Meaning? I'm aware of the small sample size but how often do you continue to steal with him? What if he gets thrown out the next time and is now 2-5? When is the sample the correct size? oh lord. Assume you have some wierd coin where the chances of it landing on heads is 70% and the chances of it landing on tails are 30%. Assume you flip it 4 times, the probability of that coin landing on heads two times or less is over 34%. That's one in three. The chances of it going two for five is still about 1 in 8. Those are pretty high. However, at the point after the fourth flip, the FIRST FOUR EVENTS HAVE NO IMPACT ON THE NEXT ONE. of course stealing bases is not done in a vacuum probability matter, until the sample size is pretty very large, we're talking at least 25-30. In four attempts, what if two of them were in one game off say Carlos Zambrano (who has a great slidestep) and Hank White (who has a strong arm). Theres also a belief that if you play more and run more, you're going to get better, at BP they call playing more means more production the Jeremy Giambi effect. If you're flipping coins you have no adverse effects correct? I don't think you're analogy works here. then you missed the point of my entire post.