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raw

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Everything posted by raw

  1. raw
    Maybe unpopular, but why the hell not? The Bears are only playing Sweat, Booker and Tryon-Shoyinka there (Dom Rob a healthy scratch last 2 weeks). I wouldn't put in a claim or anything, but if he passes thru waivers, bring him in and see what he can do vs SF and Detroit. Maybe he finds the fountain of youth in a playoff race since its been 4 years since his last. If not, no harm, no foul.
  2. raw
    Yeah, he's not very good, but seems to be the best WR at adjusting to scramble drill QB play.
  3. raw
    Yeah, seems like Rome is done. Can't put him on IR though or he's out for 1 playoff game (if they don't get a bye). My original thought was maybe bring him back for the SF game next week since the weather may be a bit warmer and easier to deal w/ his foot issue. But it's not like SF is THAT much warmer and it goes right back to cold weather Week 18, so that would be pointless. Not having Burden this week would really suck, a lot.
  4. raw
    "any sack with open WRs is too many"......for a perfect QB, which is the point I made earlier. Caleb is not a perfect QB, because that doesn't exist.
  5. raw
    My concern wasn't that you said something negative about Caleb. It was that you said something factually incorrect. He doesn't "take too many sacks when he has wide open receivers", because he doesn't take too many sacks in general.
  6. raw
    Again "having trouble" is relative. I wouldn't say 2 of 31 drop backs is having trouble. I'd say it's not perfection. Literally every QB holds onto the ball at times. And there's nothing excessive about the amount of times Caleb holds onto the ball. He's at a solid balance of playing in structure and making a superhero play. It can and will get better in structure. Also, I don't think there are as many checkdowns as a lot of offenses. I feel like Ben has kinda said "F the checkdown" and let Caleb just push the ball. If there are checkdowns, they are coming off of guys chipping or preparing to stay in a block for a blitz that never happens. There aren't really a lot of natural checkdowns in the play design.
  7. raw
    Because it's 2x in 31 drop backs? I said it wasn't a problem, I didn't say he had perfected the art of not holding onto the ball.
  8. raw
    While I completely agree, that's a defensive issue. I'm not worried about the Bears being able to score on their defense. More about the Bears D being able to stop their offense. They can't rush the passer (without a rookie QB and 4 backup OL playing) and they can't afford to blitz Love or count on him giving them the ball. They are going to have to make good ol fashioned stops in this game, which has been hard to come by.
  9. raw
    No he doesn't. He had 1, maybe 2 on Sunday that was from holding the ball too long. And he has only been sacked multiple times 4x since Week 2. I don't think many Bears fans realize how huge it is to NOT take sacks and also NOT throw INTs. Caleb is the cause of very few bad plays. He's always limited INTs in his career (fewest INTs thru 1000 throws in NFL history). If he's not taking negative plays on sacks, then there's no reason this 9th ranked scoring offense shouldn't be at it's lowest point in his and Ben's tenure together.
  10. raw
    So Jordan Love is pretty good. He's stopped a lot of the TO worthy throws and it's become pretty imperative for the Bears to get takeaways to win games. He did throw 2 yesterday, but 1 was a fantastic play the other I believe was a tipped ball off a WR (I believe). He also threw 1 vs the Bears, but those 3 are 75% of his career post Thanksgiving INTs, Odds are, he's not going to give you the ball unless he's in desperation mode because you have a big lead...... Which brings me to the next point, HAVE HAVE HAVE to come out and score early. You can't get down multiple scores in this game, because there's little guarantee that you can make the multiple stops vs this Packers team that will be needed to make that comeback.
  11. raw
    When he throws that ball, DJ is wide open. The DB did a great job of closing on that one, but Caleb put that high so DJ would have either bodied him for the catch if he was in better position, or he would have been able to cause an incompletion. It's really more of elite ball placement than risky throw, IMO
  12. raw
    Contracts are complicated, but not impossible to figure out. In the layman-est of terms, dead money is created when a player is released from his contract before all of his guaranteed money has been paid. Dead money can also be created when a team converts some salary into a signing bonus. Signing bonuses give the player a bunch of money upfront, but the team can account for it over multiple years. 10M SB, 5 year contract = 2Mil in cap space each year. So if you cut the player after 3 years, you still have 2 years of 2M each year to account for. If you convert 10M salary into SB in Year 3 of the 5 year deal, it still gets accounted for as 2M over the next 5 years, just so happens the last 3 of those years, the player is not actually under said contract anymore. Very basics. I'm sure WF22 will correct me where I am wrong or oversimplifying.
  13. raw
    They've literally won all these games. The only question is do good teams win these games by 3 on a last second game winning drive.
  14. raw
    I imagine they'll be slightly favored at home vs Detroit against a Lions team playing their first really cold game and first outdoors since Nov 16.
  15. raw
    The "yoffs" gotta stop. That's awful.
  16. raw
    Fun thing about the DL, you can't really do much with it! Sweat, Dayo and Jarrett are contracts you can't cut (with any savings) or trade away for someone else to take on. So those 3 are set. Dexter, Turner, and Booker are on rookie deals, so you might as well keep them around for cheap. You can upgrade on the FAs/back of the roster types like Dom Rob, Tryon-Shoyinka, Hardy, Billings, Chris Williams...but the first 6 I named are going to get snaps. You can go crazy and add rookies early in the draft to boost this group, but you won't be picking in the blue chip prospect area of the draft. That's why I say you have to go big, either DE or DT and hope that 1 stud player makes everyone else better on the DL. Drafting a couple guys may take too long to develop. Not that the Bears have a small window overall if Caleb and Ben are the truth, but the rookie QB contract window is small, and this year has shown you are ready to make a run if you shore up the pass rush (and get some injury luck).
  17. raw
    Oh and Caleb's 0-5 to start was 2 drops, 1 throwaway, and I'm pretty sure the first play was Burden not running his route at the correct depth, because after the 2nd time he did that (also in the 1st quarter), he was taken out of 2 WR sets (because he's used to being the 3rd WR) for Zaccheus.
  18. raw
    If there's anything I hate, it's the "they didn't run the ball enough" takes. Running the ball is great when you can dominate at it like last week. Not so great when your OL is dominated like the 1st half Bears were. And most people seem to be talking about early in the game. The Bears ran 1x in their first 6 plays (2 drives). Well yeah, because they had 15 yards to go on exactly 1/2 of those plays. It would have been stupid to run just to say you're balanced. Ben Johnson has led top 8 offenses every year he's been an OC, including this year with a QB, top 3 targets, and RB1B all in their 1st 2 years of their careers, not to mention an OL playing together for the first season with mix and match rookie LTs. Maybe give the guy the benefit of the doubt?
  19. raw
    I think the spread finished as Bears +6.5 last week. I think it's +7 now. But A) I said most likely loss remaining, Eagles game is over. and B) part of it is that teams don't often win B2B games as TD underdogs on the road and if they win this, they may not be underdogs for any game again this year. And part of my attitude today is "F it, IU won!". LOL. I was hoping just not to be shutout this weekend between IU basketball vs #6 Louisville, IU football vs #1 Ohio St, and Bears vs Packers.
  20. raw
    Wasn't implying that, just saying that most teams don't win 14 of 15 games to end the season (not to mention potentially 16 of 17 with playoffs). They are probably going to lose a game soon. This is the most likely loss left on the schedule (odds makers likely agree).
  21. raw
    While I agree with your assessment, I'm not going to predict a win today. Honestly, it's just about the fact the the Bears have won 5 straight and 9 of 10. The streak/string of luck will end at some point. If not this week, they may coast through the end of the season. Obviously, hoping that does happen and it very well could, but I'm expecting a close loss and hoping for the best. Would like to see one Caleb masterclass game before the end of the season. And I know it's in there. He completed 70% both times vs GB last year. Lot of short stuff, but combine that with his pocket play/timing from Pittsburgh, his legs from NYG, his downfield accuracy from Dallas/Cincy, and he will achieve that. IDK that it comes this week though.
  22. raw
    THE NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP RUNS THRU BLOOMINGTON EFFING INDIANA! LET'S GOOOOOOO!
  23. raw
    So the leading WR by 25 catches and 220 yards was NOT the best WR on the team in 2024?
  24. raw
    I wouldn't think that human element would go into odds/probabilities. I know they do factor in the actual odds, but I admittedly am not a gambler.
  25. raw
    I know odds factor in individual game odds as well, but hard to believe it's that big of a difference for the Bears. They'd only go down 1/2 game with a loss with a chance to take the lead back at home in less than 2 weeks. Packers on the other hand, would go down 1 1/2 and have to win in Chicago. A lot is made of the Bears schedule, but GB has Denver, Bears x 2, and Baltimore. I know the Ravens have struggled, but they'll be a pretty desperate team, you'd think Week 17. Meanwhile, the Bears have the easiest game on paper of the 2 (Cleveland) and I honestly think Week 18 will matter as much for Detroit as it will for GB's opponent, the Vikings.
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