i just think you go too far the other way in not trying to be a meatball. yes it's baseball, which means that even a team that should be great could suck. the fact that they went on a huge run in the last 2 months of last season doesn't mean that the 4 months of being mediocre couldn't have continued. yeah, overreacting is annoying, but so is the "actually they are good, and you're an idiot if you think it's not a lock" also gets annoying. you don't know that. they suck to start the season again, and it wouldn't even be the weirdest thing to happen in baseball this year to see them finish the year at .500. does 3 weeks of mediocrity make that significantly more likely? no. but the rotation has some questions, and we can't count of the cardinals and the brewers being mediocre. Fair enough. I think there’s enough underlying indicators and data points to think and know fairly certainly this team is in fact good and will win mid 90s games and the reaction to results and baseball being baseball shouldn’t have people overly worried. If we could point to real things causing the suckage I’d be worried or other teams in the division being anything better than mediocre but that’s really not the case and over time this team should rise to the top. "fairly certainly" just seems very generous to me, especially if you're talking about mid 90s wins. and it's not just the results. the cubs invested a crazy amount of resources into this rotation, and there are valid concerns.