I have a dose of optimism for a change. So, I was aware that the Cubs were underperforming their pythag and their hitters were a bit unlucky this year, but I didn't realize the full extent of the underperformance. Per the BP adjusted standings, the Cubs' 2nd order win %, which substitutes the projected runs for actual runs, is .481. When the win % is further adjusted for strength of schedule, it goes up to .511 http://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings/