Good point. Less money of course when you drop lower in the draft, but I would much rather land on a team like the Redskins or Raiders than on Houston or Arizona. The money between a top 2-3 pick and a top 10 is quite large. Also, who is to say the team that picks him 1st in 2007 wouldn't be better than the team that picks him 10th in 2006, just a couple years from now. That same theory would have meant people trying to stear clear of Cincy, Indy, New England, San Diego and St. Louis in the past decade, not to mention Dallas in 89/91. All those teams went from crap to good in relatively short time frames (in Cincy's case, they were bad for a long time, but became good in less than 2 years after picking #1 overall). Teams that suck now will probably suck a year from now, but the NFL is the easiest league to go from worst to first within 2-3 years. Getting drafted as an NFL QB is not about your rookie season, what matters is 3-10 years down the road. If I was a stud college QB with a choice, I would much rather get drafted 1st/2nd next year, get my $50+m, have a year or two to learn on the job without the pressures of winning the big games, than get $15-20m this year, and play for a below average team that expects me to make them great right now. Obviously there are other things to consider. I would like my team to have a good O line and a foundation for improvement. But would it really be all that better to be drafted by the Raiders this year, a team that routinely finishes in the middle of the pack and underperforms, over any team that might finish last in 2006? The mediocre team isn't a guarantee to be any better than the crappy team 3 years down the road.