Jump to content
North Side Baseball

Aaron_Kennelly

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    11,482

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by Aaron_Kennelly

  1. Aaron_Kennelly
    this is an unflattering bit that you guys have going here Crying about everything definitely isn't unflattering, though.
  2. Aaron_Kennelly
    He's gotten screwed. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/expected_statistics?type=batter&year=2018&position=&team=CHC&min=100 xWOBA by year: 2015 - .382 2016 - .366 2017 - .400 2018 - .374 Average exit velocity: 2015 - 88.4 mph 2016 - 88.9 mph 2017 - 88.0 mph 2018 - 90.1 mph And as Cubswin11 said, all his peripheral stats look fine. His batted ball profile is the same. His contact% and swing% numbers are the same. His BB% is a little deflated because he had some weird sequencing going on early in the year. And he's been really unlucky. .243 BABIP. His HR/FB is way lower than it usually is. He's hitting the ball hard, but I do think he might be having some issues with hitting them at proper launch angles when he is hitting it hard. Once he starts maximizing his power, he'll be fine. I think it's weird to worry about him, though. He's been the same guy the last 4 years. He's 28. He's healthy. All of his underlying numbers look the same. He's just having a down year.
  3. Aaron_Kennelly
    There was an article at BP recently that showed xStats are about as predictive as stats like FIP. The article set out to show that the xStats weren't very useful, but it was pretty flawed. For one, they actually were a little more predictive on the whole. Secondly, the whole idea of xStats is to strip away context like defense and park effects. So, basically, Jon Gray's xwOBA isn't going to be good at predicting his ERA next year if he is still pitching in Coors, and the same with Jon Lester pitching in front of the Cubs' defense. Also, xwOBA correlated much better with same-year wOBA than other stats correlate to same-year stats. So, xStats are just as predictive as something like FIP, but also do a better job of explaining things that have already happened. They seem pretty useful to me.
  4. Aaron_Kennelly
    It is amazing to me that he is getting a ton of grief on this when Bryce Harper is on the team. Do people even look at at statistics? Is he? He’s 0.2 WAR behind Albies with 76 less plate appearances. And he can play SS and 3B. Hardly an outrageous decision by the fans. Tied after today in fWAR. And I still think Javy isn't valued properly defensively because of his Javy Tags and other ridiculous plays like the Puig DP the other day.
  5. Aaron_Kennelly
    No you weren't. Somewhat, and definitely.
  6. Aaron_Kennelly
  7. Aaron_Kennelly
    who is http://mlb.mlb.com/images/9/6/0/225862960/042217_conteras_wave_med_ltq066lj.gif
  8. Aaron_Kennelly
    51-36. 2016 Cubs were 52-35 at this point.
  9. Aaron_Kennelly
    #wearegood
  10. Aaron_Kennelly
    Is it too late to change my pick from "Chatwood has the best ERA on the staff" to "Javy somehow wins MVP?"
  11. Aaron_Kennelly
    Give them Chatwood.
  12. Aaron_Kennelly
    #wearegood
  13. Aaron_Kennelly
    Nice Chili Dong, Schwarbs.
  14. Aaron_Kennelly
    Conversely, the worst 162-game stretch I can find since the start of 2015 is 90-71-1, if you take the the last five games of 2016 and the first 157 of 2017.
  15. Aaron_Kennelly
    His replacement has a 1.85 ERA with us. Find a new slant.
  16. Aaron_Kennelly
    One of the underrated things about Javy is that he gave himself his own nickname and it's actually perfect -- possibly the only self-bestowed nickname besides He Hate Me to actually stick. El Mago can do it all.
  17. Aaron_Kennelly
    We weren't 14 games over .500 until September last year.
  18. Aaron_Kennelly
    95-win pace.
  19. Aaron_Kennelly
    For those not fortunate enough to see the game today:
  20. Aaron_Kennelly
    Wondering if this was planned out to get 6 flags for the 6 consecutive W's.
  21. Aaron_Kennelly
    #wearenotgood #weareamazinggood
  22. Aaron_Kennelly
    Hey, Chicago, what do you say? The SuperCubs are here to stay.
  23. Aaron_Kennelly
    Willson is about to go on a dong binge.
  24. Aaron_Kennelly
    Willie!
  25. Aaron_Kennelly
    Holy horsefeathers Javy is insane.
×
×
  • Create New...