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jumbo

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Everything posted by jumbo

  1. jumbo
    I think Garza's situation is one that the players union didn't think through completely. Cubs could see how he pitches and if they're not able to get a great package for him, make him the 1 year qualifying offer if he won't take an extension this year. Then repeat until he's traded, signed away for a 1st round pick, or proves ineffective. It's not the most cost efficient way to have a SP, but there's no commitment.
  2. jumbo
    Get outta here with that reasonably level headed chatter. It's a good point on the compensation issue as far as Type A/B Free Agents that was still in place last year. It seems like only a handful of players will receive the qualifying offer, and non of these will be a target for the Cubs due to the draft pick compensation. This will be the first off-season of the new CBA, so maybe we'll see a slightly different FA approach. I don't think we'll be in on the top names, but they can't use arbitration as an excuse. Should be interesting. Beyond that, the Theo plan requires a ton of patience. Sometimes time doesn't go fast enough and we want to see what's going to happen in the future right now.
  3. jumbo
    Must...resist...urge...to...predict...every...affiliates...roster...
  4. jumbo
    I have Todd Frazier on my fantasy team, so I got to read this Dusty quote about what happens when Votto comes back: "Sometimes, you've got to wait your turn. I'm not pushing Scottie (Rolen) out the door at all. The world's in front of Frazier. Without the Fraziers and these guys, you can't win." So he wants to sit Frazier so Rolen can play, but then to say that you can't win without the Frazier's of the world - I don't miss that guy a bit.
  5. jumbo
    I don't personally think much of Valbuena as a starter. The handling of Vitters is questionable to me. I realize he is not looking good, but there's not much reason to not play him since he's up. Valbuena has had plenty of PT and he's been only slightly better than his career averages and at best not much more than a 1 WAR player. If he's a utility infielder that's great. But why not play Vitters now? On the radio today, Sveum was talking about how it matters to field the most competitive team possible in order to win games and honor the teams in the playoff run. But hey, don't tell the Astro's. Anyway, I think it's pointless to sit Vitters now.
  6. jumbo
    I'm just completely missing something here. Isn't pretty much every player on that list better, both recently and historically, than Ian Stewart? Why would you want Stewart over any of them, let alone all of them? Rolen is 37 Reynolds has a career strikeout rate of 33% Youkilis is 33 Chavez is 34 and hasn't put up an Ian Stewart 2009/10 type season since 2007 Izturis is 31 and hasn't put up an ops over 750 since 2008 Polanco is 36 Now, I'm not against and older player, but this FO will no go out signing FA who are past their prime just to fill a hole before they try a bounce back candidate of some kind. Reynolds is the only one close to the right age range - and he's 29 already. He isn't the type of hitter that this FO would look for, and beyond that he's only been better than 2009/10 Stewart half of his seasons in MLB.
  7. jumbo
    That's a disingenuous comparison. DeJesus and Maholm's "low" were still solid players, and their highs were above-average starters. Ian Stewart's low was a sub-replacement player and his high was a barely average starter in part-time duty. You could pick up some terrible career organizational minor leaguer coming off his worst season, give him a starting job and say "see! It's buy-low, just like DeJesus and Maholm!" But it's not just like them. I see your point, but Stewart was a top pick with pedigree that had struggled with injuries. In his 2009 and 2010 seasons he had a 780 OPS with a lot of walks. In 2010 he had 25 HR, showing some legit power. That's not sub replacement level or career minor leaguer. The last two years have been a waste, but I don't think we can say it's due to ability until he comes back from injury.
  8. jumbo
    No, he wasn't anything remotely similar to that kind of pickup. David DeJesus was coming off a 2.2 fWAR season in which he was a bit BABIP-blipped, and had a career high of 4.4 fWAR. He had four consecutive seasons of 2.0 fWAR and 6 of his last 7 (1.9 in 2007 was the only time he missed that level). He has been who he always has been. Paul Maholm was coming off a 2.1 fWAR season and had a career high of 3.2 fWAR, and had four consecutive seasons over 2.0. He has been who he has always has been. Ian Stewart was coming off a -0.6 fWAR season in which he was BABIP screwed, awful and hurt. His career high is 1.5 fWAR. He proceeded to be awful and hurt. He has been who he always has been. David DeJesus and Paul Maholm were established MLB starting-quality players who the market undervalued. Ian Stewart is a player who was once thought to have some talent but has been bad almost his career. He's not remotely comparable to the former two. DeJesus and Stewart were both coming off career lows in WAR. Maholm had his value diminish due to a shoulder injury. All were buy-low acquisitions.
  9. jumbo
    What corner? The "Ian Stewart sucks at baseball, and any front office worth its salt should be able to do better if given two consecutive offseasons to try to find a third baseman?" If that's a corner, you didn't back me into it. I walked there on my own because it's where the truth is. Vitters is what he is. A fringe MLB hitter who *might* hit enough to stick at a premium position. The 33% K-rate is definitely disappointing at this point and doesn't make things look good for him in the future, but he's not been a .300 OPS quality hitter either. He really does have a .114 BABIP. I brought up Vitters in an attempt to call out the blind rage exhibited in many posts, but was clearly not successful. Let's leave this decent young fella out of this. If you think the front office is terrible for trying out Stewart last season or next season you should remember that he was the same kind of pick up as DeJesus and Maholm, both of which were successful signings. The FO took an approach to the off season and experienced some, but not total success. I fully expect them to employ a nearly identical approach this coming off season.
  10. jumbo
    We spent all this money on the best front office in baseball so that we could absolve them of trying to find good players if it looks like it might be kinda hard. What a turd of a response. If the FA market sucks and there's not a smart trade available, what do you want them to do for 3B next season? Find someone better than Ian Stewart. And if they can't, resign. This is a rational way to view the situation. Maybe Vitters should resign from baseball because he's not having success so far.
  11. jumbo
    I think you're right on Valbuena, but I think Ian Stewart is more likely to have another crack at 3B than Rolen or someone similar.
  12. jumbo
    I never pieced that together, but it is accurate and horrifying.
  13. jumbo
    Ha - I suppose that sooner or later one of the insults hurled at him is funny. I just find it absurd that he's universally recognized as the board punching bag and 1) he keeps coming back and 2) people keep reading. Yeah, because if people say bad things about you, you should just run away and cry and never show your face again. He can be here all he wants, as far as I'm concerned. If someone doesn't like a poster, they should, oh, I don't know.... USE THEIR IGNORE FEATURE, or shut the hell up about it because it can't be that bad if you're completely unwilling to act. I do use the feature. It's been discussed elsewhere recently. It's funny that you'd tell me to shut the hell up in a comment defending someone's else right to post whatever they want. No big deal - not looking for an argument.
  14. jumbo
    Ha - I suppose that sooner or later one of the insults hurled at him is funny. I just find it absurd that he's universally recognized as the board punching bag and 1) he keeps coming back and 2) people keep reading.
  15. jumbo
    Looked like pretty easy power.
  16. jumbo
    Try it sometime. See how it works for you.
  17. jumbo
    1) He's not breaking any rules 2) Use the ignore function if needed. Seriously. I do have him ignored. Here's what happens: Ignored post I don't see. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Another post I've ignored. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Then the next topic has the same thing. I realize being a moron is not against the rules. It brings down the site. Yes I'm still reading the site because there are people making comments that I value. Then there's this that comes with it. I'm sure I'm not the only one who doesn't care for it. I find it very intriguing that you find the person making the post you've ignored to be the problem in that scenario. I'm just pointing it out to the board. Everybody can read into it what they want. I've encouraged people who reply to ignore him before, too. If it was my board I'd tell him to get lost, but it's not.
  18. jumbo
    1) He's not breaking any rules 2) Use the ignore function if needed. Seriously. I do have him ignored. Here's what happens: Ignored post I don't see. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Another post I've ignored. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Reply telling him he's an idiot. Then the next topic has the same thing. I realize being a moron is not against the rules. It brings down the site. Yes I'm still reading the site because there are people making comments that I value. Then there's this that comes with it. I'm sure I'm not the only one who doesn't care for it.
  19. jumbo
    Why is he allowed to post at all? Many threads end up dedicated to telling him what a dumbass he is. He then adds another stupid comment and the entire process is repeated. It's all so pointless.
  20. jumbo
    I've been looking for a reason to say thanks CaliforniaRaisin and everyone contributing here. This minor league season has been a fun one. I like Vogelbomb a little bit, but the slight misspelling here made me think of another great nickname for him.... wait for it.... Vogue le' Bach. With Vogue being ironic given his physique, and the ch in bach being pronounced sh (like they do in French I think). Just think about it. I agree - thanks Raisin and everyone else who does the daily stuff to start threads/link etc. Do not agree on Vogelbach.
  21. jumbo
    I usually wait for the next day to read each day's results, but I went to first inning to check out my list of prospects and saw that Watkins had 3 BB today. My reaction was that he should be promoted. When I looked up his BB rate by month I wasn't really surprised, but, I kind of was: April 10.1% May 8.1 June 14.3 July 13.3 August 19.2 Of course, his 16.7% K-rate may not indicate mastery of the strike zone, but I'm impressed.
  22. jumbo
    The last offseason saw Pujols and Fielder both go to AL teams with long contracts due to the DH spot being available. I think the disadvantage to the NL teams in signing this kind of player will drive the DH as much as anything.
  23. jumbo
    Yeah he had a strange career path. For a couple years he was pretty damn good for cheap. Then he got hurt and lost some control. Wells' success is an example of a player getting results over and above their ability. A lot of people predicted that Wells would come down to Earth and that he wouldn't be able to sustain that success. Then it happened. I was initially surprised that a player can have a "lucky season." A lucky week or month, sure, but a lucky season seemed hard for me to fathom. It does happen though, and (without looking up some of his metrics, etc) I'd say that's what happened to Wells. The only other explanation is similar to how I play golf. I'll have it for a round, then I feel like I've never played before. I'd say Wells is a 100 shooting golfer who pulled off a couple mid 80's rounds and can't get it back.
  24. jumbo
    It would definitely be a little shady, but if Boras and a couple other top agents found out what the Cubs planned they might advise some teams that their clients are going to college. Or some top players signal to teams a strong college commitment and avoid being picked. It's a long shot probably bull [expletive] idea, but I couldn't help but explore it a little.
  25. jumbo
    I could see that, but I could just as easily see other teams follow suit. Of course, this entire scenario would be a big [expletive] you to the MLB offices, which could be enough of a reason for some teams to not do that, but they did completely ignore the commissioner's suggested draft slot values when there were no consequences in place.
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