With this exact roster(assuming we do sign Kerry) this is what I think we'd need to have happen to make the playoffs..... Get the same type seasons we did last year from Byrd, Fukudome, Soto, and Soriano. Have Ramirez bounce back to pre-2010 form and stay relatively healthy as well. At least 130ish games minimum. Pena needs to have a decent season, 30+ homers, lots of walks, and get his BA back up somewhere near .225 anyway.(if so, his OPS should be solid enough). It'd be nice to see DeWitt/Baker turn into a solid platoon offensively, but I don't think that's an absolute must. But, Castro AND Colvin need to show improvement from year 1 to year 2 in terms of their development. Feel much more confident in Castro than I do with Colvin as far as that goes. Pitching-wise, Z and Dempster need to have solid and healthy seasons obviously. After those 2, I'm not positive that anyone is currently a lock to make the rotation myself(although most will probably say Wells is). At the least though, we'll need 2 guys out of Wells, Silva, Gorzelanny, and Coleman to wind up as solid 4-5 guys in the rotation. I don't think of any of these guys as anything more than that myself. But, for us to contend(and probably make the playoffs), I think we'll need one of Cashner or Archer to make serious waves as a starter in 2011. Turn themselves into a solid upper rotation type over the course of the season. I know it's asking alot, but for us to make the playoffs, I think this(or one of the other 4) needs to take this step. As far as the pen goes, we need Marmol and Marshall to stay healthy and continue as they have done. Woody needs to be decent and we need a couple of the other guys(either the ones who don't make the rotation or some of our big group of arms who have SOME major league experience anyway) to step up and be relatively average anyway. If Guzman could come back, that would be huge, but I'm not counting on that, by any stretch.