5.8 in 2018) Anthony Rizzo (peaked at 5.2 in 2014) Corey Patterson (peaked at 5.0 in 2004) Dansby Swanson (peaked at 4.9 in 2023) Aramis Ramirez (peaked at 4.8 in 2007) Cody Bellinger (peaked at 4.4 in 2023) Nico Hoerner (peaked at 4.3 in 2022) Dexter Fowler (peaked at 4.3 in 2016) Mark DeRosa (peaked at 4.2 in 2008) There's a pretty long list of current and former Cubs who never had a season this good with us. Ian Happ, Seiya Suzuki, Willson Contreras, Kyle Schwarber, Geovany Soto, Ben Zobrist, Addison Russell, Starlin Castro, etc... And we're not even at the All-Star Break.
  2. Rob
    2004 was that way a good chunk of the time. CF - Corey Patterson SS - Nomar Garciaparra / Alex Gonzalez LF - Moises Alou RF - Sammy Sosa 3B - Aramis Ramirez 1B - Derrek Lee 2B - Todd Walker / Mark Grudzielanek C - Michael Barrett Even when it was Alex Gonzalez instead of Nomar, that offense could pop off at any moment. Likewise, 2016 was crazy. I'm not going to try to post a standard lineup since the Zobrist / Baez / Bryant stuff had people rotating around constantly. But the lineup was consistently great.
  3. Rob
    That's what they used in spring training to initiate the ball-strike challenges.
  4. Rob
    I wonder if the Rangers might be willing to move DeGrom. They're in 3rd place in the AL West, 4.5 back of the Astros and 4 back of the Mariners. They're also 4 games out of the wild card, and would have to pass 5 teams in the standings to sneak in there. DeGrom was signed from 23-27 at $37M per year. He gave the Rangers a combined 41 IP in 23-24, but he's already at 69.1 IP this year. The underlying metrics indicate he's lost a step but is still an above-average starter. Still, with the Rangers quickly going nowhere this might be their only chance to have somebody else eat a big chunk of the remaining money on the contract.
  5. Rob
    Ohtani
  6. Rob
    Last year on June 2 Tom had 125 home runs and was leading the game. This year, he has 123 and is in 7th place. (And possibly banned). Now in fairness the theoretical maximum at this date has gone up from 174 last year to 187 this year. But everybody's teams are just going nuts.
  7. Rob
    It's certainly the most my teams have ever put out. I'm on a tear. 71 hr in the last 3 weeks.
  8. Rob
    Under absolutely no circumstances should the Cubs even consider allowing Trevor Bauer to play for them.
  9. Rob
    My team had been tracking side-by-side with yours for most of the season until the last couple weeks. I'm just as surprised as anybody.
  10. Rob
    PCA is the second player in baseball to reach 3.0 fWAR this season, behind only Aaron Judge (who is somehow already at 4.1).
  11. Rob
    It's not just the writers. He'd be on one of the Veterans Committee ballots. Those committees are usually a mix of players, front office, and writers.
  12. Rob
    I'm only at six years from undergrad and one from grad school. It helps to be a screwup who goes back to school later in life.
  13. Rob
    Busch has 6 as well
  14. Rob
    I've always been partial to a Mike Cameron comp. Cameron walked more, but had a tiny bit less value with the legs. Career .249/.338/.444 hitter with a bunch of defensive and baserunning value. 50+ fWAR for his career.
  15. Rob
    Yesterday was actually PCA's 162nd big league game. So far, in 540 PA, he's put up a .242/.294/.408 slash line with 15 HR and 39 SB (6 CS). Plus 22 doubles and 7 triples. With his baserunning and defense, that's been worth 3.8 rWAR or 4.2 fWAR, depending on which measure you trust more.
  16. Rob
    There's a quick respite against the Pirates in there (which, us being the Cubs, I fully expect us to blow). But for the most part the teams we're facing are pretty tough until mid-May. I don't think the Cubs are as good as they've played thus far. But hey, this is the best time for us to be overperforming. If we can just play like the slightly above average team that we are moving forward from that point, we should sneak into the playoffs without too much trouble.
  17. Rob
    bench drop: Eloy Jimenez bench add: Junior Caminero
  18. Rob
    That photo of Roast doing karate moves is probably old enough to drive now. Maybe old enough to drink.
  19. Rob
    I agree with Derwood. Great fun to be had.
  20. Rob
    C - Cal Raleigh ($100) 1B - Isaac Paredes ($50) 2B - Ketel Marte ($150) 3B - Rafael Devers ($100) SS - Mookie Betts ($50) LF - Jackson Chourio ($75) CF - Aaron Judge ($200) RF - Kyle Tucker ($75) DH - Shohei Ohtani ($200) Total $1000 if I did my math right. PMing you bench players shortly.
  21. Rob
    Optimal lineup order makes a difference. But yeah. Outside of "stack the best hitters near the top" and "break up guys who are all susceptible to the same problem (like LHB v. LHP)" the remaining tweaks have extremely marginal returns.
  22. Rob
    That's probably how I'd set it, at least in the early going. But it's worth noting that most projection systems have Shaw pegged for a wRC+ of around 105. Nico about the same and Dansby a bit closer to 100. Depending on how people are hitting, I could reasonably see Shaw moving his way up as high as the 5 hole, with whichever of Dansby/Nico who isn't hitting quite as well gettting bumped down to #8.
  23. Rob
    Busch with a HR. Not a cheapie, either.
  24. Rob
    I'd give Jonathan India and Luis Garcia Jr. an edge, too. But yeah, Nico hits pretty well by 2B standards.
  25. Rob
    For the life of me, I cannot understand why so many Cubs fans tend to think our biggest strengths are somehow weaknesses. Since Dansby Swanson joined this team in 2023, he ranks 18th in MLB in fWAR. Nico Hoerner ranks 24th. Either one would be the best player on a lot of teams in baseball right now. They've certainly been the best players on ours. While their bats are no better than average, they're both sensational defenders at premium defensive positions. That's an extremely valuable player. And yet we have people bitching about Dansby's contract and now this ridiculous notion of moving him off SS. And acting like Nico is a disappointment and wearing out his welcome because he's not hitting aggressively enough... It's farcical.
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