Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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Manny Machado Traded to the Dodgers
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Getting real close to just not wanting Machado as a rule. -
My half baked theory is that Almora is getting the nod at the top of the order against RHP who don't have a strong cutter or slider to induce weak contact from him. Part of that is a lack of superior options, and part of that is being a little silly about not just putting Bryant/Rizzo/Contreras/Schwarber 2-5 in whatever order you please. Whatever the reason, it's kinda worked okay so far, Almora is at .306/.366/.388 against RHP and .328/.377/.359 against RHP when hitting 1 or 2.
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Manny Machado Traded to the Dodgers
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
It's imperfect, and done to save time for half an article and to make visualization easier, but it doesn't invalidate the idea that the Cubs in 2018 have had more peaks and valleys than offenses of that caliber. I do expect it to normalize though, he undersells the likelihood of variance over the course of 40 games, especially this year with so much inconsistency of circumstances with rain and temperature. -
Manny Machado Traded to the Dodgers
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Sharma covered this today: https://theathletic.com/363985/2018/05/22/clubhouse-access-how-the-cubs-uneven-scoring-distribution-compares-around-baseball/ So it is true that they're more boom/bust so far. However people made similar complaints about the 2017 Cubs and they finished the year just fine in that regard. -
The NL west is worse than the AL central
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 5-21-18
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Last 4 starts: 22 IP, 16 H, 7 ER, 24/6 K/BB, 4 HR Snuff out some of those HR and he'll be in great shape. -
So much worse than I remembered. How is it possible that only went 300 feet
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That's a good question. I think you can make arguments for Bryant, Chapman, Arrieta, and Lester. If Chapman was dominant in shutting the door I think he'd be the favorite.
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Hopefully the knock he got last night isn't anything serious. As an aside, that RBNY/Atlanta game was crazy. It had a goal and a red card both removed by video review, a soft penalty, BWP crushing Atlanta's spirits with two headers in 5 minutes, an actual red card, and 12 minutes of 2nd half stoppage time since they needed to stretcher off a RBNY player who hurt his head/neck by chesting a ball that was 18 inches off the ground.
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There is a canyon full of potential outcomes between a prospect being Brandon Wood and *both* Soto and Robles being one of the 30 or so best position players in the game as soon as next year(which is basically necessary for that 4 to 4 comparison to be equal). Sometimes playing devil's advocate can cross over to willful ignorance of the situation. There is no permutation where the Nationals, who basically have 2 position players, 2 prospects and 2 starters(one of whom turns 35 next year) that look at all likely to be above average players in 2019, are going to be a more attractive situation than the Cubs, Yankees, or even half the NL East that might pursue Harper.
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On any timeline that would be relevant to Bryce Harper, that Cubs core is significantly better. Soto and Robles have a combined 235 PA above A-ball, the odds of them outproducing Contreras/Schwarber before 2021 are not high, and the odds of them bridging the huge quality gap between Bryzzo and Rendon/Turner are lower than that. And then you’ve also got the fact that the Cubs have 4 other former Top-50 prospects as position player depth compared to...the hope that Michael Taylor finds his AA form somehow and [file not found].
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Literally running out of usable pitchers in a winnable game is the thing you're trying to avoid for Game 2. The Reds had a sea of lefties due up, lefties have a .273/.467/.455 line against Cishek this year, which makes sense because he doesn't throw hard and his sidearm spiel isn't going to make a huge difference. Quintana is going in Game 2 so you know it's more likely that you have a greater chance to have Cishek face several RH in a row then. Wilson before today had 8 straight outings without signs of trouble, and lefties are hitting .125/.276/.292 against him this year. If you would've done it differently or weighted different factors that's fine, but the idea that going to Wilson instead of letting Cishek pitch the 11th is a sign that Maddon is drunk at the wheel is silly. If anything, I would've just not bothered with Cishek to get the last out in the 10th, but that worked fine and the game was over before it burned them.
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what in the world you liked taking cishek out after two (2) pitches with his spot due up first in the 12th in favor of wilson? I did not. I think managing extra innings in the first game of a double header, especially when your 2 best relievers probably aren't able to pitch in both games, is full of no-win decisions. He had a quick hook with his rubber armed guys(Duensing, Cishek, Strop) to make sure Game 2 isn't a disaster, and Wilson got burned by a combination of bad luck and bad control. I don't think Cishek facing a parade of LH hitters (with Duvall sprinkled in) is that advantageous a situation, especially when Game 2 will feature a RH heavy lineup against Quintana that would make more sense to use Cishek in.
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3rd time through the order, and he had given up hard hit error, BB, 1B, 2B. I wouldn't have been angry if they had left him in, but with that situation and nothing but lefties for the next 5ish hitters had he been left in, going to Rosario makes sense too.
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He threw 4 legitimate strikes and 2 legitimate balls to the first hitter and was rewarded with a walk. The other 2 walks were legit bad control.
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what in the world
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Yeah, it was so bad last year. And it hasn't been a problem at all this year. Wait. Delete. Delete. Delete. This weekend even looks different than April, I think. He's always had more of a sidearm/three-quarters slot and there's been a couple today he's uncorked like an outfielder.
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I think Russell's shoulder is finally feeling 100%, he's really been getting into these throws and from a higher release point
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He's gotta be right there with Allen and Shaw in all of baseball in terms of underrated for their consistency. i've finally lost the PTSD i had with him and his cardinals struggles in/around 2015 I mean look at this, this is absurd for a reliever who has basically never been considered a relief ace/closer
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not a strike, never a strike
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He's gotta be right there with Allen and Shaw in all of baseball in terms of underrated for their consistency.
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get a run, let Morrow close, and you can still go Duensing/Cishek/Strop in Game 2 if you don't want to use either of Edwards/Morrow (likely)
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they have a lead in the 8th, that only happens a couple times a month for them
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have a day, Happ, have a day
