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Everything posted by Fred Hornkohl
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Why, Perez is the best #2 hitter on the whole team. I just don't understand why Dusty doesn't play him there more often. :wink: batting 2nd AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Perez 8 1 5 1 0 0 6 2 0 0 0.625 0.556 0.750 1.306 Walker 35 8 15 2 1 1 22 7 2 5 0.429 0.447 0.629 1.076 Cedeno 88 5 23 1 2 1 31 5 2 19 0.261 0.278 0.352 0.630 Murton 11 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 3 0.273 0.333 0.273 0.606 Pierre 8 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0.250 0.250 0.250 0.500 Hairston 25 4 5 1 0 0 6 0 0 5 0.200 0.200 0.240 0.440 Bynum 10 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.200 CUBS 185 21 54 5 3 2 71 14 5 36 0.292 0.307 0.384 0.691
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I keep trying to point out that Lee went down in game #14, but this team didn't die until game #20.
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I've been using 26 April, rather than the day of Lee's injury, as the beginning of the end for our CUBS...... CUBS AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS 04/03 - 04/25 630 96 165 30 5 18 259 88 51 107 0.262 0.317 0.411 0.728 04/26 - 05/24 885 71 204 29 8 15 294 66 64 137 0.231 0.287 0.332 0.619 overall 1515 167 369 59 13 33 553 154 115 244 0.244 0.299 0.365 0.664 CUBS IP H R ER BB K HR PC BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WHIP ERA 04/03 - 04/25 166.7 130 78 71 78 134 24 2773 4.21 7.24 1.30 1.25 3.83 04/26 - 05/24 234.0 232 155 148 132 209 34 4053 5.08 8.04 1.31 1.56 5.69 overall 400.7 362 233 219 210 343 58 6826 4.72 7.70 1.30 1.43 4.92
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What is this AL of which you speak ? AL is related to HAL from 2001. It's kind of the stupid brother computer that never gets anything right, but also doesn't kill people. I heard it simulated some games where there pitcher doesn't even BAT... this would seem to improve offenses, but doesn't always... especially if you replace the pitcher with guys like... I don't know... Blanco... Sounds like a real second rate knock off to me !! :wink:
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Even the CUBS' pitchers are in a horrendous slump [sigh]. 04/03 - 05/24 AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Ohman 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Rusch 7 1 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 3 0.286 0.286 0.429 0.714 Guzman 5 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 0.200 0.200 0.400 0.600 Maddux 19 2 4 1 0 0 5 2 1 5 0.211 0.250 0.263 0.513 Marshall 17 1 3 0 0 0 3 1 0 8 0.176 0.176 0.176 0.353 Zambrano 18 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.111 Novoa 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Hill 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Aardsma 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Willliams 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Totals 77 6 12 3 0 0 15 4 1 28 0.156 0.167 0.195 0.361
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if for no other reason, imagine the rants he'd be having by September. Dare I say it ? The man had FIRE and INTENSITY !!
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Aw, hell..... bring back Lee Elia !!!
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Let me try to answer this again in a different way. Using a metric called a Z score, where you take an occurance (runs scored) subtract if from the mean, (average for the year in which the occurance happened) and divide the result by the standard deviation (also from the year in which the occurance happened), this year's CUBS team is arguably the worst offense in the National League since 1961. This type of measurement will adjust for different numbers of game played (i.e. the strike years) and for changes in runs scored league wide over the years (different eras in terms of hitting) since each occurance is measured against the rest of the league in the year in which it occured, rather than over the span of 46 years. A Z score of zero is exactly average. Scores above zero are above average, and scores below zero are below average. -2.4 is just pathetic !! Year Team Runs Lg Avg Std Dev Z score 2006 CUBS 164 217.88 22.436 -2.4013 1969 San Diego 468 657.50 81.254 -2.3322 1961 Philadelphia 584 700.00 50.522 -2.2960 1970 Philadelphia 594 730.92 59.689 -2.2938 1983 New York 575 666.08 41.106 -2.2158 1993 Florida 581 727.86 66.876 -2.1960 1989 Los Angeles 554 639.42 40.903 -2.0883 1982 Cincinnati 545 662.25 56.276 -2.0835 2003 Los Angeles 574 746.56 83.377 -2.0697 1964 Houston 495 651.70 78.512 -1.9959 1990 Houston 573 681.08 54.358 -1.9884 1985 San Fancisco 556 658.25 52.650 -1.9421 1965 New York 495 655.80 84.345 -1.9064 1967 New York 498 621.80 65.103 -1.9016 1973 San Diego 548 671.83 65.247 -1.8979 1977 New York 587 713.00 66.462 -1.8958 1971 San Diego 486 633.42 79.318 -1.8585 1999 Florida 691 810.38 65.048 -1.8352 1974 San Diego 541 672.50 71.976 -1.8270 1992 Los Angeles 548 628.25 44.572 -1.8004 1988 Atlanta 555 626.83 39.960 -1.7976 1995 St. Louis 563 666.36 57.576 -1.7952 2002 Milwaukee 627 719.75 51.777 -1.7914 1963 Houston 464 618.10 87.087 -1.7695 2004 Arizona 615 751.13 78.567 -1.7326 1985 Pittsburgh 568 658.25 52.650 -1.7142 1981 New York 348 419.58 41.820 -1.7117 2001 New York 642 761.63 69.897 -1.7114 1979 Houston 583 682.17 59.069 -1.6788 1987 Los Angeles 635 730.92 57.603 -1.6651 1982 Houston 569 662.25 56.276 -1.6570 1996 Philadelphia 650 758.79 66.868 -1.6269 1991 Washington 579 662.92 52.677 -1.5930 1975 San Diego 552 667.83 73.105 -1.5845 1967 Los Angeles 519 621.80 65.103 -1.5790 1980 San Fancisco 573 654.33 51.647 -1.5748
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National League since 1961, excluding strike years 1972, 1981, 1994......... 2003 Los Angeles 574 1995 St. Louis 563 1993 Florida 581 1992 San Fancisco 574 1992 Los Angeles 548 1991 Washington 579 1990 Houston 573 1989 Atlanta 584 1989 Los Angeles 554 1988 St. Louis 578 1988 Atlanta 555 1985 Pittsburgh 568 1985 San Fancisco 556 1984 Los Angeles 580 1983 New York 575 1982 Houston 569 1982 Cincinnati 545 1980 San Fancisco 573 1979 Houston 583 1977 New York 587 1976 San Diego 570 1976 Washington 531 1975 Atlanta 583 1975 San Diego 552 1974 New York 572 1974 San Diego 541 1973 San Diego 548 1971 New York 588 1971 Cincinnati 586 1971 Houston 585 1971 Philadelphia 558 1971 San Diego 486 1969 Washington 582 1969 San Diego 468 1968 Pittsburgh 583 1968 St. Louis 583 1968 Philadelphia 543 1968 Atlanta 514 1968 Houston 510 1968 New York 473 1968 Los Angeles 470 1967 Los Angeles 519 1967 New York 498 1966 New York 587 1966 St. Louis 571 1965 Houston 569 1965 New York 495 1964 New York 569 1964 Houston 495 1963 CUBS 570 1963 Pittsburgh 567 1963 New York 501 1963 Houston 464 1961 Philadelphia 584 54 occurances of 588 runs or less out of 510 team seasons or 10.58%
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Worthless stats of the day for Friday.............. CUBS are 3-4 on Fridays CUBS are 0-0 vs. Atlanta CUBS are 1-3 when they've lost their last 3 game(s) in a row CUBS are 11-16 when they've lost their previous game CUBS are 8-8 in games that start a series CUBS are 2-1 in games that open a home stand CUBS are 8-17 in day games CUBS are 10-10 at home CUBS are 9-23 without Derrek Lee CUBS are on a pace to win 63 games this year..... compared to 79 last year CUBS are on a pace to score 588 runs this year..... compared to 703 last year CUBS are on a pace to hit 116 home runs this year..... compared to 194 last year CUBS are on a pace to draw 405 walks this year..... compared to 419 last year CUBS are drving in 18.0% of their runners on base compared to 18.4% last year CUBS are scoring 0.337 runs per baserunner compared to 0.365 last year CUBS are 6-4 when Zambrano starts Zambrano is 6 of 10 in quality starts Zambrano's ERA pitching to Barrett is 4.12.... pitching to Blanco it's 2.25 CUBS score 3.63 R/G overall.... 4.80 R/G when Zambrano pitches CUBS hit 0.72 HR/G overall.... 0.90 HR/G when Zambrano pitches Zambrano's starts this year (6-4) Gm# Date Opponent Score Starter 1 Mon 04/03 @ Cincinnati 16- 7 Zambrano 4 Sat 04/08 St. Louis 3- 2 Zambrano 8 Thu 04/13 Cincinnati 3- 8 Zambrano 13 Tue 04/18 @ Los Angeles N 1- 2 Zambrano 18 Mon 04/24 Florida N 6- 3 Zambrano 23 Sun 04/30 Milwaukee 0- 9 Zambrano 28 Fri 05/05 @ San Diego N 0- 1 Zambrano 33 Wed 05/10 @ San Francisco N 8- 1 Zambrano 38 Tue 05/16 Washington N 4- 0 Zambrano 43 Sun 05/21 @ white sox 7- 4 Zambrano 47 Fri 05/26 Atlanta - Zambrano CUBS' offensive support of Zambrano..... 04/03 - 05/24 AB R H 2b 3b HR TB RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS CUBS w/Zambrano 338 48 77 16 2 9 124 45 32 61 0.228 0.297 0.367 0.664 CUBS overall 1515 167 369 60 13 33 554 154 115 245 0.244 0.299 0.366 0.665 Zambrano's last 5 starts (3-1)..... Zambrano IP H R ER BB K HR PC BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WHIP ERA 04/30 vs. Milw 4.0 8 7 7 5 5 1 103 11.25 11.25 2.25 3.25 15.75 05/05 vs. S.D. 7.0 4 0 0 3 10 0 107 3.86 12.86 0.00 1.00 0.00 05/10 vs. S.F. 8.0 5 1 1 5 6 0 110 5.63 6.75 0.00 1.25 1.13 05/16 vs. Wash 8.0 4 0 0 2 8 0 122 2.25 9.00 0.00 0.75 0.00 05/21 vs. CWS 7.0 4 4 4 3 9 3 113 3.86 11.57 3.86 1.00 5.14 5 game totals 34.0 25 12 12 18 38 4 555 4.76 10.06 1.06 1.26 3.18 season totals 63.7 50 28 25 38 71 9 1100 5.37 10.04 1.27 1.38 3.53 Zambrano's start against Atlanta last year (ND)...... Zambrano IP H R ER BB K HR PC BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WHIP ERA 08/22 vs. Atla 8.0 3 2 2 0 10 1 118 0.00 11.25 1.13 0.38 2.25 season totals 223.3 170 88 81 86 202 21 3564 3.47 8.14 0.85 1.15 3.26 CUBS' season series vs. Atlanta last year (1-6) ....... Gm# Date Opponent Score Starter 81 Mon 07/04 @ Atlanta N 0- 4 Wood 82 Tue 07/05 @ Atlanta N 1- 5 Maddux 83 Thu 07/07 @ Atlanta 0- 6 Prior 84 Thu 07/07 @ Atlanta N 4- 9 Williams 125 Mon 08/22 Atlanta N 2- 4 Zambrano 126 Tue 08/23 Atlanta N 10- 1 Williams 127 Wed 08/24 Atlanta 1- 3 Prior CUBS' season series vs. Atlanta ....... Gm# Date Opponent Score Starter 47 Fri 05/26 Atlanta - Zambrano 48 Sat 05/27 Atlanta - Marshall 49 Sun 05/28 Atlanta - Wood 141 Fri 09/08 @ Atlanta N - 142 Sat 09/09 @ Atlanta N - 143 Sun 09/10 @ Atlanta - 144 Mon 09/11 @ Atlanta N - CUBS hitters vs. Atlanta last year..... vs. Atla AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Lee 14 3 5 2 0 1 10 1 4 5 0.357 0.500 0.714 1.214 Hollandsworth 12 1 4 0 0 1 7 2 0 1 0.333 0.308 0.583 0.891 Ramirez 24 3 7 0 0 1 10 3 2 1 0.292 0.346 0.417 0.763 Lawton 10 3 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0.300 0.417 0.300 0.717 Walker 26 5 7 3 0 0 10 2 2 3 0.269 0.321 0.385 0.706 Barrett 18 0 5 0 0 0 5 2 2 3 0.278 0.350 0.278 0.628 Burnitz 22 1 4 0 0 0 4 5 6 5 0.182 0.357 0.182 0.539 Blanco 9 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.444 Macias 10 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0.200 0.200 0.200 0.400 Hairston 14 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 0.143 0.250 0.143 0.393 Perez 28 0 5 0 0 0 5 2 0 2 0.179 0.179 0.179 0.357 Patterson 15 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 5 0.067 0.125 0.067 0.192 Cedeno 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Dubois 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 totals vs. Alta 224 18 50 5 0 3 64 17 20 36 0.223 0.289 0.286 0.574 season totals 5585 704 1505 313 23 190 2434 676 417 910 0.269 0.324 0.436 0.759 CUBS pitchers vs. Atlanta last year...... vs. Atla IP H R ER BB K HR PC BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WHIP ERA Mitre 2.3 3 0 0 1 1 0 50 3.86 3.86 0.00 1.71 0.00 Dempster 2.0 1 0 0 2 2 0 36 9.00 9.00 0.00 1.50 0.00 Remlinger 2.0 1 0 0 0 4 0 31 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 Wuertz 2.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 24 0.00 4.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 Zambrano 8.0 3 2 2 0 10 1 118 0.00 11.25 1.13 0.38 2.25 Williams 13.7 11 4 4 5 8 2 214 3.29 5.27 1.32 1.17 2.63 Ohman 2.3 1 1 1 1 2 1 38 3.86 7.71 3.86 0.86 3.86 Wood 7.0 8 5 5 3 8 2 144 3.86 10.29 2.57 1.57 6.43 Prior 11.3 11 9 9 8 12 1 234 6.35 9.53 0.79 1.68 7.15 Maddux 6.0 8 5 5 1 6 0 86 1.50 9.00 0.00 1.50 7.50 Novoa 2.3 5 3 3 1 3 1 52 3.86 11.57 3.86 2.57 11.57 Rusch 0.0 2 3 3 0 0 1 12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 inf totals vs. Atla 59.0 55 32 32 22 57 9 1039 3.36 8.69 1.37 1.31 4.88 season totals 1439.3 1357 714 671 576 1255 186 23680 3.60 7.85 1.16 1.34 4.20 Percentage of baserunners driven in thru 24 May BDI LOB PCT Restovich 1 02 0.333 Walker 19 44 0.302 Lee 7 17 0.292 Barrett 15 50 0.231 Murton 16 58 0.216 Jones 12 49 0.197 Perez 7 30 0.189 Ramirez 14 64 0.179 Cedeno 12 56 0.176 Hairston 4 27 0.129 Bynum 2 14 0.125 Pagan 1 08 0.111 Blanco 2 17 0.105 Mabry 2 24 0.077 Pierre 2 53 0.036 Theriot 0 02 0.000 Team 121 551 0.180 Go CUBS !!

