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Catman61

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Everything posted by Catman61

  1. Catman61
    After 143 games, the Giants were 77-66 (.538), 2 back of NYM and 3 back of the Cubs. The Giants went 12-7 over their last 19 games (.632) This scenario requires the Astros, Marlins & Phillies to all play .500 or below and the Cubs to go 15-4(.789) or 16-3(.842) to win 86 or 87 games
  2. Catman61
    There are 2 trends for Houston that you fail to consider 1) Of Houston's 21 remaining games, 11 are at the Juice Box, where HOU has the 3rd best home record in MLB. 2) since the ASB, the Astros have the best ERA in MLB recent trends? last 10 Cubs 7-3 Astros 7-3
  3. Catman61
    2004 postseason Pujols .414 avg .493 OBP .793 SLG 1.286 OPS 15 runs 6 HR 14 RBI Not bad for somebody that "didn't show up"
  4. Catman61
    Both HOU & PHI reach 85 wins by playing .500 the rest of the season, to reach 88 either team would need to go 24-18. (6 games over) The Cubs are 6 out on the loss side and would need to go 29-12 (17 games over) to reach 88 wins. After stumbling out of the blocks a bit in April (10-14) the Phillies have been pretty steady May 15-13 Jun 15-12 Jul 15-12 Aug 9-5 They may be the team that ekes out the WC.
  5. Catman61
    OK, so Mulder is the Cardinals postseason ace and Carpenter is #2
  6. Catman61
    If we were still in the 90's, El Duque would be great but we aren't El Duque postseason pre-2000 5-0 1.02 ERA 2005-now 4-3 4.03 ERA
  7. Catman61
    Other than the strike shortened year of 95, the lowest win total for the Wild Card in the NL is 90. (96 Dodgers, 98 Cubs) The 96 Orioles won the AL wild card with 88 wins.
  8. Catman61
    Definitely an unlikely candidate/hero. Guy has 22 career HR, 4 of them grand slams and 2 of those walk off grand slams. :shock:
  9. Catman61
    How about this for backup. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=3603 Why would they say that about a "slightly above average fielder on his best day of the year?"
  10. Catman61
    LaRussa was hit in the head with a pitch when he was a player and so he has a hair trigger over pitches around the head. That is why he seems to or does overreact about pitches up & in.
  11. Catman61
    Yes. I said that b/c the Astros remaining schedule is really easy. They have all those games against the Cubs, two games against the Cardinals on the 27th and 28th of September, and most of the rest of the season against the bad teams from the NL Central and West. Hou/StL also have a 3 game series in HOU the 1st weekend in Sep.
  12. Catman61
    Yes the Cards have had a stretch this season of 3-4 in 7 games. The first 7 games of the season. They may have had a similar stretch agian but I only looked till I found one example. First week of May as well lost May 1 to Braves swept the Reds lost next 3 to Padres
  13. Catman61
    Not all that remote, a .300 avg for Lee and Pujols continuing at his career avg pace makes for a neck in neck race. Lee did have a torrid 1st half but saying he is a 2nd half player and always has been is a bit of a misnomer. His 3 year splits show a 10 point lower avg in the 2nd half (.277 - .267) His career splits show a 7 point higher avg (.273 - .280) but 16 point lower OPS (.866 - .850) June & July have historically been Lee's 2 best by a good margin, June being 28 points better than July and July being 18 points better than the 3rd best month of Sep. So it is not a surprise that he hasn't slowed down much in July. Pujols is a 2nd half player with a higher AVG/OBP/SLG/OPS in the 2nd half (+17/+16/+25/+41) Albert may or may not catch Derrek in the batting race but with 68 games and approx 250 AB, I wouldn't say the chances are "remote at best"
  14. Catman61
    HUH? vs MIL 6-2 (.750) vs HOU 9-2 (.818) vs PIT 7-2 (.778) vs CIN 7-3 (.700) vs CHC 1-1 Other than the Cubs, the Cards WORST % is against the Reds at .700
  15. Catman61
    Pujols (.667) and Edmonds (.617) also did it in 2003 Pujols (.610) and JD Drew (.613) both topped .600 in 2001. note: Drew only played 109 games and had 375 AB missing time with a broken wrist. Ortiz(.603) and Manny(.613) both topped .600 in 2004 as well for the BoSox
  16. Catman61
    I never knew you and Kliner were such good friends Truffle.
  17. Catman61
    Just so you know that gesture was directed at some people that I won't insult the Cubs by calling them fans who were making some very insulting comments about Isabella, Pujols adopted daughter who has Down's syndrome. Nice try. If you want to believe that, go ahead. But like most Cardinals fans, you seem to think that your players can do no wrong and that their actions are always justified. Apology accepted
  18. Catman61
    Just so you know that gesture was directed at some people that I won't insult the Cubs by calling them fans who were making some very insulting comments about Isabella, Pujols adopted daughter who has Down's syndrome. I never heard that, not even from the guy I work with who's related to Albert. Where did you hear that? From game recap on ESPN http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/recap?gameId=240523116
  19. Catman61
    Just so you know that gesture was directed at some people that I won't insult the Cubs by calling them fans who were making some very insulting comments about Isabella, Pujols adopted daughter who has Down's syndrome.
  20. Catman61
    :shock: :shock: Wow, lets hope he pitches against the Cubs at Wrigley then. A 1:20 start could be just what we need to rough him up. :lol: Assuming a normal rotation and no tweaks on off days, Mulder will miss the Cubs in the 1st 2 series (Jul/Aug), have a night start at home on Sep 6 and a 1:20 start at Wrigley on Sep 16.
  21. Catman61
    Mulder has a truly bizarre day/night split Day 8GS 1-4 7.40 ERA day home 5GS 1-2 4.91 ERA day away 3GS 0-2 14.25 ERA Night 11GS 9-1 2.22 ERA night home 4GS 3-0 1.91 ERA night away 7GS 6-1 2.40 ERA His career day/night splits are not very different day 4.19 night 3.80 That radical of a split seems almost unexplainable. :?
  22. Catman61
    WILDLY optimistic. Cards (35-35) .500 95 wins Cubs (48-22) .686 95 wins While the Cubs can THEORETICALLY catch the Cardinals, its hard to imagine a .650 team slumping to .500 or below AND a .511 team surge to winning more than 2 of every 3. And while some point to the 14 head to head games, its unrealistic to expect the Cubs to dominate that series to the 11-3 or 12-2 that would be necessary to have a significant impact. The schedules are not that different Cubs & Cubs play the rest of the NL Central 27 times Cards play SD/Cubs play PHI Cards play WAS/Cubs play COL Cards play FLA 7 times/Cubs play FLA 3 times Cards play SF 3 times/Cubs play SF 7 times Cards play NYM 4 times/Cubs play NYM 3 times Doesn't seem to be much basis for that. Does seem a bit ironic looking at the comparitive DL times for the 2 staffs over last season and this season.
  23. Catman61
    Thats a no brainer, it has to be Prior. If for no other reason than Prior is 5-1/2 years younger than Carpenter.
  24. Catman61
    It WILL hold 46,000 but for the 1st half of 2006 the seating capacity will be 31,000. The Cardinals recently added a little "foul pole" in current Busch Stadium that is where the LF foul pole will be. Still Busch Stadium, the Cardinals and Anheuser-Busch signed a 20 year naming deal last August. This will actually be the 3rd Busch Stadium, when Augie originally bought the Cardinals, he wanted to rename Sportsman's Park, Budweiser Field which was nixed by MLB, so Augie named it Busch Stadium and then came out with a beer called Busch not long after that. :wink:
  25. Catman61
    The STATS also said that there was no way the BoSox should have won the ALCS but they did and it all hinged on one play or misplay. Game 1 Mark Bellhorn
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