the Cubs had a total of 65 HRs out of those positions last year. I don't think it is a stretch to think that Murton, Jones (and hopefully a right handed platoon), Cedeno, and Pierre will hit around 60. the additional OBP more than makes up for those 5 HRs. Lee, you're right, probably down Walker - the Cubs had 17 HRs out of secondbase last year, with Walker on the DL for a month and a half (he had 12). equalling that total shouldn't be a stretch. Barrett - yes, he did tie his career high (16), but his AB per HR the past four seasons is 31.1/22.6/28.5/26.5. there's no reason to think that the Cubs will lose more than a HR or two out of Barrett, even if he reverts to his HR rate of 2002. furthermore, if you are going to use Wlaker's age as a factor in prediction, you should consider that Barrett and Aram are just entering their primes. using the same rationale, their HR production should go up. in sum, the HRs will probably be down, but not significantly.