Cuzi
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Everything posted by Cuzi
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Do the Dodgers really only sign guys for a year or 2, though? Maybe with role players, but even then they've had Chris Taylor around since 2017. Feel like they dont keep or replace players any more than any other team. They just spend their money AND develop players, while the Cubs are acting like it has to be one or the other.
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It's also Freemans second contract, which Soto would be entitled to after this one expired. You keep downplaying Freeman as if the gap between him and Soto was some great chasm, even before Freeman's last 2 seasons. Because if we are including these last 2 years, then Freeman > Soto.
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What do I care if one guy gets a walk more while the other guy gets a hit more? If anything I'd probably take the guy getting a hit more because he's driving the runner in from 2nd while the guy who takes his walk doesnt move that runner at all. Their wRC+ is roughly equal. They are both hitting around 30 HRs a year. Soto for his career hits a HR every 21 PA's. Freeman every 25.
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Freeman didn't even get more than that now at a younger age, not even close. Freeman, prior to the Dodgers, was consistently a 4-5 WAR player. Cabrera was an all time great hitter and put up 6-8 WAR years prior to his final contract at 33 years old. There's no comparison between the 2.
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Based on the history of 1B contracts? Probably something like 8 years with a slight bump in AAV. Say $30M. Call it 8/240.
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I think the people arguing that Soto should move to 1B dont realize they are arguing that he's not worth the money, but would spend it anyway.
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It doesnt make the point. There's a clear jump in his numbers when he played 3B and a clear decline when he stopped.
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And sprinkling in a bit of 3B in 2012-13 increased his fWAR by 25-30% but there's no difference?
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You and I both know I'm all about trading Happ, but he just signed an extension and negotiated for a NTC. He's not going anywhere.
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The last year he logged over 1000 innings at 3B is 2013, he played 77.1 innings there the rest of his career. He went from 6.1, 6.6, 7.3, 8.6, to 5.2, 4.6, 5.1. What are you talking about?
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Are you proving my point without realizing you are proving my point?
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It's really not that hard to understand. No team is going to negotiate a $400M contract with Soto and then move him to 1B. That is a 250% markup on the 1B market. It's the lowest positional value on the diamond. He should absolutely not be playing "1B/DH *for the sake of his own value*." He should be playing exactly where he is. Anything in life is worth how much someone is willing to pay. No one in history has come close to this delusional idea that a 1B, no matter how generational his bat is... and lets be real here for once, Soto is one of the best hitters in baseball but he is not a generational bat. When you talk about his bat it's always qualified with being "left handed." He is not Trout. He is not Ohtani. Hell, he's not even Freeman or Olson right now. He's 24 years old and great. He's going to get a boat load of money because of that deadly combination. But he is not going to be moving to 1B on a $400M contract any time soon because the market says no player at that position is worth anywhere near that money.
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Never said they dont.
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It makes perfect sense to anyone that doesn't believe spending $400M on a 1B is a logical baseball decision.
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How old Soto is is irrelevant to the fact that 30 year olds were signing $300M contracts when Freeman was begging for, and didn't receive, $180M.
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If the value was the same, Freddie Freeman would have asked for $300M instead of $180M.
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Probably not, but it's what makes up the Cubs best prospects. So if they dont want them, he aint coming.
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It's a free country.
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A good chunk of those corner outfielders would be sent in trade to acquire Soto. The pure baseball decision would already have been decided on and the roster would be adjusted to accommodate Soto in LF.
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I dont care if you are arguing will or should. There isn't a baseball mind on this earth that lives outside of the virtual world that would consider paying a 1B that much money. I dont care how much of a generational bat he is. You pay him that money and LF becomes his grass. End of story.
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Good for you. Probably have a dynasty roster in MLB The Show. It will never happen in real life. Guarantee Soto wont see 1B/DH until 6+ years into his contract.
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I hate Hoyer, but I'll take him any day over someone willing to dish out $400M to a 1B/DH. Name your number one GM in baseball and he hasn't come close to offering half of that money to that position.
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Do you not understand how money is allocated across the diamond by positional value? I dont care if he is bad in the OF. No one is paying Soto $400M to play 1B/DH. This isn't MLB The Show. Soto will not be setting a record 1B contract by $240M.
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I would bet the Padres will be listening on offers for Soto. He's got 1 year left. They failed at making a juggernaut offense. Tatis, Machado, and Bogaerts are going absolutely no where unless they do what the Rockies did and pay someone to take them. However, I agree that trading for Soto, paying him, and then immediately cutting his value in half by sticking him at 1B is a monumentally stupid idea. If you trade for Soto and then pay him, he is playing LF. Happ becomes your DH and he's gone in 3 years.
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I highly doubt any rumor of Bellinger returning to Chicago is anything more than Boras' camp using the Cubs as leverage. It's not impossible, but we are probably talking about slightly better odds than Ohtani landing on the Cubs. If they pulled off Bellinger and Alonso then you can probably bank on PCA being traded for pitching. No team is signing Bellinger to main first base in year 2. Only reason he played it at all on the Cubs is because our idiot PoBO signed Hosmer and Mancini to play first and a journeyman like Tauchman was a better option in CF.
