Agree. His HR-rate in past has been very controlled; if he can sustain that in PCL, his chances are solid. He was pitching pretty well in his first start, too, before he fell apart in his final inning. I think we have lots of guys with deceptively unfavorable stats early; pitchers pitch well for several innings, then have a really bad final inning that kills their stats. Often in early spring, minor league guys haven't been extended very deep, so may not be used to going as long as they do now in real games. Hendricks got killed in his final inning of start one, after pitching well. Tseng was pretty good for 4 innings, then got killed in the fifth. Skulina was very good for five innings, then gets killed in the 6th. Not sure I remember, but that may have been somewhat true in Blackburn's first start, too.