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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    And dingers! I admit I did fail to include that 'minor' detail. Honest question though (and not meant as a rebuttal). How much more valuable is a 28% K rate/30 HR profile vs 15% K rate/15 HR profile?
  2. squally1313
    Castro doesn't make over $10m for 4 more years. If he rebounds to a 3-4 win shortstop, he goes back to being one of the best values in baseball. And he's 23 for another 2 months. I need more than minor league stats and 200 MLB PAs from Bryant and Baez to get rid of him. And let's keep Javy and KB's K and BB rates in mind before bringing up Starlin's offensive approach. They basically match what Starlin did, with more strikeouts.
  3. squally1313
    It wouldn't be about 60 at bats in March. So it'd be about the last 400 PAs with the Rangers and Cubs AAA teams (.745 OPS with the Rangers, .207 BAPIP with the Cubs) completely overshadowing the prior 1,000 MILB PAs? Even with a widely reported medical issue going on? Look, maybe his eyes/head will never be normal again, and if that's the case, that sucks for him. But that's something the medical team has to decide, not Theo looking at him for 3 weeks next month and declaring him broken. If he's healthy...he needs to have a shot somewhere. The upside is too high.
  4. squally1313
    He's 25 years old and this team sucks. If he can't make it, he's not going anywhere. Throw him in AAA and let him find ABs where he can, but there's no reason to worry about a logjam. I'm not ready to write off his career because he has 60 bad at bats in Arizona in March. Yeah he's 25, but it's not like he's running out of service time. He put up better numbers than Rizzo at every stop until AAA. Maybe last year was caused by his eye issues, maybe he actually sucks. But if he says it's not an issue now, so give him a few hundred at bats somewhere before making him a AAAA player. Cut 33 year old Ryan Roberts, have Watkins back up the middle infield for a few months (Barney can play SS in a pinch, and hopefully by July everyone makes room for Javy and Arismendy).
  5. squally1313
    You almost have to wonder if he switched Johnson and Edwards because they had an interview lined up with Johnson that's running today as well. I haven't seen many people besides him put Johnson ahead of Edwards. But yeah, pretty dull rankings. The Steamer projections were even weirder (nice BAPIPs).
  6. squally1313
    If you're being sarcastic, stop. If you're being serious, stop.
  7. squally1313
    [expletive] me too. WTF happened? Jets D is so suspect. Pretty much. Plus terrible goaltending. In order, Hammer on a rocket off the draw, Bollig keeps it on a 2v1 off a bad pinch, Sharp puts away a breakaway, and Leddy put one through about 6 screens.
  8. squally1313
    Was sitting at Emmit's last night around 10:30...probably 15 people in the bar. Guy walks in with a huge trunk, pulls out the Cup. Was there till close, never more than 50 people in the bar. Turned out one of the official handlers loves that bar....he probably downed about 12 Guinnesses. Randomly one of the best nights of my life.
  9. squally1313
    That's some really simple math that you're asking help with here... 364 now, give him 370 at the end of the year. Bonds has 762, so 39.2 for 10 years to tie the record.
  10. squally1313
    i hope that rizzo singles bryant home and vogelbach is playing for some american league organization that traded us a really good starting pitcher. That would be even better... I know it's irrational, but after seeing Vogelbach's bat flip a few weeks ago, having him and Baez on the same infield would be incredibly entertaining. Edit: Or batting 3-4 in the batting order.
  11. squally1313
    AJ got ejected for arguing after the 1 walk. I guess the 2-2 pitch was borderline and AJ started to head to the dugout.
  12. squally1313
    AJ got ejected for arguing after the 1 walk. I guess the 2-2 pitch was borderline and AJ started to head to the dugout.
  13. squally1313
    Yeah I was just going to post that. Didn't look at all of them in too much detail, but the Cubs team was by far the worst I saw on there. Here's your starters: Catcher: Soto 1B: Vitters 2B: Barney SS: Castro 3B: Donaldson OF: Lake, Colvin, Fuld Jesus Christ.
  14. squally1313
    Also Iowa's last game is September 2nd, so...
  15. squally1313
    #marmol'd
  16. squally1313
    This may be a different conversation altogether, but I was discussing this with a friend the other day. Given how the current focus for every major league is taking advantage of those cost controlled years when the player first enters the major leagues, couldn't it be seen as an advantage to have those cost controlled years be from ages 23-28 rather than ages 21-26? The obvious counterpoint is that it pushes back the time spent adjusting to the speed/skill/etc of major league baseball, but there are some benefits to having a player locked down for cheap while he's at his physical (and historically skill-level) peak. The conversation with my friend ended with me wondering if that's playing into the "one level at a time" strategy that Theo/Jed are seemingly employing.
  17. squally1313
    Doing some quick math on what his contract ended up looking like... He's owed $19M next year, and (let's say) $8M the rest of this year. Let's say we pick up $20M of that contract. That means, in total, we paid Soriano $129M (136-7). According to Fangraphs, Sori has been worth 19.0 WAR throughout his career as a Cub. Works out to about $6.8M per win. Obviously it's above what we should be paying, and we didn't accomplish anything while he was here, but I don't think it ended up being the total disaster that the average fan believes it is.
  18. squally1313
    No idea how to post the actual gif on the board, but I figured you guys would like this one... http://cdn.fangraphs.com/not/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/Vogelbux.gif
  19. squally1313
    I noticed things like this after Game 1, when most Chicago fans thought Boston was the better team, and most Boston fans thought Chicago was the better team. I think the reality is that Boston and Chicago are simply on another level compared to almost every other team in hockey, and we "get used" to watching our teams dominate. When they go up against a team that can relatively match them in overall skill level, we look worse relative to every other game. Ultimately, I think the margin is extremely thin, but I would give us (and stats back it up) a slight edge.
  20. squally1313
    I guess that means Bolland is back centering the second line? I know I've said it before, and I know the ship has almost definitely sailed, but the second/third lines look so much better to me with Sharp handling the face-offs on the second line and Shaw playing the center position there, and then Bolland going between Bickell and Stalberg. Sharp/Bolland/Kane just never really clicked, and Kane pretty much had to carry that line all season. Can't afford that now.
  21. squally1313
    Pittsburgh's loss last night should have pretty much wrapped up the President's Trophy. Yay? Whatever. It appears that the first round is either going to be Detroit, or Columbus. Who would you guys rather see? While I think Detroit is the better team, I see what Bobrovsky is doing in Columbus and have flashes of Mike Smith from last year. If you take the goalies out of the equation, Detroit is tougher, but I think I'd rather see 5-7 goals a game (combined) against them than a bunch of 2-1 games against Columbus. Makes luck (slash hot goaltending) less of a factor. Plus, it would be nice to knock Detroit out on this Cup run. Hopefully we get to see Leblanc at some point. I know Bolland's hurt, but we need to see if he is going to be a factor come playoff time (although I suppose we're good enough that he can still heat up in the first round). Rest whoever wants a rest....maybe even give Saad a breather. He's already coming up on 80 games played this season when you factor in the Rockford games...easily a career high. Showing no signs of slowing down, but don't him to hit a wall. Same could go for Leddy.
  22. squally1313
    2011-2012 LA Kings: 17th in the NHL in Power Play percentage. 2010-2011 Boston Bruins: 20th in the NHL in Power Play percentage. 2009-2010 Chicago Blackhawks: 16th in the NHL in Power Play percentage. 2013 Chicago Blackhawks: 16th in the NHL in Power Play percentage. We have a really nice thing here. Jesus Christ, enjoy it. It could definitely end abruptly. But this team is fantastic.
  23. squally1313
    Yeah this will happen. That's what, the second time in 45 games we've been clearly outplayed? It's a schedule loss. Too much strong play this season to worry about this. I didn't even think we were playing that well before tonight and I saw we had an 11 game point streak and just shook my head and laughed. It would take a lot to convince me this isn't the best team in hockey. Screwy things can happen in a 7 game series, but we've got a better chance than anyone.
  24. squally1313
    Still wondering if they're just waiting to lock up the President's Trophy before slowing it down a little bit. Seems stupid to me, especially since they'd have to entirely go balls up to not get it (and also it's pretty worthless), but I'm going to be watching tonight's game just praying it doesn't get chippy. Remember, it was right around this time in the year last year that Keith took out a Sedin (doesn't matter which one) on the dirtiest non-Carcillo hit I've seen by a Hawk in the last few years.
  25. squally1313
    With Anaheim's regulation loss last night, we're 5 points up with 2 games in hand. Sports Club Stats has us as 95% favorites to win the President's Cup Trophy (and I can already see the snide comments from Vancouver fans) and pretty much guaranteed to get the number 1 seed. Since I don't care about the President's Trophy at all, and hope they don't either, it will be interesting to see how Q handles giving them some rest down the stretch while also getting them ready for playoff hockey. http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL.html
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