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champaignchris

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Everything posted by champaignchris

  1. Just for fun: The Cardinals are 9-10 since taking the interim tag off of Schildt.
  2. Z was a 4.5 WAR a year pitcher for 8 years and then basically got drummed out of the league at age 31 for being a head case. I don’t know how Theo/Joe would have handled him differently, but I guarantee they would have handled him better.
  3. Right. I don’t think it can be overstated how “all-in” the Bears’ front office have gone with Trubisky. They’ve basically banked the next three years and their jobs on him being worth the 2nd pick of the draft. They cashed in every bit of developmental wiggle room with the Mack trade. They can’t go 6-10 and say, “We saw some nice things from Mitch this year and will pair him with a top 10 draft pick.” It’s basically playoffs or bust.
  4. Schedule plays a role in it too. The Dodgers have a significantly easier remaining SoS, while the Rockies and DBacks are tied for the toughest remaining SoS in the League per Fangraphs. All told, they predict the Dodgers finishing 14-8 and the Rocks and DBacks both finishing 11-12. I think the difference between the Cubs and Dodgers WS chances comes down to them thinking the Brewers/Cardinals are better teams than the Braves and thus the Cubs will have the tougher time getting to the NLCS. Not an unreasonable assessment in my view.
  5. How many pitchers drafted in the supplemental and later rounds of the draft since 2012 should realistically be contributing to a playoff caliber team? I counted. The number of players drafted with the 31st and later pick of the draft since 2012 who have contributed at least 1 bWAR to one of the 13 teams (5 in the AL and 8 in the NL) competing for the playoffs is 14. Brian Johnson, Chad Green, Lance McCullers, Lou Trivino, Sean Manaea, Nick Pavetta, Zach Eflin, Josh Hader, Austin Gomber, Jack Flaherty, Scott Oberg, Dylan Floro, Alex Wood, and Ross Stripling. 8 of the 14 were drafted in 2012, 4 were drafted in 2013, and the two Cardinals were drafted in 2014. If you want, you can add Victor Arano, a 2013 amateur free agent signing to make it 15. 8 of these 15 weren't originally drafted/signed by the team they currently play on, but were acquired by trade.
  6. I think Javy tries to go 1st to 3rd every time a left handed batter hits one into the outfield against the shift. And since there’s no one covering third, why not?
  7. George Altman... [OB1]Now there’s a name I haven’t heard for..[/OB1] Didn’t make his MLB debut until age 26 and was pretty well done as a contributing player by age 31. Played almost a decade in Japan after his MLB career was over. Had two All-Star appearances as a Cub and then traded to the Cardinals for Larry Jackson and Lindy McDaniel among others. Larry Jackson had an All-Star season and then Cy Young runner up season before being traded to the Phillies for Fergie Jenkins. Lindy McDaniel was a 2 WAR a year reliever for three season before being traded to the Giants for Randy Hundley.
  8. Aramis was great enough for him. I was just about to post the same.
  9. There’s still $87M left on Pujols’ contract!!! Not including the $10M personal service contract that kicks in after he retires.
  10. Why in the world would Epstein want Girardi? What is it about Girardi’s managerial style that anyone would thInk is a good fit for this Cubs franchise?
  11. I also got A-Rod and Big Sexy. I imagine there’s a slightly older group of people for whom Jamie Moyer is everyone’s older cap.
  12. “Allowed the Cardinals to get back in the mix” = going .570 in August while the Cardinals go .810. I’m going to go way out on a limb here and say that only one of those trends is going to continue
  13. I've long been picturing a heartwarming scene of him and Yu holding hands as they get wheeled into the operating room together. Double arm transplants. Darvish gets Bryant’s right, Bryant gets Darvish’s left.
  14. The Grand Slam today was right at the bottom of the zone.
  15. Didn't the Cubs decline to pick up the option on Jason Hammel in part because they didn't feel right about picking up an option just to trade a guy? I could totally see the Cubs declining the option on Hamels and then re-signing him to a Lackey-ish deal. But I don't think there's any way they pick up the option.
  16. Harper since the ASB: .339/.447/.677
  17. Ju-u-ust a bit outside.Doyle>
  18. It’s pretty amazing that Hamels pitched as well as he pitched for that many innings for some really good teams, and only has 153 career wins. From ‘06 to ‘11 Hamels averaged a 3.39 ERA and 194 innings a year, but only 9 wins for Phillies teams that averaged 93 wins a year during that time. He had a 2.79 ERA over 216 innings for the ‘11 team that won 102 games, and only went 14-9. Reason #6743 that pitchers’ won loss records are dumb.
  19. Jackson arguably had the two worst seasons as a starter for the Cubs over the last 25 years. If you go by bWAR, his 2013 (-1.4) was also worse than Estes’s 2003 (-1.3). Justin Germano, Chris Volstad and Glendon Rusch all also had seasons in that -1.3, -1.4 range. Jackson’s somehow actually been pretty good through 7 starts with Oakland this year.
  20. The dude now has a 3.18 career ERA in 408 innings when pitching for anyone other than the Cubs. I’m still pretty miffed at how that Castro trade panned out. I know the Cubs eventually got Chapman out of Warren, but he could have pitched to expectations and the Cubs could have traded a different bum reliever back to New York instead.
  21. Edwin Jackson in 2014. 6-15, 6.33 ERA, -2.3 bWAR in 140.2 IP.
  22. They gave Javy a Caught Stealing on that play last night. I don’t know. The pitcher wasn’t paying attention and Javy got a great jump. The third baseman was 30 feet or so from the base when Javy started running. If the pitcher had waited to throw until the third baseman got to the bag, it would have been a really close play. If the third baseman had stopped running to catch the ball the pitcher threw, Javy might have run right past him. Of course the pitcher’s throw went into left field and the point is moot. I think a lot of the “risky” stuff Javy does on the basepaths is a lot more calculated than people give him credit for.
  23. Well, the Cubs do in fact rule, while the Brewers’ drooling has been patently obvious for some time now.
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