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MPrior

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Everything posted by MPrior

  1. MPrior
    I asked this in another thread, but I think I wound up killing the thread instead. Is Samardzija for real? I mean, he seemed to go from awful to dominant in a heartbeat. He couldn't strike out anybody for a long time in the minors, and all of a sudden he became a strikeout machine. That kind of change to me seems to be too drastic to be random fluctuation - so something must have happened. The question, I guess, is do you think the change is permanent or not and why?
  2. MPrior
    What a bum.
  3. MPrior
    Frostwyrm?
  4. MPrior
    This thread raises two questions I'm dying to know the answer to: 1, how legitimate is Dempster's resurgence? He went from pretty mediocre to ace seemingly overnight, and while he has sustained his success all year, I'd hate for the Cubs to sign him to some huge contract only for him to regress back to his normal level of production. Last I heard, his FIP was a full run higher than his ERA (although it was a still-solid 3.8 or so). Does anyone have any convincing arguments one way or the other? (the glove waggle does not count as a convincing argument) 2, how legitimate is Samardzija's sudden turnaround? One minute, he was struggling through the minors, no one could even comprehend why he was promoted to AAA in the first place, and he couldn't strike anyone out if his life depended on it. Next minute, he was ringing up K's like there was no tomorrow, and he seemed untouchable. His peripherals suggest to me that the change is at least partially legitimate - it's not just ERA fluctuation, for example - but sudden reversals still make me nervous. What's the story, and how likely is he to revert back to his ways of old? What do you guys think?
  5. MPrior
    arguing with Joe West about the delay over the lights being turned on I would not have been able to guess that I wouldn't believe it if I hadn't witnessed it live He really is sterile. Bobby Cox is sterile? Poor guy.
  6. MPrior
    Not to nitpick, but I think that should be 2.25 ERA, not 1.13.
  7. MPrior
    Woohoo! I haven't been paying attention much to this thread, but SSR, are you a fellow Celtics fan? People are congratulating you like you are. Unrelated: what's with the hatred for Paul Pierce?
  8. MPrior
    Woohoo!
  9. MPrior
    Correction: Edmonds was a good defender.
  10. MPrior
    I'd just like to say go Celtics. I feel a little bad about it, though, because I'm a bit of a fair-weather fan. I've been a Celtics fan my whole life, but I haven't really cared about the NBA for years. In any case, I'm glad for the Celtics - although I'm not counting the Lakers out yet. They're a tough team, and I'd be surprised to see them go down quietly.
  11. MPrior
    I think of all of them, I'd like to have Bay. Bad news is, there's no way we go after a big-time OF that can't handle CF, unless Soriano's injury is enough to keep him out for the whole season. I imagine that Milton Bradley might be a good target considering that, though - he's a switch hitter, so he can satisfy Lou and Hendry's lefty fetish, he can fill in for Soriano while he's out, and then shift to CF when he comes back. What are the chances the Rangers trade him?
  12. MPrior
    Those uniforms are nothing short of awesome. I wish they'd bring them back more frequently.
  13. MPrior
    Looking at this lineup, it's amazing that they're winning as much as they are. It drives me nuts: Urgh.
  14. MPrior
    I think he was pretty clearly just buying into the idea that referring to people by their full names is funny.
  15. MPrior
    Which is A-OK with me. I'm LOVING how patient he's been so far this season. I hope he keeps it up.
  16. MPrior
    and having the pitchers throw him hanging breaking balls. He should do that more often, I think.
  17. MPrior
    That happened? Holy cow.
  18. MPrior
    I had a similar experience with Brad Penny. I was in the bleachers at Dodger Stadium for a Cubs game which Penny was starting, and some Cubs fans nearby started heckling him. He just turned to them and said, loud and clear, "thanks for my World Series ring." Yeah, it hurt, even as a bystander, but it was pretty funny.
  19. MPrior
    Didn't we already have some sort of second coming of God? I'm pretty sure that guy never even came close to throwing a no-hitter, though. Sure couldn't hit a curveball.
  20. MPrior
    Lou, this isn't hard. If we're facing a righty, Pie starts. Nothing more to it.
  21. MPrior
    Forgive me for stating the obvious, but it needs to be said. The decision of whom to play should not depend on their stats so far. It should depend on who is expected to be better from this day forward. Citing Theriot's current OBP is just as poor an argument as citing Cedeno's current gaudy statistics. Cedeno has clearly demonstrated himself to be better than Theriot in nearly all important aspects of the game - and there are years' worth of PA's and scouting reports to support this, not just a month's worth of scattered PA's. Therefore, Cedeno is the one who should be expected to perform better. Therefore, he should play.
  22. MPrior
    I also probably shouldn't be frequenting a Cubs message board. Oops. Anyway, thanks for the well wishes. At this point I'm just crossing my fingers, more or less. This is also how I intend to approach surgery.
  23. MPrior
    I think theres a risk in using pythag over small samples. Games like the April 30th 19-5 walloping we put on the brewcrew (I was at the game and it was awesome), have such a significant skewing impact when you are just looking at an 11 game sample. Taking out that game, it drops us from +11 to -3, worth a couple games in the pythag standings. I'm sure there have been analyses done as to when pythag becomes credible...anyone know of any? Yeah, that's why I said that it's not particularly meaningful - 11 games just isn't a large enough sample size. The overall point, though, is that this team is much better than they've showed of late, and I feel pretty confident that that's true. And I'm jealous that you were at the game. I've been taking classes and preparing for the MCAT pretty much all season (it's this Saturday!), and haven't been able to even watch a whole game yet (it also doesn't help that I'm in Los Angeles, don't have cable, and am too cheap to go to a bar).
  24. MPrior
    So we've lost 8 of 11 games, and that's really frustrating, especially since this team is obviously a good one, and at least a few of the teams we've played in those 11 games have most definitely not been good ones. However - we lead all of MLB in run differential at +50. The Diamondbacks are second at +47. The dodgers are at +41, the Braves and A's are at +39, and then no one else is really even close. In fact, even in those last 11 games, of which we've only won 3, we've outscored our opponents 59-48. We've lost 6 2-run games, 1 1-run game, and 1 3-run game. Not that it's particularly meaningful, but our Pythagorean record over that 11-game stretch is about 7-4, not 3-8. Additionally, our Pythagorean winning pct. on the season would give us 20 wins now, not 18. So it seems to me that this bad streak really is just a case of unlucky statistical fluctuation, and I have no doubt that the team will right the ship. Not that anyone has really expressed any doubt, I just thought I'd point it out, cause I'm fed up with losing so much.
  25. MPrior
    Just one illustration of why ERA is a highly flawed stat.
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