Projections are based on past performance, so wouldn't a player with poor durability have that already built in as a feature of the projection? I know some of the projections factor that in at least, unlike I think Steamer which gives everyone 600 PA. the FG depth charts are based on STEAMER (but have playing time allocated differently to everyone) I don't really know how much of x, y, or z, goes into how they dole out the PAs on those, though. Hey all, new kid on the block. I think Heyward is projected to give us a total of 6-7 WAR which will be at 50 wins above replacement total. I am no saber metric geek but am trying to learn.