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Cubswin11

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  1. Yeah he needs to show growth for sure, but he’s also actually fast so the GB profile could play up a little vs slowass Almora. He’s also going to be a plus defender at a position when Almora clearly isn’t. He’s going to have more value, even if it’s not a star he’s going to be a positive win value guy.
  2. He sounds like he’s going to be moved
  3. In my first mock offseason I proposed him for Jon Gray, I think that’s fair value. I think he could be a main piece in getting Thor too if he’s truly available. Willy, Q and a prospect piece we don’t care about I think is in the ballpark.
  4. Hoerner has 5 XBH in 18 games played (his power is fine and he’ll have an offseason to get stronger and get over the wrist thing entirely), he brings something this team lacks with low Ks (13%) and high contact (83% contact rate). The offense needs to be diversified a bit over the offseason and Hoerner helps with that. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if he’s a 4+ win 2B next year the contact/hit tool is elite and I expect him to be plus to elite defensively there. I agree on Schwarbs and Happ. Willy is the guy to move in a trade (or just move to the OF full time).
  5. The game tonight was the last one on WGN, cool video in the link.
  6. If you could save $4-7 million it makes sense to move him, especially if that money goes towards a 5th starter and Mills slots in the swing man role. I’d be fine keeping both I think and rolling the dice a bit on the 5th spot with them to start the year. Use the money on rounding out the roster elsewhere. Man, I'm figuring Lester is a problem that needs to be fixed next season, too. He is what he is, he’s gonna be a low-mid 4s FIP guy and hopefully gets in to some luck like last year and manages a 3 something ERA. Using Willy to get Jon Gray or Thor is my preferred route to address the open starter spot. Then sign Grandal.
  7. If you could save $4-7 million it makes sense to move him, especially if that money goes towards a 5th starter and Mills slots in the swing man role. I’d be fine keeping both I think and rolling the dice a bit on the 5th spot with them to start the year. Use the money on rounding out the roster elsewhere.
  8. ~60 career innings of mid 3s ERA and FIP, 10 k/9, 3 bb/9, baseball. idk if you’ve watched him at all lately but it’s hard not to like what you see when you watch and not at least think there’s a solid BOR starter/swing guy in there with maybe MOR upside. He’s only 27 and won’t cost any money, just gotta guarantee him a 25 man (or I suppose 26 next year) roster spot.
  9. It sucks he’s out of options next year. Don’t think you can go in to next year with him as the planned 5th starter but maybe they do and save the money there (and assume you can have something shake out between him, Adbert, Chatwood, Graveman, Rea) to spend elsewhere.
  10. Oh I’m not sure I just assumed they weren’t. I see Kemp and Almora are in there and Mills is pitching I’m bately watching (obviously) but kemp took Heywards place and Almora wasn’t in the original lineup posted so no clue what’s up there. Castellanos got scratched late for a groin injury so that’s why Almora is in
  11. The many times spurned by professional athletes Chicago sports fan in me recognizes those as quotes like what I hear before they go elsewhere. But honestly with the past two offseasons his agent has to realize he's probably not getting better than what's left on that contract. He seems like a guy who values comfort and familiarity over finding the most money, not that I think he gets much more money if he opts out. I think short of the Rangers back channeling him before the opt out date to tell him they want him back and will give him a decent contract I don’t think he’s leaving. He seems to finally have gotten familiar and comfortable here and outside of Texas I don’t think he’d feel the same anywhere else/want to go through the whole getting familiar/comfortable thing again somewhere else.
  12. I would trade Almora to the KBO for nothing so yeah I’d do that, JBJ is probably getting non tendered though. I’d assume.
  13. Trade for Mookie you cowards
  14. Yeah I think the ball is a big part. And not to go all woe is us, excuse maker. But looking at the pitching and offensive profile of the team I think the Cubs have been adversely affected by the juiced ball. The pitching was largely contact dependent since 2016, the offense was based on OBP and power (doesn’t seem like any guy got a real power boost with the ball, they all maintained their talent which would’ve been above average with the old ball). Yeah, I'm still baffled how the dong surge seemingly didn't hit the Cubs in any obvious way outside of Heyward, maybe Castellanos, and Almora for, like, a month. It’s horsefeathering bizarre man. Like Rizzo king of hitting 28-32 HRs a year couldn’t somehow have a 40-50 Dong year in this environment? It makes no sense. But at the same time all these guys would hold these HR totals in the old ball environment while every other dude saw massive dips.
  15. The juiced balls came in sometime during 2017, idk if it was league wide but they were in the system at some point during the year and fully in for the playoffs and World Series (the pitchers were all complaining about the ball). Well, horsefeathers; that's it then. I mean, you look at his numbers over the last 3 seasons, the main thing that jumps out is how his HR% jumped up. Yeah I think the ball is a big part. And not to go all woe is us, excuse maker. But looking at the pitching and offensive profile of the team I think the Cubs have been adversely affected by the juiced ball. The pitching was largely contact dependent since 2016, the offense was based on OBP and power (doesn’t seem like any guy got a real power boost with the ball, they all maintained their talent which would’ve been above average with the old ball).
  16. How many $ is a win worth these days? I’d say yes he should definitely be picked up, he’s probably more of a 4.00ish era pitcher than a 5. His ERA was below 4 before he inexplicably fell apart these last 5 starts. Fangraphs has him worth over $26 million this year. Honestly, the main outlier for him has been the dongs. The concerning part is that that issue first showed up in 2017, and isn't considered that this league-wide power surge didn't happen until last season? The juiced balls came in sometime during 2017, idk if it was league wide but they were in the system at some point during the year and fully in for the playoffs and World Series (the pitchers were all complaining about the ball).
  17. There isn't another pitcher out there for $10.5 million that can give innings and actually has some upside?For one year you maybe can find equal value in FA, but any guy that’s going to take that on an AAV is likely taking more than a 1 year commitment and I don’t see a guy that in this FA class outside of Cole to go multiple years on.
  18. He’s getting paid $10m to be a top 50 pitcher in baseball while the dude we traded for him struggles to hit a .300 OBP. I was hoping for better, but we’ve done far, far worse. It doesnt matter what eloy is doing. his value when he was traded was immense and we got a complete bum for it. Was it immense? I’m guessing he wasn’t as highly valued as the prospect rankings suggested since us idiots on a message board know Eloy is majorly flawed and is capped as a 3 win player. It does sucks there really weren’t any other SPs available at the time (or maybe teams with better ones told us to horsefeathers off with Eloy being the main bargaining chip).
  19. A good CF’er keeps 2 runs and a hit off his line tonight
  20. I mean, what do the Brewers expect? KB, Rizzo and Javy are all hurt so I’d course they’re not going to play. The facts don’t matter, they’re a bunch of complainers and complain at any perceived slight they can find
  21. Almora not getting to a ball in CF leading to runs, I’m shocked
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