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CaliforniaRaisin

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Everything posted by CaliforniaRaisin

  1. CaliforniaRaisin
    He hurt his knee backing up a play on the last day of the 2023 season and had offseason knee surgery. Then, after he came back for a few starts in 2024, he missed the rest of the season with a shoulder strain. I've seen pictures of him throwing in the backfields this spring so it looks like he's healthy.
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  5. CaliforniaRaisin
    Another potential first round college pitcher who has started the season with 2 good starts:
  6. CaliforniaRaisin
    Last week: Today:
  7. CaliforniaRaisin
    The HR was at 108.4 EV. Nice comment on Brethowr from Joe Doyle:
  8. CaliforniaRaisin
    2024 7th rounder Ivan Brethowr:
  9. CaliforniaRaisin
    Longenhagen wrote up why he had Holliday lower: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/updating-the-2025-draft-rankings/ Also a good time to remember that while BA has multiple contributors and Pipeline has both Callis and Mayo, The Athletic (Law), ESPN (McDaniel) and Fangraphs each only have 1 person doing draft work so they are more likely to have individual outlier rankings published.
  10. CaliforniaRaisin
    We won’t see Bateman and Caissie at spring training and possibly the early part of the minor league season:
  11. CaliforniaRaisin
    Eriandys Ramón made Eric Longenhagen's Picks to Click section under the "Two-Year Darts" section for guys he thinks might make his top 100 in two years time: Picks to Click: Who I Expect to Make the 2026 Top 100 | FanGraphs Baseball When he asked his sources in baseball for guys who could make the top 100 list in a year, Cole Mathis made their list.
  12. CaliforniaRaisin
    Fangraphs draft board is out: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2025-mlb-draft
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  14. CaliforniaRaisin
    Don’t like the sound of that Birdsell injury.
  15. CaliforniaRaisin
    BA's Cubs' 31-40: https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/10-cubs-prospects-to-know-beyond-the-top-30-in-2025/ 31. Eli Lovich, OF 32. Drew Gray, LHP 33. Daniel Avitia, RHP 34. JP Wheat, RHP. 35. Frankie Scalzo, RHP 36. Kenyi Pérez, RHP 37. BJ Murray, 3B 38. Fernando Cruz, SS 39. Andy Garriola, OF 40. Ariel Armas, C
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  17. CaliforniaRaisin
    There are also a few teams that might have $900k or even more available this year itself (probably the Blue Jays who traded for a lot of additional pool space but missed out on Sasaki).
  18. CaliforniaRaisin
    Before 1/15/25, this is what I had heard: SS Wilfri de la Cruz, Dominican Republic - $2.3 million SS Juan Cabada, Dominican Republic - $1.5 million IF Juan Tomás, Dominican Republic- $1.1 million SS Luis Santos, Dominican Republic - $135,000 OF Julio Acosta, Dominican Republic - $124,000 RHP Erick Hernández, Venezuela - $75,000 IF Luis Abreu, Dominican Republic - $60,000 SS Elerick Gómez, Venezuela - $60,000 IF Alexander Herrera, Venezuela - $30,000 OF Freiker Betancourt, Venezuela - $25,000 OF Luis Sánchez, Venezuela - $20,000 That's $5.429,000. Current pool is $6,261,600 so there's a balance of $832,600 but that's without knowing what Tadeo Gámez signed for. Jaims Martínez was supposed to sign for $900k so on his own, he would have put them over their allotted pool space.
  19. CaliforniaRaisin
    It does feel like the Cubs are disappointing in the international market because most of their biggest bonus signings have flamed out or stalled... But at the same time, they have two IFAs who are universally considered top 100 prospects (Ballesteros and Rojas) and that seems pretty good. I haven't seen a comprehensive analysis of how teams have done in the IFA market and without it, we're stuck doing a piecemeal analysis, often looking at just the biggest successes and not considering that committing to sign 16-year olds at age 13 might be a crapshoot. It's easy to think of Ronald Acuña only signing for $100k or Jackson Chourio's success before he's 21 but are those just outliers with good luck or a sign of really good IFA programs?
  20. CaliforniaRaisin
    He hasn't signed. His reported deal was $900k and with it, the Cubs would likely have gone over their pool based on other estimates, so this is probably the hang up on signing him.
  21. CaliforniaRaisin
  22. CaliforniaRaisin
    Jefferson Rojas at 120, James Triantos at 181.
  23. CaliforniaRaisin
    Ehh, they all have massive red flags. Derniche strikes out way too much in the complex league (and maybe the two stints on the restricted list are a strike against him), Cruz was bad in the DSL and Mulé walked 42 guys in 52 innings last season while looking more like a 1 inning RP. Only one I'd have in my top 30 is Naz and that's because I'm giving him a one-year mulligan on the control due to the TJS.
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  25. CaliforniaRaisin
    BA's full preseason top 30: https://www.baseballamerica.com/teams/2005-chicago-cubs/prospects/?season=2025&ranking=preseason 1. Matt Shaw 2. Cade Horton 3. Moisés Ballesteros 4. Owen Caissie 5. Kevin Alcántara 6. Jefferson Rojas 7. James Triantos 8. Brandon Birdsell 9. Jaxon Wiggins 10. Cole Mathis 11. Jonathon Long 12. Juan Tomas 13. Ángel Cepeda 14. Benjamin Cowles 15. Pedro Ramírez 16. Brody McCullough 17, Wilfri de la Cruz 18. Ronny Cruz 19. Yahil Melendez 20. Cristian Hernández 21. Ty Southisene 22. Gage Workman 23. Pablo Aliendo 24. Juan Cabada 25. Will Sanders 26. Alexander Canario - has lost his prospect status 27. Jack Neely 28. Nick Dean 29. Sam Armstrong 30. Brett Bateman
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