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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. First post updated. Here we are after two top 10 round picks have signed: 2018 Bonus Pool (signed picks only): $955,400 2018 Bonus Pool (signed picks only) Including 5% Overage: $1,003,170 2018 Bonus Pool Spending: $700,000 2018 Bonus Pool +/-: $255,400 Under Budget 2018 Bonus Pool +/- Including 5% Overage: $303,170 Under Budget This is very helpful, thanks! One small suggestion, can we include the overage amount that assumes everyone in the Top 10 signs? I know the technical overage amount requires signings and until they're finalized that's in doubt, but given how likely it is for Top 10 picks to sign, I feel that number has more practical use in guiding these conversations.
  2. Agreed, there's never any shortage of innings to go around at Eugene because they never let the college pitchers do more than some 3-4 IP stints with lots of rest. And Hoerner is almost certainly not long for Eugene, and someone like Weber, Herron, or Artis could join him in South Bend come August.
  3. At this point, the best case scenario has Darvish making around 1 start before the all-star break, so really you have a month to see if Chatwood looks better or Montgomery loses steam before you have to make that decision. Given the info we have now, you can't take Montgomery out of the rotation. He's not merely been capable/decent, he's at 3 ER in 23.2 IP over 4 starts. He has been a little fortunate, the Brewers and Mets are bottom of the barrel against LHP, but the Pirates are 4th in the NL(Cubs are 2nd) and he's faced them in both of the other 2 starts so it averages out fine.
  4. The folks behind Baseball reference launched a soccer site today, covering domestic leagues from England, France, Spain, Germany, and the US to start with: https://fbref.com
  5. Montgomery since the start of 2016: 25 GS, 128.1 IP, 3.36 ERA, 94/36 K/BB, 59% GB% Start Montgomery
  6. Very surprised Collins wasn’t able to work “I killed fiddy men” into his rant.
  7. I can squint and see the logic, the first several times through the order La Stella/Rizzo and Happ/Schwarber are not going to be in less advantageous positions, same number of at bats and the run producers are more likely to have runners on base. The loss of an extra Schwarber or Rizzo at bat is mitigated by the ability to pinch hit with Bryant for La Stella and in general staggering LH/RH promotes better bullpen matchups. That's probably some overwrought thinking for a getaway day lineup, but ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
  8. that is worse than all the walks use your brain and get an out
  9. Looks like Albers pulled the ole pitched a lot last night muscle [tweet] [/tweet]
  10. 130 to 160 innings isn't that obnoxious a jump either, and Montgomery has slim odds of significant postseason innings. I don't think managing his workload, even in an optimistic case where he locks down a rotation spot for the rest of the year, is a big need.
  11. In this upside-down world you start to think that nothing can surprise you, and then you see indicators that Pat Hughes is running a scam from a geocities website.
  12. I wasn't in yesterday's game thread during the late innings, did we talk about how Hader is absolutely going to have his arm fried(either via injury, ineffectiveness, or both) by throwing multiple max effort innings every other day? He's on pace to break 90 IP, which hasn't been done since Carlos Torres and Betances in 2014.
  13. The extra exciting thing about Mekkes to me, and this may be anecdotal since I obsessively follow him more than most, is that for all his video game numbers a lot of the damage he allows happens when he gets stretched into multiple innings. Last night was pretty emblematic of that: K, K, K, K, 1B, PO, 1B, BB Another fun fact: Mekkes has given up 6 runs this year. One of them was a 9th inning home run that he followed up with a scoreless 10th. All of the rest have come from innings with the contrived 'runner on 2nd' situation for extra innings, with 4 of the 5 being unearned because they were those runners.
  14. Chatwood is almost certainly the other. And they still have one of the most talented rosters in the game and they still have the money to drop a bunch of cash on Harper's doorstep.
  15. the idiot Pirates are a good reminder that for as much as I don't really think the Brewers are good, I do appreciate that they've generally avoided trying a bunch of nonsense in the name of rivalry. Craig Counsell may only have half the bones of a normal boy, but I do give him credit for that
  16. Good game Brewers, next stop home ownership I’m just kidding, the middle class is dying, you’ll rent forever
  17. Extremely starting to feel like an understatement
  18. Groundwork being laid for an extremely dumb game here
  19. Were the Brewers jerseys designed in MSPaint, what is with that yellow ‘accent’ on the letters
  20. You can say the same thing about every team 3-4+ years out Yes this is the part that’s always forgotten. Yes, it’s true that the Cubs have a bit of a reckoning coming post-2021, but the number of teams who can have high confidence about a huge chunk of their roster that far out is basically zero. Look at the 2014 Astros, Yankees, or Dodgers, there’s like 5 players max who played significant roles on those teams who still are this year. The counterpoint you’ll hear is that since the Cubs’ system is so horrendous they won’t be able to backfill for players they’re losing. This fails to recognize that 1) the Cubs are still quite likely to have multiple (high-priced) stars in the form of a signed Bryant and someone like Harper, meaning the onus is more on the system to provide decent players instead of franchise cornerstones 2) 3-4 years is an eternity in refilling a system 3) the Cubs have proven their player development bonafides many times over and 4) even with that money spent on stars they’ll still have financial muscle over the rest of the division. The 2022 Brewers have Cain and Yelich for one year and Hader for 2, everyone else is bad or gone by then. Their farm system has like 2 more OFP 55 guys at the moment, that’s not gonna create a moat at all.
  21. Nothing says 'built for the long haul' quite like having 7 players on your roster playing at a 2 win pace, with 2 of them being relievers and 2 others being Junior Guerra and Jhoulys Chacin.
  22. Passantino at South Bend: 7.2 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 11/2 K/BB I want him to be a thing through at least AA very desperately
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