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    Cubs-Brewers Game One Thread, By The Numbers

    The Cubs head up I-94 to open the NLDS to face the Brewers. Join our game thread!
    Brock Beauchamp

    By Brock Beauchamp

    Image courtesy of © David Banks-Imagn Images

    Cubs Video

    Milwaukee and Chicago open their series at American Family Field today at 1:08 p.m. CDT, with right-hander Freddy Peralta scheduled for the Brewers and left-hander Matthew Boyd for the Cubs. 

    Peralta threw 176 2/3 innings across 33 starts with a 2.70 ERA, a 3.65 FIP, a 28.2 percent strikeout rate, and a 9.1 percent walk rate. He allowed 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Boyd logged 179 2/3 innings in 31 starts with a 3.21 ERA and a 3.65 FIP. His strikeout rate was 21.4 percent with a 5.8 percent walk rate, and he allowed 0.95 home runs per nine innings. 

    Brewers Offense
    Milwaukee’s offense produced a .322 wOBA and a 107 wRC+. Brice Turang led regulars with a .346 wOBA and a 124 wRC+ across 659 plate appearances. William Contreras had 659 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 113 wRC+. Christian Yelich added a .343 wOBA and a 121 wRC+ in 644 plate appearances. Sal Frelick logged 594 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 114 wRC+, and Jackson Chourio had 589 plate appearances with a .328 wOBA and a 111 wRC+. 

    Matthew Boyd vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Andrew Vaughn R 14 12 3 2 0 1 1 2 4 .250 .357 .667 1.024 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Jake Bauers L 11 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .091 .091 .091 .182 0 0 0 0 0
    3 Christian Yelich L 11 11 3 1 0 1 2 0 3 .273 .273 .636 .909 0 0 0 0 0
    4 William Contreras R 9 9 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 .444 .444 .778 1.222 0 0 0 0 1
    5 Brice Turang L 8 7 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 .286 .250 .286 .536 0 1 0 0 0
    6 Isaac Collins B 6 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 .200 .333 .200 .533 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Sal Frelick L 6 5 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 .400 .500 .400 .900 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Joey Ortiz R 6 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .333 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Caleb Durbin R 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .200 .000 .200 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Brandon Lockridge R 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 .333 .500 .667 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Jackson Chourio R 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 .000 .667 .000 .667 0 0 0 0 0
    12 Rhys Hoskins R 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Blake Perkins B 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    Cubs Offense
    Chicago’s offense finished with a .325 wOBA and a 110 wRC+. Kyle Tucker had 597 plate appearances with a .363 wOBA and a 136 wRC+. Michael Busch posted a .369 wOBA and a 140 wRC+ over 592 plate appearances. Seiya Suzuki contributed a .343 wOBA and a 123 wRC+ in 651 plate appearances. At the top of the order, Pete Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner each recorded a 109 wRC+, with Crow-Armstrong adding 31 home runs and 35 steals and Hoerner adding 29 steals. 

    Freddy Peralta vs. Chicago Cubs: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Ian Happ B 38 32 2 0 0 1 2 6 14 .063 .211 .156 .367 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Nico Hoerner R 31 28 5 3 0 1 5 2 5 .179 .258 .393 .651 0 0 0 1 0
    3 Seiya Suzuki R 27 23 3 0 0 1 3 4 12 .130 .259 .261 .520 0 0 0 0 0
    4 Dansby Swanson R 22 20 2 0 0 1 1 2 8 .100 .182 .250 .432 0 0 1 0 0
    5 Michael Busch L 20 16 2 0 0 2 2 4 7 .125 .300 .500 .800 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Kyle Tucker L 15 11 5 1 0 0 0 4 1 .455 .600 .545 1.145 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Pete Crow-Armstrong L 13 11 5 1 0 1 3 1 1 .455 .500 .818 1.318 1 0 0 0 0
    8 Carson Kelly R 11 10 1 0 0 0 1 1 4 .100 .182 .100 .282 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Justin Turner R 8 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .125 .125 .125 .250 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Willi Castro B 7 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 .143 .143 .143 .286 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Matt Shaw R 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .167 .000 .167 0 0 0 1 0
    12 Moisés Ballesteros L 2 2 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Reese McGuire L 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    14 Jameson Taillon R 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    From a run-prevention standpoint, Peralta’s profile paired a high strikeout rate with a FIP close to his ERA. Boyd’s season line showed comparable FIP to ERA with fewer walks and a lower home-run rate. 

    Brock Beauchamp is the technical and community lead for the DiamondCentric network of sites. He has been an avid baseball fan since the mid-80s and founded his first baseball site, Battle Your Tail Off, in the mid-2000s.

    Follow Brock Beauchamp on Twitter: brock_beauchamp

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    Featured Comments

    Derwood

    Derwood 3,372

    Posted

    1-2-3 inning incoming

    squally1313

    squally1313 2,225

    Posted

    What happened to chourio?

    Ding Dong Johnson

    Ding Dong Johnson 1,520

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Wilson A2000 said:

    Second best starter ERA post All-Star game

    Keep reaching. ERA was fine. xERA was 8th. xFIP was 18th. There were plenty of signs they needed a quality addition. 

    • Like 1
    BigbadB

    BigbadB 629

    Posted

    78 pitches thru 2 innings. Is that bad? 

    • Like 1
    Wilson A2000

    Wilson A2000 598

    Posted

    1 minute ago, s2obed said:

    What’s the most lopsided loss in the playoffs? I’m feeling this will be up there when the game ends.

    16 runs, but it's definitely a possibility 

    Stratos

    Stratos 503

    Posted

    The 2nd inning was an improvement on the 1st inning at least.   We're getting better.  The goal is only giving up 1 run per inning.

    • Like 1
    BigbadB

    BigbadB 629

    Posted

    Just now, squally1313 said:

    What happened to chourio?

    Pulled his labia. 

    • Disagree 1
    Transmogrified Tiger

    Transmogrified Tiger 2,745

    Posted

    Just now, squally1313 said:

    What happened to chourio?

    looks like he re-aggravated his hamstring injury

    cubfansince77

    cubfansince77 79

    Posted

    Just now, BigbadB said:

    78 pitches thru 2 innings. Is that bad? 

    Ho-Lee-Fuk........what a debacle. Don't wanna see Boyd until next season. Soroka never again.

    • Like 1
    Ding Dong Johnson

    Ding Dong Johnson 1,520

    Posted

    1 minute ago, BigbadB said:

    78 pitches thru 2 innings. Is that bad? 

    Not if you’re a Brewers fan.

    • Like 1
    Jason Ross

    Jason Ross 2,541

    Posted

    Just now, cubfansince77 said:

    Ho-Lee-Fuk........what a debacle. Don't wanna see Boyd until next season. Soroka never again.

    Someone has to pitch game-4. I'd rather not get swept...so let's hope we see Boyd again.

    Derwood

    Derwood 3,372

    Posted

    This feels like one of my son's travel softball games (when his coach played them up a level higher than they could handle)

    Wilson A2000

    Wilson A2000 598

    Posted

    Just now, Ding Dong Johnson said:

    Keep reaching. ERA was fine. xERA was 8th. xFIP was 18th. There were plenty of signs they needed a quality addition. 

    So #1 in ERA is awesome, but #2 is just fine. Until today the pitching was not the problem with the team. It was the hitting and will still most likely be this series. 

    Jason Ross

    Jason Ross 2,541

    Posted

    Listen, no matter what ya'll have going on today just know this: you aren't sitting here with the realization that whenever this is over, you are scheduled to go live an react about this debacle.

    That'll be real fun.

    Season 2 Smh GIF by The Lonely Island

    • Haha 1
    DrCub

    DrCub 71

    Posted

    30 minutes ago, Hot Sauce said:

    I hit submit reply when it was still 4-1. 😭

    Me to ……🥲

    • Haha 1
    cubfansince77

    cubfansince77 79

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Transmogrified Tiger said:

    looks like he re-aggravated his hamstring injury

    Only thing going wrong for them. He'll probly DH the rest of the series. They got him out as a precaution I'd guess cuz game is over. 

    Max Power

    Max Power 43

    Posted

    They can conserve Peralta if they choose.

     

    Stratos

    Stratos 503

    Posted

    Technically we can bring in Palencia and start beaning all of the Brewer hitters on the knee and wrist and throw stink bombs in their dugout.

    Ding Dong Johnson

    Ding Dong Johnson 1,520

    Posted

    Just now, Wilson A2000 said:

    So #1 in ERA is awesome, but #2 is just fine. Until today the pitching was not the problem with the team. It was the hitting and will still most likely be this series. 

    JFC, I don’t know why I respond. The horsefeathers signs were there and to pretend otherwise is ignorant.

    • Like 3
    Wilson A2000

    Wilson A2000 598

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, cubfansince77 said:

    Ho-Lee-Fuk........what a debacle. Don't wanna see Boyd until next season. Soroka never again.

    That would be dumb

    Jason Ross

    Jason Ross 2,541

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Ding Dong Johnson said:

    JFC, I don’t know why I respond. The horsefeathers signs were there and to pretend otherwise is ignorant.

    I think it's a little column A and a little column B. They outpitched their peripherals, likely in part, to their excellent defense. In the playoffs, you really only need four starters (though teams have proven recently you can do with less, sometimes two or three). They also got more from Cade Horton than anyone expected, and had he not fractured a rib a week before the seasons end, I think the Cubs SP's numbers would be generally fine for now. 

    They could have also overpaid and gotten one more guy, or had bought one more impact reliever. 

    Transmogrified Tiger

    Transmogrified Tiger 2,745

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, cubfansince77 said:

    Only thing going wrong for them. He'll probly DH the rest of the series. They got him out as a precaution I'd guess cuz game is over. 

    He looked pretty frustrated for a precautionary sub, but especially for a muscle issue like that it's difficult to tell

    Geographyhater8888

    Geographyhater8888 418

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Wilson A2000 said:

    So #1 in ERA is awesome, but #2 is just fine. Until today the pitching was not the problem with the team. It was the hitting and will still most likely be this series. 

    Behind a defense with the second best defense fWAR in baseball, playing half their games in one of the most pitcher friendly parks in baseball behind one of the easiest second half SOSs. All of the advanced stats point to the pitching staff being mediocre.

    Max Power

    Max Power 43

    Posted

    Announcers now discussing the ridiculous scheduling of this series.



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