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CaliforniaRaisin

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Everything posted by CaliforniaRaisin

  1. CaliforniaRaisin
  2. CaliforniaRaisin
  3. CaliforniaRaisin
    With Gallen re-signing with the Diamondbacks, the Cubs are locked into 23, 62 and 75 before the third down.
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    Really liked Cam coming out of HS. Would be great for him if he's finally settling in in college. He obviously has 1st round talent.
  7. CaliforniaRaisin
    Happy college baseball opening day! Hoping to get out to Jackie Robinson tonight to see Roch and my undergrad school host my grad school.
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  9. CaliforniaRaisin
    18 scouting directors from MLB clubs gave their opinion on the 2026 draft: https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/how-scouting-departments-grade-the-2026-mlb-draft-class/
  10. CaliforniaRaisin
    Yeah, this would be a part of the CBA negotiation, driven by the owners' desire to cut down even more minor league affiliates.
  11. CaliforniaRaisin
    BA added their 31st-40th best prospect for every team. The Cubs: 31. Ethan Flanagan 32. Alexey Lumpuy 33. Grant Kipp 34. Jack Neely 35. Eli Lovich 36. Connor Noland 37. Kade Snell 38. Yahil Melendez 39. Brett Bateman 40. Eli Jerzembeck
  12. CaliforniaRaisin
    I suspect so but do think there’s at least a small chance he could break at Myrtle Beach. I’m hoping he’s there by July at the latest.
  13. CaliforniaRaisin
    BA farm rankings are out: 1. Pirates 2. Cardinals 3. Brewers (I'm not joking about the top 3) 19. Reds 22. Cubs
  14. CaliforniaRaisin
    Yeah, we can say prospect fatigue but the struggles against sliders is very real and very glaring. Big league pitchers will eat up such a big hole in his game. He’s now going on his 4th and final option so he also has little runway left to fix it.
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    Keith Law's Cubs top 20: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7012816/2026/02/04/chicago-cubs-2026-top-20-prospects-keith-law/ 1. Kevin Alcántara 2. Moisés Ballesteros 3. Jefferson Rojas 4. Jaxon Wiggins 5. Ethan Conrad 6. Pedro Ramírez 7. Jostin Florentino 8. Jonathon Long 9. James Triantos 10. Owen Ayers 11. Kane Kepley 12. Josiah Hartshorn 13. Juan Cabada 14. Dominick 3eid 15. Kaleb Wing 16. Grant Kipp 17. Kade Snell 18. Koen Moreno 19. Ty Southisene 20. Pierce Coppola
  17. CaliforniaRaisin
    BP top 101: 67. Wiggins 73. Conrado 80. Ballesteros
  18. CaliforniaRaisin
    They drafted 2 last year (Wing and Franklin).
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  20. CaliforniaRaisin
    Also makes Rojas struggles at AA less concerning.
  21. CaliforniaRaisin
    The new Knoxville stadium is even more pitcher-friendly than Myrtle Beach.
  22. CaliforniaRaisin
    My thinking is that if Wiggins still has prospect eligibility, he’s battled injuries or struggled. But yeah, there’s a fun world where Wiggins does well and maintains his prospect eligibility because the Cubs have enough good, healthy big league arms.
  23. CaliforniaRaisin
    He's got to be the favorite.
  24. CaliforniaRaisin
    Rojas was 107th in Kiley McDaniel's top 200. Conrad, Kepley and Rojas all made BA's next 20 prospects just outside their top 100. So those are the 3 most likely to prop up the system going forward and none of them are likely to graduate in-season. Hartshorn is the next most likely guy. He was ranked in the top 75 draft prospects in a few places and has the type of power that really could easily make a top 100 list. Those are the 4 guys who are currently in the organization and played domestically last year that I think can crack a top-100 list in 2026. Other guys you mentioned - I'm not sure Southisene can every move up a lot in a single year because he needs to show he has the power to survive at every stop. Mathis could definitely bump up with a healthy season; he had good draft pedigree. I really liked Erian in 2024 when he was more 94-96. Last season, he was more 92-94. All that said, I think he's still a top 20 prospect in the organization. A few other names I think could be good breakout candidates: Cabada, Cepeda, Lumpuy, Reid and Wing. This org really needs Reid and Wing to both show something this year, the pitching is horrible behind Wiggins. EDIT: One name Bryan Smith has mentioned to watch is 2025 draftee RHP Nate Williams.
  25. CaliforniaRaisin
    What's nice about Kiley's rankings is he bases it on a concrete FV = $$ formula so you can play around with specific changes to the list and see what happens. If you assume Ballesteros graduates with no other changes anywhere, the Cubs would fall from 25th to 28th in Kiley's rankings (ahead of only Houston and San Diego, the only two teams that don't have a top 100 prospect). But this obviously assumes that not only do the Cubs not have any breakouts but also other teams don't have breakouts/graduations/flameouts. The Cubs pushed for a lot of big league success by trading good prospects in 2025-2026 so hopefully this is the bottom point of the farm and they'll start improving now that they don't have many more Cam Smiths, Owen Caissies, Zyhir Hopes and Jackson Ferrises to trade away. And the guy who has a streak of four consecutive first rounders making it to the bigs from 2021-2024 is still in charge of the Cubs draft which helps me think there's solid chance someone from Conrad, Kepley and Harsthorn breaks out in 2026.
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