He's been far greater than his numbers indicate. He's had some seriously bad luck (.331 BABIP, 2nd highest in the majors), but he's got a 3.53 FIP and 3.55 xFIP and a 3.4 WAR (according to FranGraphs) and if you care to put stock into their "Dollars" metric, he's been worth $15.5 million this year, but it sounds like the Marlins are souring on him because of his traditional numbers being so pedestrian. Seems like this has been his issue for the last 3 years: 2009: 5.06 ERA // .317 BABIP // 3.35 FIP // 3.23 xFIP // 4.3 WAR // $19.2m Dollars 2010: 4.51 ERA // .316 BABIP // 3.86 FIP // 3.37 xFIP // 2.5 WAR // $9.9m Dollars 2011: 4.67 ERA // .331 BABIP // 3.53 FIP // 3.55 xFIP // 3.4 WAR // $15.5m Dollars Sounds like he's the victim of some terrible defense, might be a good person to try and swindle if they're seriously tired of his performance. Maybe attempt some sort of package surrounding Zambrano? He's currently signed through 2013 and stands to make $9M next season and $11.5M in 2013 At what point do you look at the BABIP numbers and say and wonder if it's not really bad luck, but merely getting hit hard because his stuff is in decline? He's had injuries, and the strikout rate really plummeted this year. Touché, but the BABIP is more or less just a justifiable stat that compliments what his FIP, xFIP, and WAR says: That he's been far better than advertised. Isn't BABIP basically baked into those other stats so assuming a higher natural BABIP in them would crash his scores in them?