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CubinNY

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Everything posted by CubinNY

  1. CubinNY
    Alright, a big hit!
  2. CubinNY
    You think things have to change then Belli hits a 300 MPH ball right at the 1st baseman
  3. CubinNY
    Yeah, the problem is that they have a bunch of singles and doubles hitters.
  4. CubinNY
    Boy was I wrong about my prediction about him.
  5. CubinNY
    It’s a business model. Jed is the COO of the product line. His job is to make the best product he can within the limits of the profit margin. He’s just not real good at that because he keeps “making” the same players, more or less. Ian Happ is the mold. He came up a middle infielder. There in nothing necessary wrong with that. But it’s hard to make it a winning team. You need good pitching and good defense. They have only part of that. The Ricketts aren’t going to pay or “amortize” a contract like the Phillies owner will. They almost did that once and it scared the 💩 out of Tommy Boy and his sibs.
  6. CubinNY
    Awful awful
  7. CubinNY
    Steele pitched really well. They can’t get hitting and pitching in the same game. Defense is awful.
  8. CubinNY
    Such a frustrating team.
  9. CubinNY
    Bad defense makes bad teams.
  10. CubinNY
    India looks like an extra from a civil war movie
  11. CubinNY
    Christopher!
  12. CubinNY
    That was a good hustle dubble
  13. CubinNY
    Swanson needs to not be useless at the plate.
  14. CubinNY
    I’ve been in that LF position before. It’s awful
  15. CubinNY
    In life all things are relative. I like that Ian is starting to hit line drives.
  16. CubinNY
    You are missing the root measure. It does not matter if they are normalizing the numbers. The numbers are ordinal. It's the scale. The. Scale. Is. Ordinal. 1. People are now freaking out about a 45 FV vs a 40 FV 2. It's still ordinal so it's someone's opinion. Here is the thing. Those people who are doing the rankings are normally very good at what they are doing or else they would not be doing it. But it's based on their judgment, which is better than mine or most people outside of baseball. But then taking a judgment and hocus pocusing the judgments into numbers doesn't not magically make them better than what they are. It's an organizational system for ranking prospects according to performance and projectability. But, it's often wrong and there are inherent problems associated with distilling attributes into a ratio-type measure. BTW> The 20-80 scale was started by Branch Rickey. They took that scale and made standard deviations based on each 10 points. Edit: Also, it's a no no in science to use standard deviations with ordinal data.
  17. CubinNY
    Its fine, but it's no different than saying this guy is better than that guy based on my professional judgment. I think you look at them in rather large boxes. Like all the guys who are 50 are likely going to be better than all the guys at 40, but how much? who know? If they think a guy is a 55 FV they are probably basing it on some amount of performance and projectability. That it.
  18. CubinNY
    I just did. the 80-20 scale that scouts use is an ordinal measure. Some scout says this guy has a 60 hit tool. Another guy has a 50 hit tool. The guy with the 60 hit tool is not 10 hit tools better. The scout thinks he's better based on his professional judgment. Fine. But it's based on order not on any real objective measure. Then they take all those and condense them into one number (which is even worse) because the number obscures the real attributes the player may have and rank orders them. The fact that numbers are used is irrelevant. There I'm done with this.
  19. CubinNY
    It's pseudoscience masquerading as science.
  20. CubinNY
    I know what they measure.
  21. CubinNY
    Well, you're wrong. A player who is a 45 FV is not 5 FVs better than a player with a 40 FV. It's just nonsense. it's based on a scouting scale for all attributes and condensed into one number that they think a player will get to.
  22. CubinNY
    Narrator voice: The cubs were not able to turn that corner.
  23. CubinNY
    FV are ordinal ranking measures like 1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc. I wouldn't get too hung up on them. They are at best, an approximation of what scouts project.
  24. CubinNY
    lol.
  25. CubinNY
    Merry-Go-Round music time
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