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neely crenshaw

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Everything posted by neely crenshaw

  1. neely crenshaw
    Does that mean Fujikawa to the 60 man to open up the 3rd spot or is something else in the works? Seems possible because the word was the Cubs would make cuts after Tuesday SS games but it hasn't happened still. Hope that means the are working on a move to finalize the 40 man.
  2. neely crenshaw
    I don't like singles hitters who hit .250 in a good year and don't walk a lot Value is value. Valbuena is projected to post a 1.4 war, Barney a 1.1, Bonifacio 0.1 with a negative defensive rating. None of them appear to be a very good full time option, but at least Barney has the capability of posting an average war number.
  3. neely crenshaw
    Hawk Harrelson really just said that the White Sox have the best young talent that he has ever seen in a major league camp...then went on to say that "it's the talk of spring training, everyone is saying it"!
  4. neely crenshaw
    Don't get the hatred for Barney. Maybe people see him as Theriot, but he doesn't seem to be "that type of guy". For you guys the good news is he is still being linked to a trade with the Rangers. The Rangers can't feel Murphy is even a short term answer for them. Truth is that outside of a platoon, there isn't going to be much difference in the value of anyone who would play second until one of the young guys takes over. Bonifacio, Barney and Valbuena all project to about the same war.
  5. neely crenshaw
    Thank you, David!
  6. neely crenshaw
    It would be a nice coup to have Kalish and Olt bounce back for us. I feel pretty confident in Olt. I hope Castillo builds on what he did but he was just plain awful behind the plate at times last season. That worries me more than whether he will keep his offense up. As for the lineups, I have to think that if Lake and Bonifacio are in the lineup vs lefties, Bonifacio is leading off. Hard to see Ruggiano starting the season in the 3 hole. Maybe if he proves himself like Schierholtz did last year but he still seems to be a question mark to be a regular.
  7. neely crenshaw
    looks like the alarm just went off..
  8. neely crenshaw
    I have to say that's an interesting split of at bats. Not what I would think of the top of my head. It seems like it would be reversed. Obviously they aren't looking at it as a platoon at either spot(2b or 3b).
  9. neely crenshaw
    Hoping that our main prospects provide the firepower, and then it seems it would be easier to add a OBP guy rather than getting big bats. There are a lot of guys in the .330-.350 range that would not get the big FA money. I guess if we are lacking a part, it'll be cheaper to get those guys.
  10. neely crenshaw
    Tiger, does it say if they project Valbuena to play full time? I think those stats would be pretty close for both if they platooned. I do expect Barney to bounce back from last year, but honestly a bounce back would be .250-.260 with a low .300's OB%. I can't see Valbuena posting that level if he plays anything more than a modified platoon.
  11. neely crenshaw
    Yes, but not last year. You can say that for his career but you have to also look at the fact that he has 189 career at bats vs a lefty, and almost 1300 vs a righty. It's a little easier to say you have an idea of what he'd do as a lefty. You're also looking at about 30 at bats a year vs a righty, not sure you can read anything that.
  12. neely crenshaw
    Nuts, I understand that guys monthly splits are bound to fluctuate. However, when you are looking at a guy who has a career OB% around .300, and he puts up 2 months of huge numbers, but then falls flat after that, doesn't that tell you he is probably still the .300 OB% guy not the .380 one? That's why I looked at the splits. If he had a history of that type of OB% then you could say it's just a couple down months, but it's the hot April and May that are different than anything he's done in his career not the other way around. Even in the minors when he had a very good OB% it was his hitting not his walks that put him there. His walks were basically the same as what he did last year. His OB% was bumped by his .300 plus BA, so unless he changes from his sub .220 BA, I don't see how we can expect him to get to .330 OB% as a full time player- as a platoon it's very possible. It seems that the "splits" say he was reverting to his norm before he was injured. Maybe he can come out and do it again, and do it for all season, it just doesn't seem likely.
  13. neely crenshaw
    again, can we stick to baseball
  14. neely crenshaw
    add anything....
  15. neely crenshaw
    I don't think you platoon Olt at all. If he's healthy enough to play, he plays. Obviously with days off to help the shoulder. I just don't think they're ready to look at Olt as a platoon type player yet. If Olt can't go, then you could see Valbuena/Murphy (or Bonifacio) as a platoon, just hoping to get similar results as we did with Ransom.
  16. neely crenshaw
    I think you may want to look deeper into the Valbuena stats before calling him such an upgrade. Most of his .322 as a Cub came in 2 months at the start of last year. When he had around a .380 OB%. He then followed that up with 2 months of sub .300. Seems like he was reverting to his norm, when he missed a month. As was said he is barely better than Barney lifetime .302 to .293. Looking at his minor league stats his OB% is good, but if you look closer, most of that is because his average was over .300 not because he found ways to get on. Unless you see him significantly improving his average, it sure looks like his OB% will be at the low end of the .300's. Any value they have is as a platoon with each other. If they performed as they did last year, with Valbuena taking more at bats as a lefty, you could hope to have a .320-.330 OB%, and a low .700's OBS which would be pretty solid out of your 2b, especially with two good defenders.
  17. neely crenshaw
    Can we just try to stick to baseball this season...
  18. neely crenshaw
    You can't be swayed by a great spring into thinking Valbuena is a long term starting piece. He started off great for months last year but came back to earth, and really the only thing that kept from falling all the way back to his norm was he missed 6 weeks. Right now he is the perfect platoon mate with Barney. Both play good/great defense. Their righty/lefty splits are nearly identical...surprisingly with Barney having a better OPS and Valbuena having a better OB%. Unless Olt can not throw from third or if the cubs feel they can get Barney's trade value up by playing full-time, I can't see why they would not platoon them until someone else is ready.
  19. neely crenshaw
    A lot of sweat, and a little help from the pharmacy...
  20. neely crenshaw
    Theo at least has a history of getting top starting pitchers when needed. Although they were done in trades and not FA, he went and got Schilling before winning their first WS, and got Beckett the year before their next.
  21. neely crenshaw
    I like both of these signings. Both coming off bad, injury filled years but there stats are pretty similar. Hammel's 2012 puts him way ahead in career war, but the rest of the years are pretty even. Also kind of surprised Hammel is 31, always seemed like a kid. Darnell is also James' cousin.
  22. neely crenshaw
    with many japanese stars playing for big name teams means a lot..don't know if the cubs fall into that bracket over there. The thing I worry about is that he is going to get the money from someone. Being a success is very important to their culture. Does it hurt the cubs that for at least a couple years he might pitch great but not have great stats because of a poor team. I know in the scheme of things there are much better stats than W-L but does a guy go back home and talk about how good his ERA was?
  23. neely crenshaw
    Allegedly we have extended Shark... http://www.csnchicago.com/cubs/have-cubs-extended-jeff-samardzija-dan-dakich-says-yes?p=ya5nbcs&ocid=yahoo
  24. neely crenshaw
    Barney was 246-310-415 vs. LHP last season. Sorry , that was barney's stat line vs LH starters. That would still be a nice split for a 2b. In a bad season, Barney still lead Valbuena's spilts in average, OB% and OPS. With their defense, and Valbuena getting majority of at bats we could see a 330 ob% and 720-ish ops I don't think either one has huge value if they have to be a full time player. You are also banking on Valbuena, who hit right at his career average but was 30 points above his career average for ob% and slugging producing at that same level. Factor in he hit .165 with a .619 ops the 2nd half of the season and possibly the only thing that kept his stats where they were is that he missed a month of at bats. You should question his value as much as Barney's
  25. neely crenshaw
    He's a year out from being our top war guy but we know he is unlikely to post that ever again. However, how can you argue with his splits vs lefties? Even in his terrible offensive year his splits were better than Valbuena's were- which I was very surprised about. I think if anyone can play third, these two scream for a platoon at 2b.
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